Even a week in Bermuda is a hard sell to some of the PGA Tour’s bigger names. The fourth edition of the Butterfield Bermuda Championship will have a full field minus a large number of the sports best as they take time to relax and recuperate. That leaves the door wide open for an unsuspecting winner, much like we had last year when DP World Tour standout Lucas Herbert won his first PGA Tour title in just his third start as a member. Herbert is not in the field, but 2020 champ Brian Gay is, though he’s positioned well down the odds board. A tightly compacted field on the betting board brings about some intriguing matchups Be sure to visit BookMaker.eu for a complete list of matchup odds when you’re ready to place a wager.
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Matchup Odds
Denny McCarthy -187 vs. Thomas Detry +148
Denny McCarthy -137 vs. Seamus Power +107
Thomas Detry +118 vs. Seamus Power -148
Mark Hubbard -134 vs. Adrian Meronk +104
Mark Hubbard -148 vs. Justin Lower +118
Adrian Meronk -120 vs. Justin Lower -110
Patrick Rodgers -145 vs. Nick Hardy +115
Patrick Rodgers -127 vs. Aaron Rai -103
Nick Hardy +104 vs. Aaron Rai -134
S.H. Kim +124 vs. Alex Smalley -156
Stephan Jaeger -138 vs. Russell Knox +108
Greyson Sigg -131 vs. Robby Shelton +101
Adam Long -125 vs. Nick Taylor -105
Will Gordon -110 vs. Brandon Wu -120
Adam Schenk -142 vs. Callum Tarren +112
Cameron Percy +105 vs. Erik Van Rooyen -135
Byeong Hun An +104 vs. Doug Ghim -134
Michael Gligic -135 vs. Chesson Hadley +105
Austin Eckroat +107 vs. Sam Ryder -137
C.T. Pan -127 vs. Zecheng Dou -103
Harry Hall -121 vs. Ryan Armour -109
Lucas Glover -149 vs. Scott Piercy +119
Peter Malnati -109 vs. Tyler Duncan -121
Kramer Hickok -121 vs. Austin Smotherman -109
MJ Daffue -115 vs. Matthias Schmid -115
Ben Taylor -124 vs. Sam Stevens -106
Garrick Higgo -130 vs. Luke Donald +100
Ben Griffin -112 vs. Henrik Norlander -118
Hank Lebioda -116 vs. Nate Lashley -114
Chad Ramey -126 vs. Brian Stuard -104
Matthias Schwab -193 vs. Fabian Gomez +152
Austin Cook -126 vs. Andrew Novak -104
Camilo Villegas -123 vs. Aaron Baddeley -107
Need to Know
With most of the bigger names opting out, handicapping the field becomes more of a challenge. What isn’t difficult is the Port Royal. Stretched to 6,828 yards at par 71 it isn’t very demanding, though the up and down terrain can make it feel longer. The course didn’t scare Brendon Todd in the 2019 tournament debut when he carded a 24-under. Scores have been more reasonable lately with Gay and Herbert each scoring 15-under. Mother Nature was responsible for some of that with nasty conditions taking over last year. Given the length we won’t see many drivers this week turning this into a second-shot contest where accuracy is the name of the game. Like most coastal layouts wind serves as the primary defense. Players who can navigate the conditions typically do well.
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Matchup Picks
Adrian Meronk +104 vs. Mark Hubbard
I like his recent form but one thing that gave me second thoughts about backing Meronk was his debut status. However, earning his stripes on the DP World Tour took him to numerous challenging layouts and his play over the summer was noteworthy with a win at the Irish Open one of his four podium finishes in a seven start stretch. He has the perfect skillset for Port Royal and I don’t think he’s going to be intimidated. I backed him in the outright market and feel confident about his chances, especially at plus odds in this matchup.
Nick Hardy +104 vs. Aaron Rai
In a field like this the title is up for grabs. Herbert won last year positioned in the +7000 range so anything can happen. And Hardy is a player with something to prove as he begins his career on the PGA Tour. He earned his card with a pair of top-15s in the Korn Ferry Tour finals and faces a field similar to what he’d see in one of those events. That doesn’t mean he’s going to win or even compete, but it certainly makes him feel more at ease. He also has paydays in all three starts this season sitting near the top of the leaderboard with a T5 finish at the Sanderson Farms.
Thomas Detry +118 vs. Seamus Power
Another former European Tour player making the transition, Detry enters on a nice fun of form. He made the cut in each of his last five starts worldwide with a T5 at the BMW PGA Championship followed by T12 at Silverado and T9 at Jackson. I’m always looking to maximize the value in my picks and backing dogs doesn’t always work out. But when they hit the payout is nice and I like Detry, who has familiarity at Port Royal with a T22 last year.
Russell Knox +108 vs. Stephan Jaeger
With windy conditions in the forecast it might be a good idea to back someone who has experience with the elements. Scotland native Knox is one such player and catching him at plus odds is a bonus. Few have played all three events and fewer if any have better results than Knox. He’s seen it all in three years besting Port Royal for three top-16s with a scoring average slightly above 68.
Chesson Hadley +105 vs. Michael Gligic
If he makes the cut Hadley has a good chance of finishing up the leaderboard. That’s a big if, though, since he has four MCs in his last seven starts. But I think he’s worth the risk at his price and will confidently throw down on the veteran who finished among the top-20 in his only appearance at Port Royal in 2020.
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