Former heavyweight champion Andrei Arlovski (25-14, 17 KOs, 3 SUBs) will meet rising Marcin Tybura (15-2, 7 KOs, 6 SUBs) at UFC Fight Night 111 on Saturday, June 17 at the Singapore Indoor Stadium in Singapore. The fight airs live on UFC Fight Pass. Bet on the latest UFC odds at BookMaker.eu now.
It appears that Andrei Arlovski’s career is nearing an end. The 38-year old former heavyweight champion has lost four straight - all by way of stoppage - and is now in the stepping stone role for opponents looking to make a name off of him. This Saturday, the Belarussian will meet 31-year old Marcin Tybura in Singapore in efforts to fight off Father Time just a little longer.
Let’s take a look at the UFC odds at BookMaker.eu and break down the matchup for a betting angle.
Bet on UFC odds at BookMaker.eu
Andrei Arlovski +200
Marcin Tybura -250
Over/under 1.5 rounds, over -110, under -110
Please note, the UFC odds are updated daily.
MMA Odds Analysis
While Arlovski is unquestionably the more recognizable fighter, he is a sizeable underdog going into the matchup. This is likely more due “The Pitbull’s” physical decline rather than Tybura’s dominance.
The over/under on this three-rounder is 1.5 rounds, with the over at -125. Oddsmakers are leaning towards an early finish, as Arlovski’s chin has been shattered for years.
Matchup Breakdown
When he was fighting in M-1 challenge, Tybura was a relatively sloppy heavyweight who got by with an excellent submission game. In the UFC, the Polish import has improved his striking and upped his aggression on the feet to the tune of a 2-1 record. He’s notched two consecutive knockouts against Viktor Pesta and Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira.
Should Tybura choose to challenge Arlovski with pressure, it could go one of two ways: he will either crack The Pitbull’s chin or he will find himself looking up at the ceiling lights in a daze. It’d probably be in the Pole’s best interests not to test his newfound preference for striking against an excellent boxer like Arlovski.
Since Arlovski doesn’t have the wrestling ability - nor desire - to attack Tybura’s subpar takedown defense, the 38-year old needs to make sure he keeps this fight at range. Tybura is often content to win by pressing opponents against the fence and peppering away, but Arlovski’s quickness could mitigate that instinct.
How You Should Bet
Arlovski as a 2-1 underdog is a great value. Though he’s been getting starched with ease recently, he has been facing elite contenders. Tybura is closer to the mid-level of competition that Arlovski has been beating for years. Arlovski to win is a risky bet, but the payout is too good to ignore - just keep your bet small.
UFC odds pick: Arlovski to win at +200
Bet on UFC odds at BookMaker.eu now
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UFC Fight Night 111 takes place on Saturday, June 17 at the Singapore Indoor Stadium in Singapore. The fight airs live on UFC Fight Pass.
