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Opening Ceremonies for the 2019 College World Series are set for Friday in Omaha with the games commencing on Saturday with the eight teams left standing all ready for an action-packed two weeks culminating in what will be a new College World Series champion with Adley Rutschman and the Oregon State Beavers eliminated.
With the Super Regionals ending on Monday, we are down to the final eight teams all vying to win the College World Series. Which can will be the next College World Series champion? We will find out of over the next couple weeks.
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COLLEGE WORLD SERIES MATCHUPS
Michigan vs. Texas Tech (Bracket 1)
Arkansas vs. Florida State (Bracket 1)
Vanderbilt vs. Louisville (Bracket 2)
Mississippi State vs. Auburn (Bracket 2)
ODDS BREAKDOWN
Vanderbilt and Arkansas are the favorites as the final eight teams standing in college baseball head to Omaha.
While Ole Miss pushed the Razorbacks to a Game 3 in the Super Regionals, Arkansas came out swinging with a dominating performance to clinch a College World Series berth, putting four runs on the board in the second after falling behind 1-0 in the first and then tallying more, capped off by a five run sixth.
As for Vandy, they seem to have the hottest pitcher in the land in freshman Kumar Rocker, coming off a Super Regionals no-hitter as he struck out 19 batters in an dominant performances against Duke.
Granted, Duke was one of the weaker teams—on paper—of those in the Super Regionals, but regardless of the opponent, a no-hitter, especially in an elimination game like this was, is impressive.
On the national level, J.J. Bleday is the biggest named Commodore. Picked by the Miami Marlins fourth overall in this year’s draft, Bleday plays a solid outfield with a monster bat. He’s posting a .350/.464/.717 slash line with 26 home runs and 69 RBI in just 65 games played. He’s not the only dominant bat either. Austin Martin has an on base percentage north of .500 and while he’s not a big home run threat, he does have his share of doubles.
On the bump, Rocker has the most impressive stuff, but Mason Hickman and Patrick Raby have been better statistically on the year, both boasting sub-3 ERAs.
Vanderbilt certainly seems to be the deepest team though Arkansas is a close second.
Beyond those two, Mississippi State, Louisville, and Texas Tech are all solid options if you’re looking to stray from the chalk a bit.
The Bulldogs have gained momentum with a perfect run through the Regionals and Super Regionals. They boast a strong offensive squad with a team batting average nearly as strong as Vanderbilt.
Auburn, Florida State, and Michigan are all longer shot options, though the Wolverines have had a strong tournament to date and have the best team ERA of the teams still in place though Mississippi State and Louisville are not far behind.
As for the Seminoles, this is a program with plenty of College World Series experience though they’ve yet to win the whole thing, making it to Omaha 22 times without ever taking the title.
INTERESTING LONGSHOT TO WATCH
It was a good year for Michigan baseball in 1984. It was the last year the Detroit Tigers won the World Series and the last time the Wolverines—led by then college star, now MLB Hall of Famer, Barry Larkin—made it to the College World Series. That is until their unlikely run this season.
The Big 10 is a major player in basketball and football but has been shutout of the College World Series since 2013 when Indiana found its way to Omaha. The south has the weather advantage and, as a result, tends to dominate in summer’s favorite sport.
Michigan has a lot riding on its shoulders in this College World Series and, perhaps, the pressure will be too much, but the team already eliminated the nation’s top program in the UCLA Bruins with a deciding 4-2 victory on Sunday night in the Los Angeles super regionals.
The Wolverines, despite the Big 10 draught, and the program’s even longer draught, come into the College World Series with confidence. After all, not only did Michigan top UCLA, they also got past the reigning College World Series champion Oregon State Beavers in the Regionals. Texas Tech, of course, provides another difficult challenge in their first game of the College World Series, but this team is already tested and could be a dangerous one despite still being longshots based on a 46-20 record.
Other than some momentum, what makes the Wolverines interesting is a tandem of junior hurlers in Tommy Henry and Karl Kauffmann. Henry, a southpaw, and Kauffmann, a righty, both went just before the third round of the MLB draft with Henry taken by the Arizona Diamondbacks and Kauffman by the Colorado Rockies.
A fellow hurler, Jack Weisnenburger, was taken much latter in the draft. Meanwhile, a couple offensive players were taken, too, including Jordan Brewer, who was also named the Big Ten Player of the Year. The junior outfielder was a football recruit out of high school but has been a well-rounded weapon on the diamond. He’s hitting .338 this year with 12 home runs and a .982 OPS. He’s shown the ability to get on base as well as drive the ball and offers foot speed as well with 24 steals.
To go along with some strong pitching, the Wolverines have some quality bats with four players hitting a dozen homers, five stealing double-digit bases, and most everyone demonstrating patience at the plate and a solid batting eye.
ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION
It’s hard to bet against Bleday and the Commodores. Of the teams still standing, they’ve won the College World Series most recently, taking the title back in 2014.
While the Commodores may be the best team left standing, that doesn’t necessarily mean they will win it all. It’s about what team gets hot at the right time. Michigan is certainly hot. Arkansas, Mississippi State and Louisville are all looking good, too.
Michigan may be worth throwing a few dollars to take advantage of the long odds, but Vanderbilt and Arkansas are favorites for a reason.
In the end, Mississippi State has a strong offense that does an excellent job making contact and putting the ball in play. That will help in a contest like this with some of the best college pitching. Speaking of college pitching, the Bulldogs’ 3.48 team ERA is rather impressive. The team doesn’t have the power hitters like many of the teams left, but when you have seven starters with an average of at least .288 and OBP north of .375 you can find ways to score.
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