Just a few weeks ahead of the season’s fourth and final major most big names on the PGA Tour are using the time to rest. Thus we have a slimmed down field gathering in the Quad Cities area for the John Deere Classic at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois. Nine of the top 50 players in the OWGR are the most this tournament has seen in over a decade yet the opening odds suggest a wide open race to the title. Denny McCarthy has yet to win a PGA Tour event but is slotted as the favorite in the outright market as one of three players with shorter than 20/1 odds. Defending champ J.T. Poston led wire-to-wire for his second career Tour title but finds himself well down the odds board in his bid for a repeat. Several former winners of this event along with some of the games brightest young stars make for intriguing matchups. Visit BookMaker.eu to check out the latest matchup odds and to place your wager.
John Deere Classic Matchup Odds
Denny McCarthy +100 vs. Russell Henley -120
Denny McCarthy -130 vs. Cameron Young +109
Russell Henley -135 vs. Cameron Young +113
Ludvig Aberg -120 vs. Adam Schenk +100
Ludvig Aberg -115 vs. Adam Hadwin -105
Adam Schenk -105 vs. Adam Hadwin -115
Taylor Moore +100 vs. Emiliano Grillo -120
Taylor Moore -105 vs. Chris Kirk -115
Emiliano Grillo -115 vs. Chris Kirk -105
Stephan Jaeger -115 vs. Eric Cole -105
Stephan Jaeger -115 vs. Alex Smalley -105
Eric Cole -105 vs. Alex Smalley -115
Byeong Hun An -110 vs. Seamus Power -110
Nick Taylor -105 vs. Patrick Rodgers -115
JT Poston -105 vs. Beau Hossler -115
Sepp Straka -105 vs. Doug Ghim -115
Ryan Palmer -125 vs. K H Lee +105
Adam Svensson +105 vs. Joseph Bramlett -125
Christiaan Bezuidenhout -110 vs. Mark Hubbard -110
Taylor Montgomery +100 vs. Chez Reavie -120
Lucas Glover +105 vs. Michael Kim -125
Matt Kuchar -110 vs. Sam Stevens -110
Dylan Wu -120 vs. Gordon Sargent +100
MJ Daffue +109 vs. Garrick Higgo -130
Nick Hardy -110 vs. Callum Tarren -110
Ben Martin +105 vs. Brendon Todd -125
S.H. Kim -110 vs. Will Gordon -110
Kevin Streelman -115 vs. Sam Ryder -105
Matt NeSmith +100 vs. Akshay Bhatia -120
David Lipsky -135 vs. Peter Kuest +113
Greyson Sigg -125 vs. Andrew Novak +105
Chad Ramey -105 vs. Chesson Hadley -115
Justin Lower -115 vs. Tyler Duncan -105
Need to Know
The good news is that TPC Deere Run, which has hosted this event since 2000, has yielded low scores over the years. The last 13 winners averaged 21-under with 10 of them finishing at -20 or better on the 7,289-yard, par-71 layout. Poston became just the third wire-to-wire winner in the 50-year history finishing three shots clear of Emiliano Grillo and Christiaan Bezuidenhout, and all are scheduled to peg it up. In 2018 Michael Kim set a tournament scoring record at 27-under 257 to win by eight swings proving that anyone can come up large at the JDC. Deere Run is largely unchanged from last year with wide fairways keeping balls in play giving short accurate hitters an edge to the green. The course typically offers up a number of birdie opportunities and the field has taken advantage in the past.
John Deere Classic Matchup Picks
Denny McCarthy +100 vs. Russell Henley
You don’t see the favorite in the outright playing as a dog in a matchup which is why I jumped on the chance to throw down on McCarthy. I guess there isn’t a true favorite in a field like this and Henley could easily be the guy so a close battle is expected. McCarthy’s overall outlook has me backing him with a playoff loss and a T7 among three straight top 20s. He also has nine top 20s in his past 15 starts and placed T6 here last year. I’ll back the outright favorite at even money.
Emiliano Grillo -115 vs. Chris Kirk
If Grillo plays as well as he did in debut at Deere Run I have a winner in this matchup. And I’d be kicking myself for not dropping a few bucks in the outright market. He led the field in GIR last year to finish T2. And he’s playing solid golf coming in just over a month removed from a win at the Schwab one of four top 15s since mid-April. One of those was in his last start at the Travelers with four sub-70 rounds.
Seamus Power -110 vs. Byeong Hun An
I mentioned Power’s likeness for similar fields when backing him for the outright and I’ll use the same reasoning for this matchup pick. His two wins have been in fields like he’s facing this week and his torrid start to the season still has me backing him though he’s cooled off. Power won the Bermuda Championship last October and ironically defeated defending champ Poston in a playoff to claim the Barbasol title in 2021. This is exactly what he needs to get back in a groove.
Stephan Jaeger -115 vs. Alex Smalley
Jaeger has been consistent all season with only three MCs in 24 starts. However, he hasn’t been good enough to consider for the outright. Put him in a matchup, though, and I’ll gladly take my chances with the veteran. He’s 8 for 8 since the middle of April finishing among the top 27 five times and he matched his best finish of the season just last week with a T9 in Detroit.
Adam Schenk -105 vs. Adam Hadwin
A native middle-American, Schenk has performed his best in this part of the country and he has a nice track record at Deere Run making him worthy of consideration. Prior to his WD in last year’s tournament, Schenk was T4-T6 in his previous two starts. He also collected a pair of T7s at recent events in Ohio and Michigan.
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