It’s likely fool’s gold thinking any team other than Obi Toppin and the Dayton Flyers cut the nets down in the Barclays Center to take the A10’s auto bid into next week’s NCAA Tournament. Anthony Grant’s squad did nothing but kick ass and take names over the course of the regular season by putting forth a clean sheet in conference play. There were some close calls however; with the A10 tourney taking place on a neutral court, anything can happen. With that, let’s put the futures odds under the microscope and see what online sportsbooks have to offer to see if we can’t fatten up the bankroll for next week’s Big Dance by hooking our wagon to a couple of big dogs if not running with the chalk over the next week!
The Atlantic 10 Tournament is set to tip-off on Wednesday, March 11, 2020 at 1 p.m. ET from the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY. The games will be broadcast live on ESPN+ and NBCSN.
ODDS TO WIN A 10 TOURNAMENT
TEAM |
ODDS |
Dayton |
-350 |
Rhode Island |
+500 |
Richmond |
+700 |
St. Louis |
+1600 |
St. Bonaventure |
+2000 |
VCU |
+2000 |
Duquesne |
+2500 |
Davidson |
+2500 |
Fordham |
+10000 |
George Mason |
+10000 |
George Washington |
+10000 |
La Salle |
+10000 |
Saint Joseph’s |
+10000 |
UMass |
+10000 |
Favorite to Bet: Dayton Flyers -350
You simply cannot argue with the final results. Dayton went on to win 29 of its 31 played games over the course of the regular season, and put forth a winning overall mark against linemakers in going 17-14 ATS. With it routinely laying double-digits in A-10 play, that’s quite a feat! Especially with it pummeling GW, Rhode Island and Davidson by an average of 22.3 points per game to put a cherry on top of its fantastic run to accrue the A10 regular season title. That makes it three since the 2014-15 season with Archie Miller at the helm of the first two title teams. But neither of them went on to win the Atlantic 10 Tournament. That’s something this year’s team looks hell-bent on doing for the first time since the 2003 team did so with Oliver Purnell overlooking the day-to-day. The Flyers are far and away the best team in this conference that has the chops to make a deep run starting next week. The folks at Teamrankings.com give them a 51.9 percent shot of winning this tournament. Their -350 price tag gives them an implied probability of 77.8 percent. That still feels a bit short. Save for Gonzaga, there isn’t a team in the country figured to win its conference tourney more than the Flyers. While it’s March, Dayton is without a doubt the toast of the league - Buyer beware if you decide to fade that mojo!
Underdog to Bet: Saint Louis Billikens +1600
At this price point, Saint Louis only possesses a 5.9 percent implied probability to win this tournament. Teamrankings.com has the Billikens a little higher at 6.3 percent. Regardless, Travis Ford coached this team to the A10 tourney title a season ago to earn the program its second in the last six seasons. Hasahn French and his mates are a no nonsense type of team that plays a nasty brand of defense that forces turnovers, hits the glass and contests every shot. Of all the teams in the A10 this season, the Billikens gave the Flyers the most headaches in dropping a tough 78-76 decision in overtime before falling 71-65 as lofty 14-point underdogs in the rematch. St. Louis went on to cover both games with ease. Should both teams triumph in the quarters, they would be destined to meet up a third time in the semis. Should that turn out to be the case, just hope the game doesn’t have to get decided from the charity stripe. The Billikens can’t shoot ‘em to save their lives evidenced by a 58 percent team success rate (No. 353).
Longshot to Bet: Davidson Wildcats +2500
I’d never fault anyone taking a shot with a Bob McKillop coached team. While this year’s version of the Wildcats is nowhere near as good as past versions that pulled a few upsets in the Big Dance, it’s still one that has the makeup to win a tournament like this and punch its ticket back to the tourney. The team won’t intimidate defensively, but that’s not this team’s game. Davidson lives and dies with the 3-ball; for the most part, it’s gotten away with it in averaging nearly 73 points per game while running the nation’s No. 26 ranked offensive efficiency onto the hardwood per the current Pomeroy Ratings. That Jon Axel Gudmundsson is a son of a you know what for opposing defenses to deal with, and he’s one of many sharpshooters the Wildcats boast that could get hot that propels the team to go on a run. If looking for a longshot lottery ticket to throw some beer money on in this tourney, Davidson is it!
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