How schizophrenic has this first round series between the Los Angeles Clippers and Dallas Mavericks been? Seriously, it makes no logical sense! The Mavs return home for Game 6 owners of a 3-2 series lead. However, all three of the team’s triumphs have come on the Clippers’ court. On the flipside, both of LA’s wins have come on the Mavericks’ hardwood. Dallas won the first two games in the Staples Center. Then Los Angeles won the next two in Big D. Then on Wednesday night, Dallas stuck to the trend of the series by going into La La Land and handing Kawhi Leonard and company a 105-100 defeat as 7.5-point underdogs per the closing NBA odds at online sportsbooks. Much like in Game 3, the betting public is going to flock to the Mavericks after watching them take a third straight from LA on its home floor. Don’t fall for the trap! The Clippers will be favored to win this game – again – and they’re going to win it – again! This series has Game 7 written all over it!
Game 6 of the best-of-seven series between the Los Angeles Clippers and Dallas Mavericks will tip-off on Friday, June 4, 2021 from the American Airlines Center. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN at 9 p.m. ET. We'll have NBA Playoff odds and player props available at BookMaker.eu for this and every game going on tonight’s NBA playoff slate.
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Odds Analysis
While I recommended backing LA in Game 3 trailing in the series 2-0, I figured Dallas would open up the slight favorite. That didn’t turn out to be the case, but the end result was one in the same. LA won and covered to get back into the series. Dallas has gone 4-6 SU and ATS the last 10 times it went off the board as home dogs. The end results have been pretty cut and dry. When they win, they cover. If not, they don’t. On the flipside, Los Angeles has handled its business when favored on the road in going 7-3 SU. That said, they only logged four pointspread covers so you might want to entertain the thought of backing them on the moneyline in this one just in case the game comes down to a last shot. The under holds a 3-2 advantage in this series with an average of 216.4 points scored per game.
Los Angeles Clippers
Sloppy play and a lack of a scoring threat off the bench prevented the Clippers from earning its first series lead on Wednesday night. Leonard, Paul George and Reggie Jackson combined for 63 of the Clippers 100 total points, while George also did work on the glass reeling in a game-high 10 rebounds. But with bench players scoring a grand total of 11 points with Ivan Zubac’s six points leading the way, it wasn’t enough to combat a huge scoring night from the Mavs’ lone all-star. Doncic ran circles around LA’s defense all night a game removed from putting forth a stinker in Game 4. So much for the injury that was going to hamper his overall play! Still, LA knows it can take Dallas down if Doncic has a big game after doing so in games three and four when he combined for 53 points.
Dallas Mavericks
Big D continues to get the job done from the perimeter throughout this series. The offense connected on 17 of 35 shots in Game 1 (47%), 18 of 34 in Game 2 (53%), 20 of 39 in Game 3 (51%), 5 of 30 in Game 4 (17%) and 14 of 35 in Game 5 (39%). Notice a trend there? The outputs have gotten progressively worse as the series has moved along. Doncic’s 6 of 12 showing was the only reason it came close to shooting 40 percent last time out. But it wasn’t just his shooting that led the Mavs to the huge win in Game 5 with the 22 year old dishing out 14 assists to keep his teammates involved all game long. He’s going to need to put forth another gem in this one to withstand a determined Clippers outfit!
Los Angeles vs. Dallas Prediction
Figure Los Angeles is going to be installed 3-point favorites once again for this win or go home bout. Once the number to beat hits the board, I can’t help but think every novice bettor is going to run to the betting window to throw their money down on Dallas. Unlike Games 3 and 4, I’m expecting linemakers to shorten the number up this time around due to the influx of Mavs money infiltrating the market. My advice is to sit back and watch the number plummet before getting involved pre-game. I lean towards the Clippers moneyline more than the spread, but you do you. You also might want to entertain the thought of backing the Clippers on the readjusted series line as they’ll be offering a short plus-money return. If they win Game 6 and take the series back to the Staples Center, you could free roll the Mavs in Game 7 and guarantee a profit regardless of whether or not the series trend remains intact.
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