I hate being the bearer of bad news, but the Los Angeles Clippers are a cursed franchise. Seriously, something needs to be done to get the bad juju surrounding the club since its inception back in 1970 as the Buffalo Braves. Maybe it should just move back to San Diego where it moved to in 1978 before bolting for Tinseltown in 1984. With just two division titles to its credit and no conference titles or championships, it’s likely going to remain that way after dropping the first two games of its series against Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks; on its home floor no less! Big D had the Clippers number in the regular season taking two of the three meetings both SU and ATS, and that trend has held true here in the postseason after logging back-to-back outright wins and covers as decided underdogs at online sportsbooks. Linemakers loved the results of those last two games, and I’ve got an inkling they’ll make a killing in Game 3 as well with most novice bettors likely jumping on the Mavs once again after what they just witnessed.
Game 3 of the best-of-seven series between the Los Angeles Clippers and Dallas Mavericks will tip-off on Friday, May 28, 2021 from the American Airlines Center. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN at 9:30 p.m. ET. We'll have NBA Playoff odds and player props available at BookMaker.eu for this and every game going on tonight’s NBA playoff slate.
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Odds Analysis
Many will be quick to dismiss Los Angeles in this series after it stunk the joint up throughout the first two games. However, linemakers still look to be giving Tyronn Lue’s squad some respect only lining Rick Carlisle’s troops -250 favorites to win the series regardless of the fact that they’re up 2-0 and get each of the next two games in the comforts of their own arena. Milwaukee’s up 2-0 and currently checks in as -1430 chalk to close the series out against the Heat! After closing as 6-point underdogs in Game 1 and 7-point pups in Game 2, I’m of the belief Dallas comes out the favored side for Game 3. Just know that the Mavs were terrible in the home chalk role throughout the regular season in going 16-11 SU but just 10-17 against the closing NBA odds. On the flipside, the Clippers were only lined road underdogs six times and went 2-4 SU and 3-3 ATS with the under cashing in four of those contests; the team D’d up when dogged!
Los Angeles Clippers
Defense was largely a strength for the Clippers over the course of the regular season. It ranked No. 4 in points allowed (107.8) and did a phenomenal job of locking the perimeter down holding all opposition to a paltry 35.6 percent conversion rate. On top of all that, it ranked No. 9 in efficiency after allowing 108.7 points per 100 possessions. That however hasn’t been the case through the first two games of this series after the Mavericks tallied 113 points in the series opener and followed it up with 127 more in Game 2. It seriously just allowed Doncic and company to convert at an insane 59 percent clip on Tuesday night - 59 PERCENT! I’m willing to put down a pretty penny that says Dallas doesn’t come close to that type of success rate on Friday night.
Dallas Mavericks
After draining 38 of 76 shots in Game 1 to pull out the hard fought 113-103 outright win and cover, the Mavs simply wouldn’t be denied in the encore after making a mockery of the Staples Center rims by converting at a near 60 percent clip from the floor while knocking down 18 of 34 shots from downtown. Doncic would go on to lead the way just like he did in Game 1 with a team-high 39 points on 16 of 29 shooting. However this time he had some major help in the forms of Kristaps Porzingis and Tim Hardaway Jr with the former going for 20 points and 4 rebounds and the latter chiming in with 28 points that were fueled by a 6 of 8 showing from beyond the arc. Maxi Kleber proved to be the only other double-digit scorer with 13 points on 5 of 6 shooting.
Los Angeles vs. Dallas Prediction
If linemakers install the Clippers favorites to win this game, it will only be a matter of time until the betting public flips the script. How could it not the way the Mavs went about their business to take the commanding 2-0 lead with home court advantage now in their possession. But when it looks too good to be true, often times it is! I simply just don’t foresee the Clippers falling into an 0-3 hole and being put on the verge of elimination once this one’s said and done. I seriously think getting away from Hollywood will do the team some good. Dallas is certainly one of the better teams in the West, but they’re not this good. Negative regression is bound to hit, while at the same time LA should experience some positive regression. It’ll all come down to the Clippers reverting back to the defensive dominator they were over the course of the regular season. I could be wrong, but I’m betting Game 3 that way. But if Dallas continue to get the high percentage open looks it received ad nauseum in Game 2, I’ll have no issues getting out of the bet and hitting the Mavs on the readjusted live betting lines.
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