The PGA Tour is one of the more popular sports but it still can’t compete with the NFL, or it doesn’t want to. To avoid a final round conflict with the conference championship games on Sunday, this week’s Farmers Insurance Open gets started a day earlier with the final 18 holes played on Saturday. Maybe Jon Rahm should let other golfers have a chance. A winner in three straight starts, the last two on the PGA Tour, Rahm is positioned as the prohibitive betting favorite in a stellar field set to peg it up at Torrey Pines. In addition to his 2017 title, Rahm placed among the top-7 in each of his last four starts here. Xander Schauffele is next on the board as the only other player with shorter than 10/1 odds. To accommodate a full field we see multiple courses again this week with the first two rounds played over the North and South Course at Torrey Pines. Visit BookMaker.eu for a complete list of betting odds when you’re ready to place a wager.
Odds to Win Farmers Insurance Open
Jon Rahm +440
Xander Schauffele +905
Tony Finau +1150
Justin Thomas +1700
Sungjae Im +1850
Will Zalatoris +1925
Collin Morikawa +1950
Max Homa +2650
Jason Day +2650
Taylor Montgomery +3650
Maverick Mcnealy +4050
Hideki Matsuyama +4450
Si Woo Kim +4550
Sahith Theegala +5550
Wyndham Clark +5650
Cameron Davis +5750
Alex Smalley +6250
Beau Hossler +6550
J.J. Spaun +6650
Dean Burmester +7050
Brendan Steele +7050
Justin Rose +7550
Taylor Pendrith +7550
Kurt Kitayama +8550
Keegan Bradley +8850
Adam Hadwin +9050
Gary Woodland +9850
Will Gordon +10000
Odds Analysis
Jason Day +2650
Playing solid golf and returning to a venue that’s treated him well over the years, it’s not a longshot backing Day this week. If recent form hasn’t convinced you for an outright bet, Day would be a good take in alternate markets. Of his six payouts in the last nine starts at Torrey Pines, Day placed among the top-5 five times with a pair of wins. After his MC in 2021, he responded with a podium finish last season deprived of another victory with a closing 72. In his last six official starts five ended with a finish among the top-21.
Tony Finau +1150
Another player with a strong history at Torrey Pines, Finau has used his prowess off the tee to finish among the top six in four of his last six starts. He’s also in fine form with a T7 at the TOC and T16 last week to go along with his title at the Houston Open in November. Finau is a consistent figure at the top of the odds board and he’s certainly a good pick this week despite his current price.
Maverick McNealy +4050
One of the more consistent players on Tour this season, it seems like only a matter of time before McNealy puts together that breakthrough tournament. He also has plenty of experience at Torrey Pines finishing among the top-30 three times in four appearances. You could argue he’s a better player right now than in his previous trips landing inside the top-12 in four of his last six starts with a T18-T27 in his other two. Flashing that consistency a few weeks ago with three straight 67s got him a T7 at Waialae.
Taylor Montgomery +3650
I’ve been backing Montgomery in matchups for several weeks with the roll he’s been on and he’s paid off for me. Now let’s see if he can take the next step. You can’t argue with the success he’s enjoyed continuing a torrid start to the campaign with a top-5 last week. Montgomery is 9 for 9 this season placing among the top-15 in eight of those starts. He’s been 70 or lower in each of his last 12 rounds with an average of 66.75 and it all started here last year when he finished T11.
J.J. Spaun +6650
The former San Diego State product hasn’t missed an FIO since joining the Tour in 2017 and he enters this week playing some of the best golf of his career. Spaun had a nice stay in Hawai’i with a T5 at the TOC and a T12 in the Sony Open giving him four straight top-15s. He has a top-10 among his four paydays at Torrey Pines and coupling strong form with course knowledge is a recipe for success.
Courses: Torrey Pines North Course and Torrey Pines South Course
Making the cut in this event will require the field to play the behemoth South Course three times. First used in 1968, the South Course played just over 7,000 yards. The renovation came in 2001, stretching the layout to over 7,700 yards, making it the longest on Tour and one of the toughest tests for the field each season. Big hitters on Tour typically do well with the length. The fairways are forgiving and you should definitely target strong drivers and approach players. Positioned well down the odds board, Luke List won his first and so far only PGA Tour event taking out Will Zalatoris last year in a playoff. The North Course was remodeled in 2016 and plays around 500 yards shorter leading to much lower scores. The field’s average score on this track last year was below 70, so players need to make up ground here.
TV Coverage: CBS, Golf Channel
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