Golf’s last major of the season takes place this week, with the PGA Championship getting underway in St. Louis, Missouri on Thursday. Dustin Johnson is listed as the favorite at odds of +725. He is the only player listed at single-digit odds, as Rory McIlroy and Justin Thomas are co-second choices at odds of +1215, while Rickie Fowler and Justin Rose are co-fourth choices at odds of +1622. Let’s look at the odds and predictions for the PGA Championship.
PGA Championship Odds
Dustin Johnson +725
Rory McIlroy +1215
Justin Thomas +1215
Rickie Fowler +1622
Justin Rose +1622
Jason Day +1824
Jordan Spieth +2000
Brooks Koepka +2200
Jon Rahm +2568
Tiger Woods +2568
Tommy Fleetwood +2600
Patrick Reed +3069
Francesco Molinari +3277
Tony Finau +4544
Alex Noren +5406
Xander Schauffele +5505
Paul Casey +5953
Patrick Cantlay +6000
Branden Grace +6050
Marc Leishman +6050
Henrik Stenson +6050
Hideki Matsuyama +6050
Webb Simpson +6681
Bryson Dechambeau +6986
Bubba Watson +7036
Matt Kuchar +8000
Kyle Stanley +8032
Louis Oosthuizen +8050
Phil Mickelson +8050
All other players are listed with odds of +10000 or more
Odds Analysis
Dustin Johnson +725
There is no reason not to like DJ this week, as he has power, a great short game and he putts really well. He didn’t even play that well for two rounds last week and still finished second at the Bridgestone. If he is on his game for four rounds he will roll.
Rory McIlroy +1215
I have said it many times that Rory is overvalued. He simply doesn’t win tournaments enough to be listed with odds this low. Could he put together four good rounds and win? Sure. Is it more likely he has one poor round and takes himself out of contention? Yes.
Justin Thomas +1215
Thomas looked good in winning last week at the WGC Bridgestone, but it is hard to win in consecutive weeks on the PGA Tour and not many players are good enough to win the PGA Championship twice. Thomas might just be good enough to do it, but I have to look elsewhere.
Rickie Fowler +1622
Is this the tournament that Rickie finally ends his major drought? It is hard to pick him simply because he is a lot like Rory in that he doesn’t win that often. Rickie will be a popular choice, but he simply hasn’t shown the ability to win in the clutch.
Justin Rose +1622
I have to take a pass on Rose simply because of his health concerns. He pulled out last week due to back spasms. Rose is good enough to win this event, but only if he is healthy.
Jason Day +1824
I didn’t like what I saw from Day last week at the Bridgestone. He is normally really good around the green but he struggled on Sunday. I don’t know that he turns it around this week.
Tommy Fleetwood +2600
A player who hits it straight and it not afraid of the big moment is Fleetwood. He has been in contention on the big stage a lot this year and the PGA could be where he breaks through and we get him at attractive odds.
Webb Simpson +6681
I think Webb is worth a play as a nice longshot. He rolled at THE PLAYERS and he has three other top five finishes. He is sixth on the PGA Tour in Strokes Gained: Putting and he is normally accurate off the tee.
Course: Bellerive is a par 70 that measures 7,317 yards. It is a tree-lined course and considered pretty long for a par 70. The rough is difficult and there are water hazards, so accuracy will matter this week. The course hosted the BMW Championship in 2008 and it was a bit easier than the average PGA Tour course. The course tests players in a number of ways, so there is no one key stat to consider. Stokes Gained: Approach and Strokes Gained: Off the Tee are probably the best ones to look at.
TV Coverage: CBS and TNT
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Mobile betting lines are updated by the minute so click here to start gambling on thrilling live action at BookMaker.eu. The PGA Championship is scheduled for August 9-12. Bellerive Country Club will host the event and CBS and TNT will televise it.
