As it turns out the PGA Tour can’t compete with the NFL, or it doesn’t want to. In order to avoid a final round conflict with the conference championship games on Sunday, this week’s Farmers Insurance Open gets started a day earlier with the final 18 holes played on Saturday. And a top-notch field is ready to peg it up at Torrey Pines with Jon Rahm positioned as the betting favorite in the outright market. Rahm will be at the top of the odds board in every tournament he plays and gets top billing again this week thanks to his success on the layout. He won the FIO in 2017 and prevailed in last year’s U.S. Open, which took place at ... you guessed it, Torrey Pines. To accommodate a full field we’ll see a multiple course format again this week with the first two rounds played over the North and South Course at Torrey Pines. Visit BookMaker.eu for a complete list of betting odds when you’re ready to place a wager.
Odds to Win Farmers Insurance Open
Jon Rahm +800
Justin Thomas +1200
Dustin Johnson +1500
Xander Schauffele +1600
Bryson DeChambeau +1800
Hideki Matsuyama +1800
Daniel Berger +2200
Sam Burns +2500
Scottie Scheffler +2500
Sungjae Im +2800
Tony Finau +2800
Will Zalatoris +2800
Brooks Koepka +3300
Jordan Spieth +3500
Marc Leishman +3500
Patrick Reed +3500
Corey Conners +4000
Talor Gooch +5000
Billy Horschel +5000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +6600
Joaquin Niemann +6600
Lanto Griffin +6600
Matthew Wolff +6600
Maverick McNealy +6600
Ryan Palmer +6600
Si Woo Kim +6600
Justin Rose +7000
Mackenzie Hughes +7500
Max Homa +7500
Odds Analysis
Jason Day +9000
It might be a stretch for Day to win the outright but he’s certainly worth taking a look at in alternate markets. And who’s to say the two-time winner of this event can’t rekindle some past magic. There certainly is some risk involved with this pick since Day hasn’t finished inside the top-40 since last July, but his price is the ultimate risk-reward option. His history at Torrey Pines is what piqued my interest with a pair of titles, a runner-up and another top-5 in his last eight starts here. A minor investment on the Aussie can yield a big payday and there’s always plenty of value in that scenario.
Max Homa +7500
A native Californian, some of Homa’s best work has come on the West Coast and he’s improved his play at Torrey Pines. Winner at the season-opening Fortinet Championship in Napa, two of his three career Tour wins have come in his home state with last year’s Genesis Invitational being the other. He opened the year with a T15 at the TOC and his strong play around the greens is a plus at Torrey Pines. His last two FIO starts yielded a top-20 with a ninth-place showing two years ago. He’s another solid risk-reward pick and I’m always looking for value.
Jordan Spieth +3500
I’m backing Spieth mainly because of what he accomplished last season. After a struggling for the better part of two years he found his game. He hasn’t played much this season with a T18 in the CJ CUP and T21 in the TOC, and outside of one poor round in each event he was as solid as can be. At last year’s U.S. Open on the South Course Spieth overcame an opening 77 to earn a top-20 and I couldn’t pass on his current price, which has plenty of value.
Matthew Wolff +6600
I really dipped down the odds board this week, which is a bit odd considering the strength of the field. And I’m looking at Wolff having a bounce back effort a MC last week. The American Express isn’t for everyone with the pro-am and three-course format so I’ll give Wolff a pass. That’s easy to do after his hot start to the season that included a pair of top-5s among his four top-20s in four previous events.
Will Zalatoris +2800
It looks like Zalatoris is back in the swing of things with three top-15s already this season. Strong iron play has been a big part of his game and he offers good distance off the tee, areas that should benefit him this week. He made a run last week carding a second-round 61 and closing 67 to place T6 at the American Express. And he had an impressive showing at last year’s FIO with a T7.
Courses: Torrey Pines North Course and Torrey Pines South Course
Making the cut in this event will require the field to play the behemoth South Course three times. First used in 1968, the South Course played just over 7,000 yards. The renovation came in 2001, stretching the layout to over 7,700 yards, making it the longest on Tour and one of the toughest tests for the field each season. The big hitters on the Tour typically do well with the length. The fairways are forgiving and you should definitely target strong drivers and approach players. Patrick Reed won last year’s edition by five swings over five other players. The North Course was remodeled in 2016 and plays around 500 yards shorter leading to much lower scores. The field’s average score on this track last year was below 70, so players need to make up ground here.
TV Coverage: CBS, Golf Channel
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