With the second major of the season looming, the PGA Tour has some business to take care of. And it’s in Dallas for the ATT Byron Nelson, contested at the Trinity Forest Golf Club. Many golfers try to get their work in a few weeks prior to a major, skipping the week before. And that’s the case this week with a number of high-profile players absent leaving a relatively weak field. The biggest name set to peg it up is Brooks Koepka, who’ll take swings prepping for his PGA Championship title defense. He’s tops on the odds board at +630. There is a significant drop after that giving plenty of value to players like defending champion Aaron Wise ( +2200 ), Rory Sabbatini ( +4000 ) and Justin Harding ( +6600 ).
Odds to Win ATT Byron Nelson at BookMaker.eu
Brooks Koepka +630
Hideki Matsuyama +1400
Jordan Spieth +1600
Henrik Stenson +2200
Aaron Wise +2200
Marc Leishman +2500
Patrick Reed +2800
Keith Mitchell +3300
Branden Grace +3300
Ryan Moore +3300
Scott Piercy +4000
Rory Sabbatini +4000
Sungjae Im +4000
Charles Howell III +4000
Rafa Cabrera-Bello +4000
Kevin Na +4000
Thorbjorn Olesen +5000
Alex Noren +5000
Thomas Pieters +5000
Ryan Palmer +5500
Scottie Scheffler +5500
Lucas Bjerregaard +5500
C.T. Pan +6000
Daniel Berger +6600
Justin Harding +6600
Jimmy Walker +6600
Pat Perez +6600
Seamus Power +6600
Russell Knox +6600
Abraham Ancer +6600
Trey Mullinax +7500
Kevin Tway +8000
Dylan Frittelli +8000
Brian Stuard +8000
J.J. Spaun +8000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee +8000
Bud Cauley +8500
Matt Jones +8500
Michael Thompson +10000
Ollie Schniederjans +10000
Kiradech Aphibarnrat +10000
J.T. Poston +10000
Brian Harman +10000
Austin Cook +10000
Russell Henley +10000
Scott Stallings +10000
Sam Burns +10000
Sung Kang +10000
Vaughn Taylor +10000
Adam Schenk +10000
Andrew Landry +10000
Aaron Baddeley +10000
Nick Watney +10000
Brian Gay +10000
Denny McCarthy +11500
Nick Taylor +11500
Martin Laird +11500
Odds Analysis
Aaron Wise +2200
The defending champ mastered the layout last year with rounds of 65-63-68-65 en route to his first and so far only PGA Tour win. He overcame a sizzling start by Marc Leishman to win by three swings. That victory didn’t do much for him afterwards with five straight MCs. And Wise struggled earlier this year missing the cut in four of six starts. However, he’s scored 71 or lower in each of his last seven rounds with a pair of top-20s indicating he might be peaking at the right time.
Marc Leishman +2500
Leishman carded a career-low 61 in the opening round last season to lead after 18 and 36 holes. He failed to parlay that into a victory, instead settling for a solo second. Aussies have historically performed well in Texas given the similar landscape to back home, and Leishman is hoping that familiarity works in his favor this week. He also has five top-10s this season.
Charles Howell III +4000
His game fits well on this layout and as long as the confidence level remains high Howell is a value pick at his odds. Wielding the irons and putter last year, Howell was second in the field in strokes gained putting, leading to a T9. However, he missed the cut in his last two events following a T32 at the Masters. Howell will give any backer a nice payday if he’s able to find his game. And he should feel good playing Trinity Forest.
Seamus Power +6600
Power is a streaky golfer who is on a major heater right now. He missed the cut in 11 of his first 15 starts this season, but his last three have been epic. He was T6 at the RBC Heritage with three rounds in the 60s. He and teammate David Hearn were T5 at the Zurich Classic. Last week, Power was in the 60s in the first three rounds before a final 72 dropped him into a tie for 13th. His luck could run out this week, but if it doesn’t there’s a healthy return on a wager.
Tony Romo +100000
Yes, it’s that Tony Romo. Returning to Dallas where he spent many years quarterbacking the NFL Cowboys, Romo will use a sponsor invite to tee it up with the pros. He’s a pretty good golfer, but he’s no match for the guys who do it for a living. Romo made two starts at the Corales Puntacana Championship, missing the cut both times. Rather than drop a losing bet on him to win, it’s a safe wager to bet on Romo missing the cut.
Course: Trinity Forest Golf Club – 7,371 yards, Par 71
Built on an old landfill, Trinity Forest is a classic American links style course that will host this event for the second straight year. Put the pros on a layout with no trees, no water, no rough, wide fairways and enormous greens, and you’ll find some low scores. The course didn’t scare players last year yielding a scoring average of 69.4, which was the second lowest among all par-71s on Tour. There were some modifications to several holes in an attempt to make it more challenging. The one defense the course has is the gusting winds prevalent in this part of Texas. It wasn’t a factor last year, but that’s the exception and not the norm.
TV Coverage: Golf Channel, CBS
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