This Sunday’s UFC Fight Night 112 in Oklahoma City has a bit of everything. Among the scraps are two rising contenders settling a personal beef, a fading legend desperate for a win, and a former champion trying to make waves in a new weight class. All in all, it’s a solid FS1 that’s worth your attention.
Let’s take a look at the UFC odds at BookMaker.eu and go over your betting options.
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Main Event, Lightweights
Michael Chiesa +105
Kevin Lee -135
Over/under 2.5 rounds, over -110, under -110
Preview & Betting Analysis
Tough fight to call, since both men specialize in groundfighting - Chiesa is a submission ace while Lee is a talented wrestler. Neither of them are special on the feet, though Chiesa’s wild striking and clinch game can be effective at times.
If either man was a +150 underdog, they’d be an easy pick - it’s that close. Lee has the momentum, but that doesn’t really inspire any confidence against an opponent who has quietly been one of the most solid fighters in the division.
Oddsmakers are throwing us a bone with a 2.5 round over/under here. Given that this matchup features two relatively ineffective strikers who like to win based on position and control, the over is the way to go here.
UFC odds pick: Over 2.5 rounds at -110
Lightweights
B.J. Penn +200
Dennis Siver -250
Over/under 2.5 rounds, over -135, under -105
Preview & Betting Analysis
Penn is finally getting a mid-level opponent that he likely won’t get roasted by. That still doesn’t make him a good bet at all. The Hawaiian, despite his lofty credentials, cannot escape the fact that he’s looked old, slow and completely shot for the past few years - even before he retired and came back yet again.
Siver’s a guy that’s past his prime as well, but he’s never been one to have his cardio questioned. His gas tank, along with his always-crisp kickboxing skills, make him a solid underdog play against and overvalued legend.
UFC odds pick: Siver to win at
Middleweight
Johny Hendricks -220
Tim Boetsch +175
Over/under 2.5 rounds, over -170, under +150
Preview & Betting Analysis
Hendricks looked reinvigorated in his first bout at 185 against Hector Lombard, but Boetsch should provide a much stiffer test. The longtime middleweight is renowned for his grittiness, and still has the pop to crack off as needed - as two TKOs in his past three fights would suggest.
But when it comes down to weighing out their skills, Hendricks has most of the advantages. The former welterweight champ likely won’t be able take Boetsch down easily, but Hendricks is a solid boxer with a speed advantage. That makes him the pick, although it won’t be cheap.
UFC odds pick: Hendricks to win at -220
Women’s Strawweight
Felice Herrig -125
Justine Kish -105
Over/under 2.5 rounds, over -280, under +200
Preview & Betting Analysis
For the second straight fight, Felice Herrig will attempt to derail the hype of an undefeated prospect. First, it was a technical striker in Alexa Grasso. Now, she’ll meet a swarmer in Justine Kish.
While Kish has been barely eking out wins and has yet to make weight in two UFC fights, her size and style should give her an advantage over Herrig, who isn’t a great athlete nor a dominant striker. Herrig was able to beat out Grasso based on volume, but she’s not going to outpoint a pressure fighter like Kish.
UFC odds pick: Kish to win at -105
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UFC Fight Night 112 takes place on Sunday, June 25, 2017 at the Chesapeake Energy Arena in Oklahoma City, OK. The card airs live on Fox Sports 1 starting 9 p.m.
