PGA Tour Picks - Odds To Win Mayakoba Golf Classic

Following a quick stop in Vegas the PGA Tour regains its international flair with a trip south of the border to Playa del Carmen, Mexico for the Mayakoba Golf Classic, hosted by the El Camaleon Golf Club. It’s the next to last FedEx Cup points event of the year and many of the big names will be absent when the first-round tees off on Thursday, November 5, but overall the field is one of the strongest in the event’s history.

Rickie Fowler, who finished one-shot off the lead last year, returns as the favorite at +725 on the opening odds at BookMaker.eu. It’s a minor miracle that Tony Finau is still standing let alone competing after a whirlwind few weeks. He’ll make the trip to Mexico as the second favorite at +1400. Defending champion Patton Kizzire stroked an 80 in the final round of his last event and is well down the odds board at +10000.

Odds to Win 2018 Mayakoba Golf Classic at BookMaker.eu

Rickie Fowler +725

Tony Finau +1400

Jordan Spieth +1485

Gary Woodland +1925

Emiliano Grillo +2350

Billy Horschel +3050

Aaron Wise +3050

Si Woo Kim +3050

Cameron Champ +3250

Abraham Ancer +4000

Beau Hossler +4050

Joaquin Niemann +4050

Luke List +4250

Ryan Moore +4400

Zach Johnson +4555

Charles Howell III +5050

Scott Piercy +5050

C T Pan +5500

Sungjae Im +5500

Sam Ryder +5750

Pat Perez +6150

Adam Hadwin +6275

Chez Reavie +6550

Denny Mccarthy +7000

J J Spaun +7000

Cameron Davis +7025

Bill Haas +7225

Patrick Rodgers +7225

Kevin Kisner +7555

J B Holmes +8000

Matt Kuchar +8225

Kevin Chappell +8225

Sam Burns +8250

Charley Hoffman +8500

Jamie Lovemark +9000

Chris Kirk +9350

Martin Laird +9800

Harold Varner III +9800

Graeme McDowell +9800

Danny Lee +9800

Kevin Streelman +10000

Russell Henley +10000

Bronson Burgoon +10000

Keith Mitchell +10000

Patton Kizzire +10000

Brian Harman +10000

Anders Albertson +10500

Adam Schenk +12500

Ryan Armour +12500

Adria Arnaus +12500

Odds Analysis

Cameron Davis +7025

An interesting pick as a longshot winner, but given his course history and recent form, Davis would be worth dropping a small sum on. He helped Australia win the Eisenhower trophy a few years back when the event was played here. He also grabbed a share of 15th at the then OHL Classic at El Camaleon in 2016 with a 12-under total. He won the Australian Open late in 2017 and grabbed four top-5s on the Web.com Tour. Playing his first full season on the Tour, Davis carded three sub-70 rounds for a T28 at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open last week and was T17 at the season-opening Safeway Open.

J.J. Spaun +7000

Another longshot with a nice payout, this course fits Spaun’s game perfectly. And with a wide open field heck, why not? He favors accuracy over distance and some of his best scores and finishes have come on similar courses. He grabbed a share of 10th place at last year’s Shriners Hospitals for Children Open giving him three of eight top-10s on courses that closely resemble the El Camaleon layout. Recent form is solid with a T10 at the CJ Cup and a T15 at last week’s Shriners.

Billy Horschel +3050

The odds are a bit shorter for Horschel, but he’s another player that can rule this course and would deliver a nice payday. He ended last season ranked among the top-20 on the Tour in driving accuracy and greens in regulation, both of which are required elements for low scores at El Camaleon. Horschel placed third or better in three of four FedEx Cup playoff events and ended last season with six top-10s. He’s also coming off a T11 at the WGC-HSBC Champions with a 4-under total.

Course: El Camaleon Golf Club – 6,987-yards, Par-71

There are few courses on the tour where accuracy plays better than distance and this is one of them. The fairways are forgiving, but go too far wide and the numbers will escalate quickly with water, forests and swampland on the outer edges. Over par holes are usually well over par with this layout owning nearly 15 percent of doubles or worse, putting it among the top-10 of all Tour stops. Weather can be and has been a factor on this course. The possibility of heavy showers exists over the weekend, which will certainly impact scores and possibly tournament length.

TV Coverage: Golf Channel

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