The top two players in the world, Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer headline the field for the Shanghai Rolex Masters this week. Nadal is the top seed and the favorite to win this event, while Federer is the second seed and the second choice in the betting odds. This event is also a key one for a number of other players as they look to pick up points in order to qualify for the ATP World Tour Finals in London. Let’s look at the Shanghai Rolex Masters, tennis odds and tennis picks.
Shanghai Rolex Masters Odds
Rafael Nadal +220
Roger Federer +250
Alexander Zverev +900
Nick Kyrgios +1200
Grigor Dimitrov +1200
Marin Cilic +1600
Juan Martin del Potro +2000
David Goffin +2500
Dominic Thiem +2500
Roberto Bautista Agut +4000
John Isner +4000
Lucas Pouille +4000
Kevin Anderson +5000
Sam Querrey +5000
Denis Shapovalov +6600
Mischa Zverev +6600
Jack Sock +6600
Richard Gasquet +8000
Pablo Carreno Busta +8000
Benoit Paire +10000
Steve Johnson +10000
Ivo Karlovic +10000
Alexandr Dolgopolov +12500
Karen Khachanov +12500
Feliciano Lopez +15000
Robin Haase +15000
Gilles Simon +15000
Fabio Fognini +15000
Diego Schwartzman +15000
Jeremy Chardy +20000
Adrian Mannarino +20000
Andrey Rublev +20000
Frances Tiafoe +20000
Jan-Lennard Struff +20000
Jared Donaldson +20000
Kyle Edmund +20000
Paolo Lorenzi +20000
Ryan Harrison +20000
Viktor Troicki +20000
Yuichi Sugita +20000
Damir Dzumhur +25000
Jordan Thompson +25000
Aljaz Bedene +30000
Dusan Lajovic +30000
Hyeon Chung +30000
Albert Ramos-Vinolas +50000
Di Wu +50000
Jiri Vesely +50000
Nikoloz Basilashvili +50000
Stefanos Tsitsipas +50000
Ze Zhang +50000
Joao Sousa +50000
Top Contenders
This event is extremely top heavy, as Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray are not in the field. It should be all about Nadal and Federer and perhaps Zverev. Nadal has actually never won this event and his record in it is just 12-7. Federer won this event in 2014 and has a record of 13-4 in this tournament. Zverev is 2-1 in this event in his career. It is really hard to see anyone other than the top three winning this event. Oddsmakers are thinking along the same line, although they do have Nick Kyrgios and Grigor Dimitrov listed at +1200. Perhaps one of those two players could pull off a shocker and reach the final, but I am not betting on it.
Seeds
- Rafael Nadal
- Roger Federer
- Alexander Zverev
- Marin Cilic
- Dominic Thiem
- Grigor Dimitrov
- Pablo Carreno Busta
- David Goffin
- Roberto Bautista Agut
- Sam Querrey
- Kevin Anderson
- John Isner
- Nick Kyrgios
- Jack Sock
- Lucas Pouille
- Juan Martin del Potro
Matchups to Watch
Looking ahead it could be Nadal taking on Dimitrov in one of the quarterfinals. Nadal has won 9 of their 10 previous meetings. Another of the quarterfinals that is projected has Zverev taking on Thiem and in their previous five meetings it is Thiem who has won four of them.
The projected semifinals based on the seeds would have Nadal taking on Cilic and Federer vs. Zverev. The previous meetings have Nadal holding a 4-1 edge against Cilic, while Federer and Zverev have split their previous four meetings.
If Nadal and Federer meet in the final, the numbers favor Nadal, as he has won 23 of the 37 career meetings against Federer, but it is worth noting that Federer has won all three meetings this year.
Event Notes
This event features 56 players, with 16 players seeded. The top eight seeds all have byes into the second round. Andy Murray and Novak Djokovic have combined to win six of the last seven titles. The race is on for the last spot in the ATP Finals. No. 7 seed Pablo Carreno Busta, No. 8 seed David Goffin, No. 10 seed Sam Querrey and No. 11 seed Kevin Anderson are battling to get that last spot. Goffin currently holds the last spot entering this event.
Tennis Picks
Nadal has never won this event in Shangahi but this should be his best chance, as his only real threat appears to be Federer and it is not a given that Federer even makes the final. I will take Nadal as my top choice and also go with Zverev as a longshot at +900.
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