With the exit of Kentucky Derby favorite Omaha Beach what was a wide-open Kentucky Derby field is only more so now. But according to the betting public the Run for the Roses is considered Bob Baffert’s to lose. Baffert is the Hall of Fame trainer that has led American Pharoah and Justify to recent Triple Crown triumphs. Based on his success and dominance Baffert is the biggest name brand going in thoroughbred racing. But the question remains about just how much value the Baffert horses will offer. With that in mind there are several intriguing matchups for Derby Day that will help answer that question. In fact, the wagering matchups of the Baffert horses going against each other will spark plenty of great debate.
2019 Kentucky Derby
Date and Time: Saturday, May 4, 2019
Location: Churchill Downs, Louisville, Kentucky
2019 Kentucky Derby Betting Odds at Bookmaker.eu: Game Winner 19/5, Roadster 9/2, Improbable 5/1, Maximum Security 5/1, Tacitus 6/1, War of Will 10/1, By My Standards 15/1, Haikal 15/1, Win Win Win 15/1, Code of Honor 20/1, Vekoma 20/1, Bodyexpress 30/1, Country House 30/1, Cutting Humor 30/1, Long Range Toddy 30/1, Plus Que Parfait 30/1, Spinoff 30/1, Tax 30/1, Gray Magician 50/1, Master Fencer 50/1
Odds Analysis
While the Baffert trained trio of Game Winner, Roadster and Improbable are top choices they are hardly the only good candidates to win the blanket of roses on Saturday. Let’s take a look at the top wagering matchups for the 2019 Kentucky Derby.
Improbable -135 vs. Roadster +105
This matchup of Baffert favorites features horses with strong records of success. After winning his first three races including the Grade One Los Alamitos Futurity, Improbable finished second at the Grade Two Rebel Stakes and Grade One Arkansas Derby. Roadster is coming off a highly impressive win at the Grade One Santa Anita Derby with Derby favorite Game Winner coming in second.
Game Winner -130 vs. Improbable +100
Game Winner may have finished second to Roadster in the Santa Anita Derby and second to Omaha Beach in the Rebel Stakes but has an impressive record of winning in his own right. As a matter of fact, Game Winner posted three consecutive Grade One wins at the Del Mar Futurity, American Pharoah Stakes, and Breeders Cup Juvenile.
Game Winner -145 vs. Roadster +115
This is a classic rematch of the top two horses at the Santa Anita Derby in which Game Winner went off as the favorite only to finish second to Roadster. Either way Bob Baffert was the winner. Game Winner is to be mounted by Joel Rosario, who has compiled over 2000 wins in his career. Rosario road to victory in the 2013 Kentucky Derby and has won the Belmont Stakes as well. He has posted six Breeders Cup wins in his career including the Classic last November. Florent Geroux will be aboard Roadsterm and road to victory in the 2017 Breeders Cup Classic but is yet to win a Triple Crown event. The savvy Rosario could be the difference maker here.
Improbable -160 vs. Maximum Security +127
Maximum Security has never lost a race going four for four with his last win being at the Grade One Florida Derby on March 30. Thus, he will be well rested for Derby Day. Maximum Security will be mounted by Irad Ortiz Jr, who has posted over 2000 career wins with four Breeders Cup victories on his resume.
Maximum Security +105 vs. Tacitus -135
Tacitus is trained by Hall of Famer William Mott and has won three races in a row with the last two being Grade Two wins at the Tampa Bay Derby and the Wood Memorial. Tacitus will be ridden by jockey Jose Ortiz, a past winner of the Eclipse Award for Outstanding Jockey in 2017.
Free Kentucky Derby Betting Odds Pick
Game Winner has everything necessary to extract revenge upon Roadster and out perform him head to head with a better finish.
Kentucky Derby Betting Odds Picks: Game Winner over Roadster
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