PGA Tour Picks – Odds to Win ATT Pebble Beach Pro Am

PGA Tour Picks – Odds to Win ATT Pebble Beach Pro Am

Pebble Beach Golf Links plays host to its namesake event, the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am, when the PGA Tour moves from the desert to the California Coast. With a full field of pros and celebrity amateurs, the four-day event will be spread across three courses with the field attacking each one over the first three days. The cut down will be made after 54 holes and the remaining players will compete for the title on Sunday at Pebble Beach.

Defending champion Ted Potter Jr. isn’t getting much respect from the oddsmakers as he’s down the odds board at +9800. At +505 Dustin Johnson is the betting favorite at BookMaker.eu followed closely by Jason Day at +850. After missing the cut last week in Phoenix, Phil Mickelson ( +2750 ) returns to one of his favorite locations looking to match Mark O’Meara’s record of five Pebble Beach titles.

Odds to Win AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am at BookMaker.eu

Dustin Johnson +505

Jason Day +850

Jordan Spieth +2050

Tommy Fleetwood +2350

Tony Finau +2450

Matt Kuchar +2450

Phil Mickelson +2750

Adam Scott +2925

Patrick Cantlay +2925

Patrick Reed +3250

Chez Reavie +3350

Branden Grace +3400

Paul Casey +4250

Shane Lowry +4555

Cameron Champ +6000

Matthew Fitzpatrick +6000

Brandt Snedeker +6000

Sungjae Im +7025

Adam Hadwin +7225

Rafa Cabrera Bello +8250

Jason Kokrak +9500

Russell Henley +9500

Kevin Kisner +9500

Jimmy Walker +9500

J.B. Holmes +9500

Russell Knox +9525

Charley Hoffman +9550

Martin Laird +9550

Scott Piercy +9550

Chesson Hadley +9800

Lucas Glover +9800

Ted Potter Jr. +9800

Trey Mullinax +10000

Andrew Putnam +10000

Doug Ghim +10500

Kevin Streelman +10500

Beau Hossler +10500

Si Woo Kim +11000

Talor Gooch +11000

Ryan Palmer +11000

Field - Any Other Player Not Listed +225

Odds Analysis

Jason Day +850

Recent form may mean less here than anywhere else on the Tour, but it’s hard to overlook what Day has accomplished recently. In five Tour starts this season he has yet to finish outside the top 16 with two of those resulting in top-5 showings, including most recently at the Farmers Insurance Open two weeks ago. One poor round in each of those events prevented higher placements and possibly a title. The Aussie has been good here with four finishes among the top-6 in four of the last six years. If he can avoid that one poor round he has a good shot at claiming victory.

Phil Mickelson +2750

Talk about being all over the place, that’s exactly where Mickelson has been in his first two outings. He battled for the title throughout at the Desert Classic three weeks ago before grabbing runner-up honors. After skipping his hometown event in San Diego, Lefty missed the cut last week in Phoenix when his putter abandoned him. He’s comfortable with the poa annua greens on the three layouts and is poised for a bounce back effort. “The poa annua greens are what I grew up on, so it’s a grass I feel comfortable. Not just putting on, but chipping on, chipping into and hitting full shots,” Lefty said ahead of the tournament. Can the comfort level result in a record-tying fifth win?

Adam Scott +2925

Approach play is big on the short layouts and one player who stands out is Scott, who finished in the top-10 in all major approach stats on the Tour last season. He gained over three strokes putting last week after tweaking his style, which resulted in a runner-up finish. This came after he missed the cut at the Sony Open in Hawai’i. Added confidence with the flat stick along with his exceptional approach game should put him in contention. Now he needs to undo the spell of Pebble Beach that gave him a T52 and MC in his only two starts here.

Dustin Johnson +505

Coming off a win at the inaugural Saudi International and travelling to California this week has me wondering just how motivated DJ is going to be. He has performed well here in the past going 10 for 11 with eight top-10s, but none of those followed an international tournament and he certainly didn’t log the miles he did to get here. He is the favorite, but there are better value picks on the board.

Courses: Pebble Beach Golf Links (host) – 6,816 yards, Par 72

Pebble Beach is the host and those who survive the cut will play two rounds on the world famous layout. The shortest track on the PGA Tour has wide-open fairways and isn’t a threat to the pros off the tee. The difficulty comes on the approach with strategically placed and smallish greens. The Monterey Peninsula Course also plays less than 7,000 yards and is regarded as the easiest of the three. The track surrenders more eagles than the others, by quite a bit, and plays par 71. Spyglass Hill is the toughest of the three and it also plays under 7,000 yards. Weather is a definite concern with the area getting soaked this past weekend and more precipitation expected. With that also come the coastal winds, which will cause problems on the host course.

TV Coverage: Golf Channel, CBS

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