A potential preview of the NBA Finals will be taking place on ABC Saturday night prime time television from Philadelphia. The Golden State Warriors are the prohibitive favorite to win their third consecutive NBA title and four in the last five years. The problem is that their popularity is so high that a ton of casual betting money perpetually puts them into overlay status. The Philadelphia 76ers have quickly earned their own level of respect from the gambling public and are now one of the most sought-after bets on the pro basketball board.
Golden State Warriors vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Date and Time: Saturday, March 2, 2019, 8:30 p.m. ET
Location: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
NBA Odds at BookMaker.eu: Check Back Later
Warriors Vs. 76ers TV coverage: ABC
Odds Analysis
This matchup should make for very even live betting. The Warriors may be the public’s team although not so much on the road against a quality opponent. The 76ers will draw plenty of support in their own right as the home team capable of beating anyone that they face.
Current Form
Philadelphia backers have seen a lot of red ink lately. The 76ers have paid in just three of their last nine games with seven of their last ten games going under the total. As a result, Philadelphia is 39-22 straight up, 28-33 against the spread, and 32-29 over the total. The 76ers are in second place in the Atlantic Division.
As bad as the 76ers have been the Warriors have been even worse with just two covers in their last ten games. Golden State has gone over the total in three of their last five games. The defending champions are now 43-18 straight up, 25-35-1 against the spread and 33-28 over the total. Golden State is running away with the Pacific Division standings.
Matchup Metrics
Golden State is the top ranked scoring team in the NBA but ranks 18th for points allowed. The Warriors are also the top shooting team in the Association and rank second for three-point shooting. Golden State is also fourth for free throw percentage.
Philadelphia ranks fifth in the Association for scoring offense and 20th for points allowed. The 76ers rank fifth in the NBA for both offensive and defensive rebounding.
Players to Watch
Joel Embiid powers Philadelphia with 27.3 points and 13.5 rebounds per game. Stephen Curry tops the Warriors with 28.3 points per game while Kevin Durant adds 27.5 points per outing.
ATS Stats
While the Warriors have not been a good overall value their best results have been on the road. Golden State has covered the spread in seven of their last ten away matchups. Three of their last five road tilts have gone under the total. Philadelphia has not been a good recent value at home with just three payouts in their last eight home tilts. Four of their last six home court affairs went under the total.
Head to Head
It may surprise some that the 76ers have had full control of the cashier’s cage in their series with the Warriors. To illuminate Philadelphia has paid in seven of their last eight meetings with Golden State. Eight of the last 11 games between these two teams went under the total. And at Wells Fargo Center the Sixers have completely ruled the payout window. Philadelphia has come away with the cash in 10 of their last 11 home games against Golden State with four of the last five in this matchup at Philly staying under the total.
Free NBA Betting Odds Pick
With both teams struggling the head to head record of Philadelphia takes precedent.
NBA Betting Odds Pick: Philadelphia 76ers
NBA Betting Odds Score Prediction: 76ers 110, Warriors 104
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