This is it. The last six automatic bids to the NCAA Tournament will be filled on Sunday afternoon as the last six conferences determine which team will be crowned their champion. For conferences like the Ivy League, Atlantic 10, and the Sun Belt Conference, the winner today will get to join in on March Madness, while the loser is relegated to a lesser tournament. Bigger conferences like the SEC, AAC, and Big Ten have seen both of their finalists do enough to earn an at-large bid, so this will be huge in terms of seeding.
Ivy League Championship Game
Yale -4.5 vs. Harvard, O/U 144
These two academic behemoths are usually slugging it out for the top spot in the US News and World Report’s list of top universities in the United States, but they are fighting for the Ivy League’s lone bid to the NCAA Tournament this time.
Whichever school wins will win its first Ivy League Conference Tournament ever. The Ivy League was the last conference to adopt a conference tournament to determine its automatic bid, doing so in 2017, and Princeton and Penn were the two previous winners.
Harvard and Yale finished the regular season tied for first place at 10-4 in conference, but the Crimson beat the Elis in both of their meetings. Whichever team wins could be primed to pull off an upset in the NCAA Tournament as Yale beat Baylor as a No. 12 seed in 2016 and Harvard beat Cincinnati as a No.12 seed in 2014.
Atlantic 10 Championship Game
Saint Bonaventure -1 vs. Saint Louis, O/U 119.5
No one expected these two schools to meet in the A-10 Championship Game. VCU and Davidson had been the two best teams in the conference all year, but the Bonnies and the Billikens have been on a tear throughout the conference tournament.
St. Bonaventure beat St. Louis 66-57 last week in their lone regular season meeting, and the Bonnies will be a little less fatigued here. St. Louis is playing its fourth game in four days, while St. Bonaventure is playing its third game in three days.
SEC Championship Game
Tennessee -4.5 vs. Auburn, O/U 145.5
There has already been quite a bit of line movement in the SEC title game. The original total came out at 149.5, but it has since dropped four points overnight, indicating a significant amount of money on the under. Some money has come in on the Vols too. Tennessee Volunteers opened as a four-point favorite, but the line has ticked up a half-point. Auburn beat Tennessee 84-80 in their lone regular season meeting last week.
Sun Belt Championship Game
Georgia State -4 vs. Texas Arlington, O/U 138
The Panthers beat the Mavericks in both of their regular season meetings, and they will need to beat them one more time if they are going to make it to their third NCAA Tournament in five years. Georgia State has a significant edge on UT Arlington in Ken Pomeroy’s ratings, and this line could move in favor of the Panthers. The total has already come down two points from where it opened.
AAC Championship Game
Houston -4.5 vs. Cincinnati, O/U 127.5
These two teams have been the best in the AAC throughout the season, so it’s only fitting they meet one more time for the conference title. Houston won the regular season title and would be in line for a No. 3 seed if it won this game, while Cincinnati would likely get a No. 5 seed with a win here. Money has already started to come in on Houston as the Cougars were originally a four-point favorite.
Big 10 Championship Game
Michigan State -1 vs. Michigan, O/U 130.5
A No. 1 seed is probably on the line here. Michigan and Michigan State Spartans are currently on the No. 2 line according to Joe Lunardi, but it’s hard to imagine the Selection Committee not giving one of these two teams a No. 1 seed considering how strong they were in the regular season. We have already seen a ton of action on the under here. The total opened at 134.5, and it has since dropped by four points. The two previous games between these rivals ended up with 147 points and 138 points combined.
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