A year ago, the Alabama Crimson Tide and Arkansas Razorbacks possessed +2500 and +2200 respective odds of winning the SEC Tournament. Now, Nate Oats and Eric Musselman are overlooking the co-favorites to win it; that’s simply outstanding! A team on the complete opposite end of the spectrum is the Kentucky Wildcats who check in with a bloated +1500 rate of return to cut the nets down at online sportsbooks. A far cry from last year’s team that saw John Calipari’s troops locked in as the +175 favorite. My how times have changed in the SEC! But don’t for one instant accept the belief that the chalk will just simply waltz their way to the title game. There are a handful of good teams and plenty of landmines abound for the expected winners to stumble and fall flat on their faces. Each and every single one of these teams have warts, and that will play a huge role in ultimately deciding the victor of this tournament. The following are three teams that I’ve already invested in to make some noise in Nashville come the end of the week!
The SEC Tournament is set to tip-off on Wednesday, March 10, 2021 from the Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN. The games will be broadcast live on the SEC Network and ESPN.
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ODDS TO WIN SEC TOURNAMENT
Alabama +240
Arkansas +300
Tennessee +500
Florida +600
LSU +700
Missouri +1000
Kentucky +1500
Ole Miss +2500
Mississippi State +6000
Georgia +10000
South Carolina +15000
Texas A&M +20000
Vanderbilt +20000
Favorite to Bet: Arkansas Razorbacks +300
I currently have a +1700 ticket in my possession that the Alabama Crimson Tide go on to win the SEC Tournament. It was locked in way back in the middle of January before Bama let it be known to the rest of the betting public that it was indeed a major player. For the record, I also got a taste of John Petty Jr. and company at +6600 to win it all. I should be calm, cool and collected, right? Nope! And it has everything to do with Woo Pig Sooie after the team closed the regular season out with eight straight wins to go along with accruing seven pointspread covers. One of those wins just so happened to come in the form of an 81-66 beat down of the Crimson Tide at home to avenge the ugly 90-59 demolition absorbed in Tuscaloosa five weeks earlier. With Justin Smith now healthy and excelling, the Hogs are a beast that nobody’s figured out how to tame. Moses Moody is an electric type of player that can singlehandedly lead this team to the tourney win and bust brackets well into March. With only a loss at OK-State incurred dating back to January 20, Arkansas is a team you should be invested in to win this tournament as well as make some noise in the Big Dance. You’ll hate yourself if you don’t get a taste!
Underdog to Bet: Missouri Tigers +1000
From +10000 to win the SEC Tournament last season to +1000 this year, Cuonzo Martin has done a heck of a job molding Mizzou into the program he envisioned before taking the job in Columbia back in 2017. There’s much to like when putting the Tigers under the microscope. For starters, it runs a balanced attack with the offense ranked No. 38 in efficiency and defense No. 62 per the current Pomeroy Ratings. On top of that, Missouri owns one heck of a guard trio that’s complemented nicely by big man Jeremiah Tilmon who just put forth the most dominant regular season campaign of his four-year career. Unfortunately, the team faltered in a big way managing just two wins over its last seven games (3-4 ATS). But the Tigers loss will be astute CBB bettor’s gain with their odds of winning this tournament getting much longer over the last three weeks. It’s quest towards making some noise begins with a revenge bout against Georgia who battled back from a halftime deficit to win 80-70 back on February 16. From there, it would have to face Arkansas whom it split with in the regular season and either LSU or Mississippi; two teams it went 0-3 SU and ATS against. It’d no doubt relish getting another crack at either of those teams!
Longshot to Bet: Ole Miss Rebels +2500
If the Rebels are to get back to the NCAA Tournament for the second straight time under Kermit Davis’ watch, they’re going to need to make a deep run in the SEC Tourney. Though the folks at TeamRankings only give them a 3.32 percent shot of winning it and their implied probability clocks in at 3.85 percent, I think this 25-1 return is a godsend for those looking to throw a dart on the winner of this competition with the offering deliciously bloated! Bottom line, Ole Miss is a pain in the ass! The defense is nothing if not relentless in the way that it gives up next to nothing from 2-point range (No. 20), and forces an average of 16.0 turnovers per game (No. 22). Both parameters find Ole Miss ranked No. 20 in defensive efficiency per the Pomeroy Ratings. What is however bothersome is its inability to defend the perimeter (No. 304) and the offense being just about as exciting to watch as Coming 2 America. In other words, it’s bad; real bad! But should it run into an opponent struggling to find its range from deep, the Rebels defense and ability to force a multitude of miscues will put it in a position to win and advance and that’s all we’re looking for when betting futures.
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