There are only three spots left in Euro 2016, and either Sweden or Denmark will punch a ticket to the European championships on Tuesday in Copenhagen.
With the Swedes taking a 2-1 result at home, it's pretty clear that it's right around a 50/50 proposition for both of these clubs to continue on to France in 2016.
Soccer Odds at BookMaker.eu
Denmark +120
Sweden +250
Draw +230
Over/Under 2 (over -135)
ODDS ANALYSIS
Denmark knows that winning this match is the only path to advancing to Euro 2016. Winning it 1-0 would be good enough to go through. A 2-1 win would send the match to a 30 minute extra time sessions. If the Swedes score twice, it'll take a victory by at least two goals for the hosts to keep them alive. Obviously, any draw or visiting win would send Sweden to France.
THE FIRST MEETING
Sweden had a clear attacking promise about it in the first meeting between these two teams back in Solna. Zlatan Ibrahimovic was allowed to do all sorts of running up front, while Emil Forsberg consistently stepped up on the wing into the attack and was given the freedom to do as he pleased.
Often times, the Danes were able to slip in counterattacks when Forsberg left his post, but the pressure on the attack was far too much to overcome in the 2-1 victory. Both Forsberg and Ibrahimovic scored on opposite ends of the halftime interval to give Sweden that coveted 2-0 edge.
However, Nicolai Jorgensen came after the two Swedish goals and made a huge impact, ultimately scoring the goal which gave Denmark legitimate life.
The affair was spirited and deserved to go over the total with three goals. Each team ripped six shots on target, while Sweden outshot Denmark 13-10.
ANALYSIS AND ODDS PREDICTION
It's tough to trust Denmark right now with three straight losses under its belt and five straight matches without a victory. That said, the degree of competition has been incredibly tough, and the matches have all been relatively closely run affairs.
There should be a lot of attack here for Denmark, and we wouldn't be surprised if it started this match out with three strikers up front as was the case at the end of the match a few days ago in Solna. Nicklas Bendtner is going to have to be significantly better in the middle, while Jorgensen and Yussuf Poulsen are both legitimate options up front.
It would also really help the Danes if they were able to get Christian Eriksen involved in the offense more. He was rather wasteful in space at times and just was never able to get a good crack at the net.
In the end, we just trust the Danish a tad bit more in this match. The Swedes don't have the same attacking force from right in the middle of the pitch than Denmark has, and the play of Andreas Isaksson in the net for Sweden just didn't do it for us. We know that Kasper Schmeichel has been here and done this before, and we think that he parlayed with a back line which should've put up a much better effort on the road than it did will be enough to see the Danes into Euro 2016 at the expense of their Scandinavian rivals.
Denmark 2, Sweden 0
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