The swing through the Sunshine State continues this week when the PGA Tour heads to just outside Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. The tournament annually attracts a strong field with a number of top golfers attacking the Bay Hill Club and Lodge to pay tribute to the tournament’s namesake. And with this being another Signature Event on the schedule, the best of the best are ready to peg it up. We don’t always see the best triumph in this event with Kurt Kitayama toppling the field last year as a 200/1 dog. More times than not, however, we see a player from the top of the odds board have success. Former winners Scottie Scheffler (2022) and Rory McIlroy (2018) are the betting favorites and the only players with shorter than 10/1 odds on the opening line. There is value further down the odds board with Sam Burns, Max Homa, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa in the 25/1 range. Be sure to visit BookMaker.eu for a complete list of betting odds when you’re ready to place a wager.
Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Odds
Scottie Scheffler +675
Rory McIlroy +950
Viktor Hovland +1450
Xander Schauffele +1450
Patrick Cantlay +1650
Jordan Spieth +1850
Ludvig Aberg +2250
Sam Burns +2450
Max Homa +2450
Justin Thomas +2850
Collin Morikawa +2850
Cameron Young +2850
Will Zalatoris +2850
Tommy Fleetwood +3050
Matt Fitzpatrick +3050
Jason Day +3650
Hideki Matsuyama +4550
Keegan Bradley +4550
Wyndham Clark +5050
Sahith Theegala +5050
Chris Kirk +5050
Harris English +5050
Jake Knapp +5050
Adam Scott +5050
Byeong Hun An +5050
Tom Kim +6050
Shane Lowry +6050
Corey Conners +6050
Kurt Kitayama +6050
Odds Analysis
Jason Day +3650
Flying a little under the radar and with plenty of value at his price, Day is an intriguing option. He closed last season with a win at the unofficial Grant Thornton Invitational with Lydia Ko and has kept right on rolling with three top 10s in five starts, including the last two. Day closed The Genesis with a 72 falling to ninth and before that was T6 at Pebble Beach. He’s had success in this event winning in 2016 along with five additional top 25s, including a top 10 last year.
Matt Fitzpatrick +3050
He might be slightly undervalued given his recent form, but Fitzpatrick has been a demon at Bay Hill making him worth a look. He finished T21 last week and also has a T14 and T15 on his season resume along with a pair of MCs. But it’s his record at Bay Hill that stands out. Over his last five starts in this event Fitz has four top 10s including a runner-up in 2019. He hasn’t finished worse than T14 over that stretch and there’s plenty of value backing him.
Russell Henley +7050
Kitayama’s upset here last year was proof that anything can happen on the golf course. Still it’s hard to see beyond the top 10 or so favorites. But you almost have to in order to land that big payday. There’s nothing to suggest Henley has a win up his sleeve, but you could say that about a handful of tournaments from the season already. The form is decent with five paydays in five tries and Henley has reached the weekend in his last three API starts with a T13 two years ago.
Jordan Spieth +1850
Hopefully the rust isn’t a factor since Spieth hasn’t played a full tournament in a month. He was DQ’d from The Genesis after carding a first round 66 and was in position to continue a strong start that saw him reach the podium at The Sentry and get a T6 in Phoenix. He’s played this event just twice in his career earning a share of fourth both times.
Cameron Young +2850
Rookie of the Year a few seasons ago, Young is racking consistently good showings reminding us of why he won the honor in 2021-22. He topped the field in par 4 scoring last week on his way to a T4, his second top 10 in three starts that also included a T16 at The Genesis. His scoring average over the last 12 rounds is a sparkling 68.25 with nothing worse than a 72. Toss in a T10 last year in this event and a T13 two years and Young becomes a solid target with an acceptable price.
Course: Bay Hill Club and Lodge – 7,466 yards, Par 72
Arnold Palmer loved the property so much he purchased the course in 1975 then negotiated with the PGA Tour to bring an official tournament to Orlando in 1979. The Arnold Palmer Invitational has been played ever since. The layout has undergone renovations in the years since to increase its appeal to amateurs and the public while remaining a challenge for pros. It’s a stock par 72 that plays long and is mostly flat . Wide fairways are a bonus, but the par 4s need to be played conservatively making this a second-shot course. Scoring can be made up on the par 5s. Though the track is straightforward it yields closer to par scores on average. And it’s Florida so water is a factor and there’s always a chance wind plays a role. Three of the last four winners carded single-digit below par scores.
TV Coverage: NBC, Golf Channel
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