Last Saturday’s parlay picks ended up 3-2 ATS but could’ve just as easily swept the board for the second straight week. Texas got the day started off in style with a skunking of West Virginia whose positive analytic resume grossly failed to show in Austin after getting pounded 94-60. UConn came through for us a second time in the work week after losing but covering the closing CBB odds in a 56-53 loss at Creighton. Undermanned TCU proved to be game for a bulk of the game, but Baylor found a way to pull away late and move us to 3-0 for the day by logging the 72-68 win as short 1-point favorites. That’s where the fun stopped. Michigan failed to topple Indiana though it led a majority of the game, and then the Dookies were robbed of potential game-winning free throw attempts in regulation which ultimately cost us after they went on to fall 69-62 in overtime as 6-point underdogs. I wonder if any of those refs in Charlottesville were involved with the horrendous penalty call that decided Super Bowl LVII! After cruising for the better part of the last six weeks, we’ve started to hand some profits back to the online sportsbook. That stops today!
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Indiana Hoosiers
Though the Hoosiers pissed me off last Saturday in Ann Arbor by winning a game they likely shouldn’t have, Mike Woodson’s kids got back in my good graces on Wednesday when I hammered them in the second half at Northwestern. They ultimately came all the way back to tie the game up down 19 at the break to easily cover that 6-point spread. The last second defeat to the Wildcats should have Trayce Jackson-Davis and his mates extremely motivated to return home and put on a show in hopes of sweeping the season rivalry from the Fighting Illini. Indy buried Illinois in the first meeting 80-65 as 6.5-point Champagne underdogs by way of lighting it up from the field (62%) and winning the battle of the boards 32-25. Most importantly, the defense held the Illini to a 39 percent shooting clip. They’ll be laying a couple possessions in the rematch and I’ll gladly lay ‘em in front of a frenzied Assembly Hall!
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Don’t look now, but Texas Tech has the look of a team that could go on one of those crazy end of season runs that finds it entering the Big 12 Tournament with a full head of steam that nobody will want to get in front of. While the Big 12 road has been nothing short of nightmarish for Kevin Obanor and his mates with the team winless through six tries (2-3-1 ATS), I want absolutely nothing to do with the West Virginia Mountaineers and will fade them again in this revenge spot for the Red Raiders. WVU hammered them in Lubbock 76-61 as 3.5-point dogs back on January 25 in a game it shot 37 percent from the field but did manage to sink 10 of 35 attempted shots from beyond the arc. It also killed Tech on the glass 41-22! Even after logging back-to-back wins against K-State and Texas their last two times out, the Red Raiders will be catching an inflated number and I’ll be all over it like white on rice!
Kansas State Wildcats
The luster on the Wildcats mid-season run has lost a bit of its shine with Jerome Tang’s kids managing just one win the last five times they took to the hardwood. This however looks to be a spot as good as any for a bounce back effort running up against an Iowa State team it had an opportunity to beat in Ames but failed to hit the big shots late when it mattered most. They ultimately fell by an 80-76 final count but covered the 5.5-point spread to send us back to the window winners. I’m firing right back on Keyontae Johnson and Co. in the rematch after the team shot 52 percent against the Cyclones No. 8 ranked defensive efficiency in hostile territory. Back home in the “Octagon of Doom,” look for Kansas State to even the score and do so by taking advantage of some home cooking much like ISU did in the first go-round. Look for a better defensive showing and made late-game free throws to propel the home team to the win and cover as short chalk.
Utah State Aggies
It looks to be a foregone conclusion that Brian Dutcher’s Aztecs will go on to win the regular season title for the third time in the last four seasons. With that, seeding in the upcoming conference tournament is the only thing left for Nevada and Utah State to fight for with each in positions to potentially snag the No. 2 overall seed should things go their respective ways. It was a tale of two halves between these teams when they met in the Lawlor Events Center in mid-January. The Aggies took a 42-37 lead into the break, but then got outscored 48-28 in the second half to fall by an 85-70 final count. Save for losing the rebounding battle 32-29, the Wolf Pack were outstanding in shooting 55 percent from the field and only turning the ball over seven times. The big three of Jarod Lucas, Will Baker, and Kenan Blackshear accounted for nearly 86 percent of the scoring output. To tame Steven Ashworth and his mates at home, Nevada will need to play lock down defense and get contributions from others. I don’t envision it happening with Nevada a much different team away from Reno. The Aggies even the season rivalry with a win by margin!
Missouri Tigers
Mizzou returns home to Columbia for this grudge match with Texas A&M off arguably its poorest showing of the season after getting pounded into submission by the Auburn Tigers. Adding to the motivation factor is the fact that they dropped an ugly 82-64 decision to the Aggies back on January 11 after allowing A&M to shoot 53 percent from the field and drain 10 of 23 long range shots en route to logging the decisive win on their home court. Even with Buzz Williams’ kids looking to chase down Alabama for regular season bragging rights sitting a single game back in the standings, I’m bullish on Kobe Brown and Co. riding their home court advantage to a key win that puts it in a position to snag one of the top-four seeds in the upcoming SEC tourney and the bye that comes with it. So long as the Tigers don’t get destroyed on the glass like they did in the first go-round (41-21), I expect their ability to force turnovers and score efficiently at the rim to lead them to the crucial win. They forced 18 A&M turnovers in the first meeting and will cruise to the home win and CBB odds cover if they mimic that feat!
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