Last Saturday’s parlay picks were both fantastic and nightmarish. First the bad; we stood no chance of covering with either Minnesota or DePaul as double-digit underdogs. A fatigued Northwestern squad took it right to the Gophers from the outset and never looked back. The Blue Demons made things interesting for a half, but got their doors blown off over the final 20. Creighton handled Xavier as expected both in the first half as well as the full game. That was a banger! Maryland continued its hot play by skunking the undermanned Cornhuskers right from the opening tip. We closed the night out with another winner after BYU nearly handed St. Mary’s its first WCC loss of the season. Aidan Mahaney’s end-game heroics allowed for the Gaels to escape the Marriott Center with the 1-point win which saw the Coogs easily cover the 6.5-point betting line. The 6-3 showing has us nicely in the black over the last month, so let’s roll those winnings into this Saturday’s action and see if we can’t churn out another winning parlay card at the online sportsbook!
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Miami Hurricanes
Raise your hand if you believe the Clemson Tigers are in fact the cream of the ACC crop! While the conference as a whole has left much to be desired recently, I still don’t believe Brad Brownell’s kids have it in them to continue holding onto the top spot in the conference. While a tough sell to fade them coming off an embarrassing loss in Chestnut Hill as 4.5-point road chalk against the Eagles, I’m going to do just that! Clemson has been living on borrowed time for a while now, and the Miami Hurricanes are exactly the type of team that can go into Littlejohn and spring the upset. For it to occur, Isaiah Wong and his mates must bring their “A” game at the offensive end of the court and attack the paint in hopes of taking advantage of a Clemson team that thrives defensively near the rack (No. 17) but does foul quite a bit (No. 184). This will be a game of runs for both sides, but in the end it’ll be Miami that logs the huge outright road win and cover.
Indiana Hoosiers
We confidently faded the Indiana Hoosiers in College Park on Tuesday night knowing full well it will have undoubtedly had one eye on Saturday’s matchup with the hated and freshly anointed no. 1 ranked Purdue Boilermakers. Maryland currently playing some of its best ball of the season also played a role. However, I’m ready to jump on Trayce Jackson-Davis and the No. 21 ranked Hoosiers back home in what’s expected to be a raucous Assembly Hall. So long as Indy doesn’t allow Zach Edey to destroy them on the glass, I’m bullish on Mike Woodson’s kids holding serve and handing PU an overdue loss. While the Boilers stand an unscathed 6-0 on the road, they’re just 2-3-1 against the College Basketball betting lines winning the four close matchups by an average of just 2.8 points per game. Since embarrassingly falling to Northwestern as 6.5-point favorites in early January, Indiana has throttled Wisconsin (63-45), Michigan State (82-69), and Ohio State (86-70) on its home hardwood. Purdue is well overdue for a shellacking and it wouldn’t surprise me one bit if it occurred in this spot!
Mississippi State Bulldogs
I went all-in on Mizzou nearly 10 days ago in its visit to Oxford where it ran up against the Ole Miss Rebels. That was a spot I comfortably backed Kobe Brown and co. regardless of the fact that the Tigers had been no-shows in its prior three SEC road games. Each resulted in a defeat that saw them manage just one point spread cover. This visit to Starkville will be a completely different ball of wax. Though Missouri enters this tilt looking to build upon a three-game win streak (2-0-1 ATS), I don’t like the way Dennis Gates kids matchup with the Dawgs. Miss State is the owner of the SEC’s fourth highest defensive efficiency and excels defending the paint (No. 17) as well as the perimeter (No. 48). It sports by far the much better overall defense in this matchup and just so happens to be playing some of its best ball in conference play right now. Though the Bulldogs offense leaves much to be desired, I expect it to get multiple looks per possession with it holding an enormous edge on the offensive glass (No. 14). If Mizzou escapes Humphrey Coliseum with a dub, it will have earned it!
UCLA Bruins
Once looked upon as one of the premiere teams in the land, the UCLA Bruins have lost a bit of their luster in recent weeks. They enter Thursday night’s home tilt against Washington losers of two straight after dropping back-to-back games at Arizona and USC. The latter saw them piss away a 12 point halftime lead and proceed to give up 52 second half points to the Trojans. With that, I firmly expect Mick Cronin to have his team’s full attention with it closing out the two-game homestand against a Wazzou team that fought them to the death but came up just short in a 67-66 defeat in Pullman back on December 30. The Bruins did however get to the line 22 times in hostile territory and forced 10 turnovers. The Cougars still turn it over a ton (No. 252) and put their opposition at the charity stripe at a high percentage clip (No. 156). UCLA inexplicably got outboarded 40-31 in the first go-round, and that’s something I expect gets rectified in the rematch. Wazzou will enter this tilt the trendy dog with it in the midst of a three-game cover streak, but Jaime Jaquez Jr. and his mates won’t overlook them this time.
St. Mary’s Gaels
I’ve been talking up Randy Bennett’s kids all season so it comes with little surprise that I’ll be backing the St. Mary’s Gaels in the first of two must-see showdowns with Gonzaga. While Drew Timme and Julian Strawther are two of the more gifted players in the country, the Bulldogs inability to lock it down defensively (No. 80) has me siding with the home team late Saturday night. The Zags are serving up over 73 points a game in allowing a near 35 percent conversion rate from beyond the arc (No. 250). While the Gaels midrange game is lacking, it can shoot the lights out from long range if given the chance (No. 32). While the Bulldogs also make hay from deep (No. 29), Mary’s only concedes a 31.3 percent conversion rate from beyond the arc (No. 62) and ranks third in defensive rebounding. The Gaels cruise if leading rebounders Mitchell Saxen and Kyle Bowen limit the Zags second chance scoring opportunities. Don’t be shocked when you see Mahaney and co. favored by multiple possessions – lay those points!
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