Serving as the final tune up before the second major of the season, the PGA Tour assembles just outside Dallas for this week’s AT&T Byron Nelson with a solid field ready to navigate TPC Craig Ranch. The eyes of Texas will be upon K.H. Lee, though, as he looks to become one of just a handful of players to win the same event in three successive playings. A significant underdog last year, Lee closed with a 63 to win by one shot over Jordan Spieth. We won’t have the same drama this year with Spieth recently withdrawing from the field due to a wrist injury. Spieth is out of the picture but plenty of Texans will be looking to bump off Lee and become the first to win in his home state since 2007. The likeliest is Scottie Scheffler, who opened as a big favorite in the outright market. But like we saw last year, anything can happen. Visit BookMaker.eu for a complete list of betting odds when you’re ready to place a wager.
Odds to Win AT&T Byron Nelson
Scottie Scheffler +350
Tyrrell Hatton +1400
Jason Day +1600
Tom Kim +2000
Hideki Matsuyama +2200
Kyoung-Hoon Lee +2500
Matt Kuchar +3000
Adam Scott +3500
Tom Hoge +3500
J.J Spaun +4000
Min Woo Lee +4000
Seamus Power +4000
Si Woo Kim +4000
Stephan Jaeger +4000
Taylor Montgomery +4000
Aaron Wise +5000
Byeong-Hun An +5000
Davis Riley +5000
Maverick McNealy +5000
William Gordon +5000
Adam Hadwin +5500
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +6600
Ben Griffin +7000
Brandon Wu +7000
Scott Stallings +7000
Eric Cole +7500
Joseph Bramlett +7500
Mackenzie Hughes +7500
Michael Kim +7500
Aaron Rai +8000
Adam Schenk +8000
Justin Suh +8000
Sam Stevens +8000
Seonghyeon Kim +8000
Odds Analysis
Adam Hadwin +5500
There’s little value backing the favorite and seeing Lee dominate the last two years when positioned further down the odds board gives me a chance to look at a few longshots. I’m not going too deep, but Hadwin is an interesting player as a late entry. He missed the cut on the number last week and doesn’t have time to dwell on it. Instead he should look back on his visit to New Orleans when he shared second with teammate Nick Taylor at the Zurich Open. Hadwin is a hit and miss player, but when he hits he’s good, and this is a good setup for him.
Tyrrell Hatton +1400
You don’t often catch the second favorite at a decent price telling us either the favorite is really good, which he is, or that the field is evenly spaced. I think both apply here and Hatton gets the nod based on last week’s podium finish when everything was clicking. It’s his first twirl around Craig Ranch but Hatton has done enough over his career where that isn’t a factor. And the course itself isn’t daunting. Continue to play well ahead of a major is the objective.
Seamus Power +4000
A number of players have enjoyed success at Craig Ranch with Power among them. And entering after a confidence-boosting T18 at Quail Hollow should only help him continue his strong play at the venue. Power was T9 in 2021 and T17 at last year’s event with the entire game shining. In those two tournaments he boasts a scoring average of 67.50.
J.J Spaun +4000
This is the type of event and field that could allow Spaun to make an impression. He’s been around in several events making the cut in 13 of 18 starts. He placed among the top 30 in his last two starts and taking on a course that doesn’t offer much resistance will benefit players like Spaun the most. He also has a history here playing the weekend twice, though not a real threat to win. I’m betting on that changing.
Scott Stallings +7000
I feel as though Stallings is overpriced and didn’t hesitate to get a piece of the action. He’s having a decent season so far going 11 of 15 with four top 25 finishes. He also has a history at Craig Ranch earning a podium in 2021 followed by a top 25 last year. His game translates well on this course and could be huge if it translates to a win.
Course: TPC Craig Ranch – 7,414 yards, Par 71
TPC Craig Ranch made its debut as a PGA Tour host in 2021 and is locked in for the next three years bringing some stability to what has been a nomadic existence for the tournament. And it’s safe to say K.H. Lee has owned the property winning the previous two events held at the venue. The course was viewed positively by players after the initial playing, which usually happens when scores go low. Lee won at 25-under in 2021 and was one shot better at 26-under last year. It’s not an overwhelming layout and more of the same is expected this week. There is plenty of room down the fairways and minimal rough that will give hitters an edge. The greens are firm and several reachable par 4s offer a chance to make up strokes. And more impressive was that the four par 5s yielded 82 eagles in last year’s edition.
TV Coverage: Golf Channel, CBS
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