UFC 204 on Saturday in Manchester, England features 12 fights including Michael Bisping taking on Dan Henderson. Bisping is listed as about a 2-1 favorite in this middleweight title fight with the rounds at 2.5 under. Also on the main card it is Gegard Mousasi vs. Vitor Belfort, Ovince Saint Preux vs. Jimi Manuwa, Stefan Struve vs. Daniel Omielanczuk and Mirsad Bektic vs. Russell Doane. There are seven fights on the preliminary card with four on FS1 and three on UFC Fight Pass.
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UFC 204 Main Card
Middleweights
Michael Bisping -230
Dan Henderson +190
Rounds 2.5 under -125
Henderson knocked out Bisping at UFC 100 but that was more than seven years ago and Henderson is now headed for retirement while Bisping is the current middleweight champion. Unless Henderson lands a big shot early this will be an easy win for Bisping.
UFC Picks
The price on Bisping is lower than expected which is a little bit concerning as this seems like a trap. I will avoid a side and just take the rounds under.
UFC Odds: Rounds under 2.5
Middleweights
Gegard Mousasi -330
Vitor Belfort +270
Rounds 1.5 under -125
This one isn’t likely to last long as Belfort has not gone the distance in a fight since 2007. Belfort has 18 wins by knockout while Mousasi has 22 wins by knockout.
UFC Picks
Mousasi will probably win but the price is too high for a serious play. The better bet is on the fight going under.
UFC Odds: Rounds under 1.5
Light Heavyweights
Ovince Saint Preux -160
Jimi Manuwa +135
Rounds 1.5 under -150
Saint Preux has split his last six fights while Manuwa has lost two of his last three. The layoff could really hurt Manuwa as he has not fought since September of last year.
UFC Picks
Both of these two will be looking to win by knockout so this one shouldn’t make it out of the first round.
UFC Odds: Rounds under 1.5
Heavyweights
Stefan Struve -185
Daniel Omielanczuk +160
Rounds 1.5 over -145
The money in this one has been coming in on Omielanczuk. The wiseguys are giving Omielanczuk a real chance to win this, probably by submission.
UFC Picks
I will go with the wiseguys and take the plus money on Omielanczuk.
UFC Odds: Omielanczuk 2nd round submission
Featherweights
Mirsad Bektic vs. Russell Doane
Bektic is 10-0 in his career including 3-0 in the UFC while Doane is 14-6 including 2-3 in the UFC. Doane is taking this fight on very short notice as he accepted the fight just this week in place of Jeremy Kennedy who had replaced Arnold Allen. Bektic is ranked 15th in the latest featherweight rankings while Doane is unranked.
UFC Picks
This could be the last fight for Doane in the UFC. I will take Bektic to get the win.
UFC Odds: Bektic by 2nd round TKO
Preliminary Card (FS1)
Bantamweights
Iuri Alcantara -160
Brad Pickett +135
Rounds 2.5 over -170
Alcantara is the better fighter and Pickett seems to be past his prime but Pickett should get a boost from the home crowd.
UFC Odds: Rounds over 2.5
Bantamweights
Rob Font -275
Ian Entwistle +230
Rounds 1.5 under -210
Entwistle will have the home crowd in his favor but not much else. Entwistle will look for a submission but Font has more power and should be able to avoid the takedown.
UFC Odds: Font 2nd round KO
Bantamweights
Davey Grant -185
Damian Stasiak +160
Rounds 2.5 over -185
Grant has more power than Stasiak and he will be fighting in front of the home crows. This should be a dominating win for Grant.
UFC Odds: Grant by unanimous decision.
Welterweights
Albert Tumenov -250
Leon Edwards +205
Rounds 1.5 over -190
These two will be looking for the knockout as they are excellent strikers. Tumenov may be a little overvalued at odds of more than 2-1.
UFC Odds: Edwards by First Round KO
Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)
Mike Perry vs. Danny Roberts
Leonardo Santos vs. Adriano Martins
Lukasz Sajewski vs. Marc Diakiese
UFC Odds: Roberts over Perry, Santos over Martins and Diakiese over Sajewski
Access live betting lines from your mobile device at BookMaker sportsbook! Real-time spreads, totals, props and money line are all available so start betting with BookMaker today. UFC 204 takes place on Saturday, October 8 at the Manchester Arena in Manchester, England.
