The first and only major of the season is set to take place this week when the PGA Tour heads to TPC Harding Park in San Francisco for the PGA Championship. And with the FedExCup Playoffs right around the corner there is more urgency for some players to pick up their game. Justin Thomas rallied for his third win of the season at last week’s WGC FedEx St. Jude to take over as No. 1 in the OWGR and opened as the betting favorite. Brooks Koepka had a solid outing last week as he prepares for a PGA Championship three-peat as the second favorite. Joh Rahm and Rory McIlroy, who both held down the No. 1 ranking before Thomas, hit the board as co-third favorites. Tiger Woods returns to action after flopping at the Memorial in his only start since February. BookMaker.eu has a complete updated list of betting odds for the PGA Championship when you’re ready to make a wager.
Odds to Win PGA Championship at BookMaker.eu
Justin Thomas +984
Brooks Koepka +1116
Rory McIlroy +1216
Jon Rahm +1216
Bryson DeChambeau +1418
Dustin Johnson +1619
Xander Schauffele +2056
Patrick Cantlay +2875
Webb Simpson +2915
Rickie Fowler +3067
Hideki Matsuyama +3533
Tiger Woods +3557
Collin Morikawa +3573
Tony Finau +4050
Tommy Fleetwood +4050
Jason Day +4250
Daniel Berger +4350
Gary Woodland +4550
Patrick Reed +5250
Matthew Fitzpatrick +5250
Viktor Hovland +5550
Tyrrell Hatton +5750
Jordan Spieth +6050
Adam Scott +6050
Justin Rose +6050
Sungjae Im +6850
Abraham Ancer +6865
Sergio Garcia +7250
Brendon Todd +8050
Louis Oosthuizen +8050
Shane Lowry +8050
Byeong Hun An +8050
Marc Leishman +8050
Chez Reavie +8050
Paul Casey +8050
Odds Analysis
Xander Schauffele +2056
At some point you expect Schauffele to add a major championship to his collection of wins. He’s come close playing the weekend in 10 of his 11 starts with four top-5s among his six top-10 finishes. He has the qualities to be successful at TPC Harding Park averaging 305 yards off the tee while ranking fifth on Tour in GIR. He’s been solid since the restart going 6 for 6 with four straight top-20s. The X-man grabbed a T3 at the Schwab in the first event back and was four-shots off the pace for a T9 at last week’s WGC.
Jordan Spieth +6050
No one is talking about Spieth and that’s just the way he likes it. Of course, he hasn’t helped the conversation with some inconsistent play this season. One thing that makes me think Spieth will be in top form is the career grand slam. Spieth won The Masters and U.S. Open in 2015, and captured The Open Championship in 2017. This is his fourth attempt to achieve the grand slam coming off a T13 at the Memorial and T30 at the WGC FedEx St. Jude. Those are encouraging results following a MC at the Workday.
Brooks Koepka +1116
Can you bet against Koepka in a major? He finally found his game last week going 10-under to finish T2. He got overly aggressive near the end trying to make up some ground and put one in the drink costing him a solo runner-up. The fact that he went for it is a sign that he trusts his swing after weeks of spotty play. He topped the field in GIR and par-3 scoring at the WGC, two areas that will certainly help his chances at Harding Park.
Tiger Woods +3557
Maybe the start at the Memorial is what Tiger needed to chisel off some rust. It’s hard to get excited about his chances since that start resulted in a T40 and was his only event since the restart. But we are talking about Woods. There is some familiarity to the course since Tiger played collegiately a few miles down the peninsula and he won the 2005 WGC-AMX Championship on this layout. It’s worth dropping a few bucks on the Big Cat at his current price.
Rory McIlroy +1216
It’s been five years but McIlroy is the last player to be victorious in a sponsored event at TPC Harding Park. That doesn’t mean much this week since the layout has changed considerably and Rory isn’t involved in match play. Still, he has more swings here than most players in the field and I don’t anticipate the struggles continuing. McIlroy has just one top-10 since the restart. A four-time major champion, McIlroy ups his game in the biggest events.
Course: TPC Harding Park – 7,234 yards, Par 70
TPC Harding Park isn’t new to the Tour, but it will look different from past tournaments. Host to WGC events in 2005 and 2015 – won by Woods and McIlroy respectively – the course took on additional length stretching to 7,234 yards from the tips. Also, the fairways have been narrowed making accuracy off the tee important. Big hitters will have an edge as long as they don’t spray golf balls all over the course. There are seven par 4s that play over 460 yards and playing at sea level means balls aren’t going to travel. We can expect most of the full field to take a conservative approach in what is sure to be a tough scoring environment.
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