Heavyweight knockout artist Derrick Lewis (18-5, 16 KOs, 1 SUB) will meet Poland’s Marcin Tybura (16-3, 7 KOs, 6 SUBs) at UFC Fight Night 126 on Saturday, February 18, 2018 at the Frank Erwin Center in Austin, Texas. The card airs live on FS1 starting 9 p.m. ET. Bet on the latest UFC odds at BookMaker.eu, and get the latest previews, predictions and picks now.
One of the heavyweight division’s most colorful characters is back. Derrick Lewis, who briefly retired after a loss to Mark Hunt, will return to the octagon to meet prospect Marcin Tybura on the main card of this Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 126. Lewis, a Texas native, will have plenty of support from the audience in Austin.
While it’s doubtful that Lewis will ever be a true title contender, there’s always a place in the UFC for an old-school brawler who never stops headhunting. Whether Tybura’s well-rounded game can overcome Lewis’ power is the question that all you gamblers want to know.
It’s a solid heavyweight fight between ranked contenders. But how should you be betting this fight? There are a few good options here, even with competitive money lines. Let’s take a look at the UFC odds at BookMaker.eu and break down the matchup, along with your best betting options.
UFC Odds at BookMaker.eu
Derrick Lewis +120 vs. Marcin Tybura -155
Over/under 2.5 rounds, over -105, under -115
Matchup Breakdown
Lewis has beaten more accomplished fighters than Tybura, but he’s always a high-risk betting option. It’s difficult to bet on one-dimensional fighters with shoddy cardio. Of course, the next level killshot power that Lewis possesses is the great equalizer. When he gets into haymaker hook mode, it takes an extraordinarily disciplined fighter not to panic.
Obviously, Tybura will not want to get into a boxing match with Lewis. While his standup has been improving, matching blows with a thumper like “The Black Beast” is a good way to end up unconscious on your back. Even established strikers like Travis Browne and Roy Nelson succumbed to Lewis’ fists.
What makes this interesting is that Tybura will have a massive advantage if he does get this to the ground. The Pole is at his best in top position, advancing position and finding submissions. The problem is that Tybura gets his takedowns from the clinch, and that means he’ll have to wade through Lewis’ nuclear arsenal to get this to the mat.
While Lewis isn’t a bad defensive wrestler, he’s not a great one either. When he gets tired, Lewis gives up takedowns to half-hearted shots. That requires getting into his bombing range, and there have been plenty of guys that learned a very hard lesson while trying to get in on him.
UFC Betting Tips
It’s a personal opinion that any big ‘dog against Lewis needs to be heavily considered. But when he’s the underdog? Betting on a TKO isn’t a bad play. But when he gets tired, he’s a walking target - and it’s not too difficult to tax his cardio. That requires grinding on him, and I’m not too sure Tybura has the nastiness to do so.
UFC Odds Pick: Lewis to win at +125
Tybura has never fought a dude like Lewis. Let’s hope that The Black Beast has been working on his cardio, because it’s going to take a signature explosion for him to lay out Tybura. This will be a tough fight, but we have faith in the Texan pulling one out at home.
UFC Odds Pick: Lewis inside the distance at +200
Lewis has only gone to decision once in his past 18 fights, and is a determined headhunter. If he can keep the fight standing, he should be able to plant a bomb on Tybura’s chin.
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UFC Fight Night 126 takes place on Saturday, February 18, 2018 at the Frank Erwin Center in Austin, Texas. The card airs live on FS1 starting 9 p.m. ET.
