To avoid any conflict with the NFL playoffs, this week’s Farmers Insurance Open is moved up a day with final round action taking place Saturday. I guess golf’s best like that idea with a stellar field attacking iconic Torrey Pines. A past winner here and victorious in three straight starts, the last two on the PGA Tour, Jon Rahm is the favorite in the outright market and has long odds in his tournament matchups. If you want to avoid Rahm’s outrageous prices there are numerous wagering opportunities on matchups just less time to handicap them. With a stellar field in place last year Luke List surprised coming from well down the odds board to win a playoff for his first career Tour title. The stacked field will attack the North and South Course at Torrey Pines over the first two days with cut survivors playing the weekend on the monstrous South Course. Visit BookMaker.eu for a complete list of matchup betting odds when you’re ready to place a wager.
Farmers Insurance Open Matchup Odds
Jon Rahm -200 vs. Tony Finau +160
Jon Rahm -240 vs. Justin Thomas +180
Jon Rahm -240 vs. Collin Morikawa +180
Tony Finau -140 vs. Justin Thomas +110
Tony Finau -150 vs. Collin Morikawa +120
Justin Thomas -120 vs. Collin Morikawa -110
Xander Schauffele -135 vs. Will Zalatoris +105
Xander Schauffele -200 vs. Hideki Matsuyama +160
Will Zalatoris -170 vs. Hideki Matsuyama +140
Sungjae Im -145 vs. Taylor Montgomery +115
Sungjae Im -130 vs. Max Homa +100
Taylor Montgomery -105 vs. Max Homa -125
Jason Day -150 vs. Si Woo Kim +120
Kurt Kitayama +105 vs. Sahith Theegala -135
Maverick McNealy -125 vs. J J Spaun -105
Cameron Davis -110 vs. Keegan Bradley -120
Justin Rose -145 vs. Harris English +115
Adam Hadwin -110 vs. Taylor Pendrith -120
Alex Smalley -110 vs. Wyndham Clark -120
Gary Woodland -120 vs. Rickie Fowler -110
Dean Burmester -120 vs. Emiliano Grillo -110
Thomas Detry -115 vs. Patrick Rodgers -115
Nick Hardy +100 vs. Luke List -130
Ryan Palmer +120 vs. Scott Stallings -150
Aaron Rai -105 vs. Beau Hossler -125
Sebastian Munoz -130 vs. Adam Svensson +100
Stephan Jaeger +100 vs. Brendan Steele -130
Matthew Nesmith -140 vs. Patton Kizzire +110
S H Kim -110 vs. Byeong-Hun An -120
Martin Laird -115 vs. Ben Taylor -115
Garrick Higgo -135 vs. Harry Higgs +105
To accommodate the full field we’ll see a multiple course format again. Every player will get 18 holes on the North and South Course over the first two days. Those surviving the cut will play the weekend on the more difficult south side, which has an updated length of 7,765 yards, making it the longest in history to host a Tour event. The North Course plays around 500 yards shorter and had a scoring average below 70 last year, so guys better get their scoring on this side. Only once in the past 10 years has the winning score been better than 15-under. The South layout expanded to nearly 7,700 yards in 2001 and additional yardage was added ahead of the 2020 edition. Big hitters typically do well here with the length, but high rough is an obstacle.
Farmers Insurance Open Matchup Picks
Tony Finau +160 vs. Jon Rahm
Nobody’s hotter than Rahm but Finau has done his best to stay in the conversation. And you have to figure that Rahm will falter at some point since he’s winning everything lately. Finau has continued a torrid pace that included back-to-back wins at the end of last season. He won for the third time in seven starts taking the title at the Houston Open and it’s hard to argue against his success at Torrey Pines with four top-10s among his seven top-25s. And his price seals it.
Xander Schauffele -135 vs. Will Zalatoris
I’m breaking away from my typical betting practice with Schauffele and Day. I tend to stay away from players in this range, but the X-Man thrilled everyone with his incredible albatross last week and he’s been pretty good so far with two top-5s among three top-10s in as many starts. And the local kid wrecked Torrey Pines with a runner-up in this tournament and a top-10 in the US Open in 2021.
Taylor Montgomery -105 vs. Max Homa -125
I’ll keep backing Montgomery until his game slows down, and thankfully that hasn’t happened yet. His run of solid form continued last week with a top-5 at the AMX, his eighth top-15 in nine starts this season. And the fun started for him 12 months ago when he carded a 64 en route to a T11 at Torrey Pines. Until the betting markets catch up there’s still some value backing Monty.
J J Spaun -105 vs. Maverick McNealy
This was a tough pick but I eventually settled on Spaun for a few reasons. First, his price is to my liking and second he’s been playing the best golf of his career for the past few months with four top-15s in as many official starts. Oh, and he’s also a San Diego State product and has played this tournament every year since joining the Tour in 2017 giving him plenty of insider knowledge.
Jason Day -150 vs. Si Woo Kim
The success Day has enjoyed at Torrey Pines outweighs his price in this matchup so I’m backing the Aussie at odds I usually try to avoid. It may end up being a mistake, but there’s no mistaking Day can wield a magical stick at this venue. A two-time winner at this event with six total top-10s, Day has been solid this season placing among the top-21 in five of his last six official starts.
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