After a thrilling weekend at The Open Championship you can expect a more subdued setting when the PGA Tour heads to TPC Twin Cities for the sixth playing of the 3M Open. There is a drop in name recognition with most high profile players taking a break in the penultimate event of the Tour’s regular season. Nonetheless we’ll see a full field looking to make a move up the FedExCup standings or trying to solidify their ranking with the playoffs a few weeks away. Lee Hodges put on a show last year winning his first PGA Tour title. Hodges set a tournament scoring record at 24-under 260 to win by a record seven swings. He’s positioned well down the odds board in the outright market with 2022 champ Tony Finau listed as the betting favorite. However, betting odds suggest a wide open race opening up possibilities in tournament matchups. Visit BookMaker.eu for a complete updated list of matchup odds when you’re ready to place a wager.
3M Open Matchup Odds
Tony Finau -135 vs. Akshay Bhatia +113
Tony Finau -140 vs. Sahith Theegala +117
Akshay Bhatia -115 vs. Sahith Theegala -105
Sam Burns -115 vs. Billy Horschel -105
Sam Burns -150 vs. Luke Clanton +125
Billy Horschel -140 vs. Luke Clanton +117
Tom Hoge -115 vs. Keegan Bradley -105
Keith Mitchell -120 vs. Taylor Pendrith +100
JT Poston -135 vs. Erik Van Rooyen +113
Cam Davis +109 vs. Adam Hadwin -130
Emiliano Grillo +100 vs. Nick Dunlap -120
Kurt Kitayama -125 vs. Mac Meissner +105
Maverick McNealy -120 vs. Mackenzie Hughes +100
Patrick Rodgers +109 vs. Austin Eckroat -130
Joel Dahmen +127 vs. Chan Kim -153
Sam Stevens +100 vs. Ben Griffin -120
Adam Svensson -105 vs. Doug Ghim -115
Jake Knapp +129 vs. Thriston Lawrence -155
Matt Wallace -120 vs. Lee Hodges +100
Rico Hoey +105 vs. Andrew Novak -125
Ben Silverman -165 vs. Neal Shipley +137
Jhonattan Vegas +113 vs. Seamus Power -135
Kevin Yu -160 vs. Michael Thorbjornsen +133
Max Greyserman +100 vs. Ryo Hisatsune -120
Beau Hossler -120 vs. Michael Kim +100
Patrick Fishburn -145 vs. Pierceson Coody +121
JJ Spaun -130 vs. Taylor Moore +109
Andrew Putnam -125 vs. Chesson Hadley +105
Dylan Wu -115 vs. SH Kim -105
Sam Ryder -120 vs. Harry Hall +100
Need to Know
A long time stop on the Champions Tour, TPC Twin Cities was renovated prior to the PGA Tour’s arrival in 2019. The track stretches to 7,431 yards at par 71. And there isn’t a lot of data to work with since the tournament is just in its sixth year. The Arnold Palmer design features upwards of 30 water hazards with a number of strategically-placed bunkers sprinkled throughout. The obstacles shouldn’t impede too much and low scores are expected. The previous five champions averaged better than 19-under par. Hodges dominated last year in his wire-to-wire victory opening with a 63 to outdistance the field by seven swings. In 2022, Finau overcame a five-shot deficit in the final round to win by three shots. The course is relatively straightforward and avoiding obstacles will lead to lower scores.
3M Open Matchup Picks
Cam Davis +109 vs. Adam Hadwin
He has a tough opponent but Davis checks all the boxes when it comes to backing him. He’s on a run of good form heading in, he’s been strong at TPC Twin Cities and at plus odds his price is inviting. Two starts ago Davis won the Rocket Mortgage Classic and last time out placed T26 at the Scottish Open. He also has three top 20s and a T28 in his last four visits making him a player worth backing at his price.
Emiliano Grillo +100 vs. Nick Dunlap
We haven’t seen the best of Grillo in some time with a prolonged slump keeping him out of the top 25 in his last 11 starts. However, if he’s going to end the skid, this is the perfect venue with two of his 12 career podium finishes happening at TPC Twin Cities. He earned a T3 in 2020 and was co-runner-up in 2022 three shots back of Tony Finau. He was also good last year finishing T10 and he carries a scoring average of 67.33 in those three starts.
Lee Hodges +100 vs. Matt Wallace
With no top 10 finishes this season I guess it’s a good thing we’re not backing Hodges for the outright. Though, if we did last year we’d have a good chunk of change since he was around 85/1. Two of his best efforts in the last two years took place at this joint with his record 7-shot win in 2023 preceded by a T16 in 2022. Considering his fondness for TPC Twin Cities he’s worth the risk at even money.
Rico Hoey +105 vs. Andrew Novak
It was probably a gutsier move to back Hoey in the outright market, but at his price and with his recent form it seems like a smart move to back him in this matchup. He’s been lights out over his last four starts finishing among the top 8 three times along with a T26. He was part of a 5-man playoff at the ISCO Championship earning a share of second and was three-shots back of the lead at the Rocket Mortgage Classic for a T6.
Taylor Pendrith +100 vs. Keith Mitchell
Everyone is playing for something, but the stakes might be a little higher for Pendrith giving him the motivation for a stronger finish. With a berth on the 2024 Presidents Cup team up for grabs, it behooves Pendrith to close as strongly as possible. He’s currently ranked 14th with the top six automatically qualifying. He helped his cause with a T5 at the Barracuda Championship and can do so again with a solid outing at TPC Twin Cities.
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