The PGA Tour is headed back to the Lone Star state with several natives aiming to become the first Texan since 2007 to win THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson. Most notable on the list is Jordan Spieth, who hit the board as the betting favorite in the outright market. It’s been a struggle for Spieth recently with three MCs in his last five starts, but he’s had success in his home state. Will Zalatoris is another Texan high on the odds board. Jason Day returns to defend his title from a year ago, which ended a string of three straight victories for Korean players. K.H. Lee navigated TPC Craig Ranch to a tournament scoring record in 2021 and was one-stroke better claiming another title in 2022. To date those are the only two PGA Tour wins for Lee. Odds suggest a wide-open field only making matchups more exciting. Check out the latest matchup odds at BookMaker.eu when you’re ready to place a wager.
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson Matchup Odds
Jordan Spieth -127 vs. Jason Day +106
Jordan Spieth -120 vs. Will Zalatoris +100
Jason Day -115 vs. Will Zalatoris -105
Si Woo Kim -150 vs. Sungjae Im +125
Si Woo Kim -150 vs. Min Woo Lee +125
Sungjae Im -110 vs. Min Woo Lee -110
Alex Noren -129 vs. Adam Scott +108
Alex Noren -120 vs. Tom Kim +100
Adam Scott -105 vs. Tom Kim -115
Byeong Hun An -110 vs. Stephan Jaeger -110
Tom Hoge -120 vs. Keith Mitchell +100
Thomas Detry +106 vs. Mackenzie Hughes -127
K. H. Lee +108 vs. Patrick Rodgers -129
Beau Hossler -105 vs. Aaron Rai -115
Adam Schenk -138 vs. Maverick McNealy +115
Mark Hubbard -129 vs. Seamus Power +108
Doug Ghim -127 vs. Kevin Yu +106
Luke List -120 vs. Ryan Fox +100
Thorbjorn Olesen +113 vs. Andrew Novak -135
Charley Hoffman -105 vs. C.T. Pan -115
Sam Stevens +113 vs. Justin Lower -135
Alejandro Tosti +113 vs. Jake Knapp -135
Chan Kim -125 vs. Taylor Montgomery +105
Daniel Berger +100 vs. Taylor Pendrith -120
Matti Schmid -115 vs. Nate Lashley -105
Jhonattan Vegas -120 vs. Vincent Norrman +100
Michael Kim -115 vs. Bud Cauley -105
Garrick Higgo -103 vs. Ryo Hisatsune -117
Ryan Palmer +108 vs. Kevin Tway -129
Robert MacIntyre +100 vs. Matt Wallace -120
Nick Hardy +113 vs. Sam Ryder -135
Need to Know
There was a minor change to the layout at TPC Craig Ranch ahead of last year’s edition. The 12th hole was turned into a more difficult par 4 reducing total par to 71 while also adjusting the yardage. There wasn’t much in terms of difficulty that changed, though. Jason Day recorded the third lowest winning score in tournament history at 23-under, one of seven players to finish -20 or better. While long at just over 7,400 yards, the course is scoreable as past results indicate. Lee won the first playing at Craig Ranch in 2021 at 25-under and bettered that by one swing a year later. Those are the two lowest to par scores in the tournament’s history that dates back to 1944. Weather is expected to be an obstacle this week with wind and possibly storms challenging the full field of players.
THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson Matchup Picks
Seamus Power +108 vs. Mark Hubbard
Matchups can be a tossup in such a tight field with value picks lurking everywhere. One player that caught my eye is Power, who has been steady if not spectacular this season. The Irishman cashed in nine of 11 starts most recently finishing T12 at the RBC Heritage. In five of his completed starts he placed among the top half so there is value in his price. Power has also been solid in this tournament finishing among the top 20 in each of his last three starts.
Maverick McNealy +115 vs. Adam Schenk
The former Stanford star has been competing on Tour for several years still in search of that maiden victory. Not that he’s getting it this week, but if there’s a chance doing so in a field like this makes a lot of sense. There have been spurts of excellence with a T6 in Phoenix and a top 10 at THE PLAYERS a few starts ago. He has the goods to score low at TPC Craig Ranch carding a 68 or lower in half his rounds on the layout.
K. H. Lee +108 vs. Patrick Rodgers
There’s something about Craig Ranch that brings out the best in Lee. As mentioned he holds the two lowest winning scores in the event’s history with both coming on this track. In his quest for a three-peat last year, Lee finished 11-under falling well off the pace in a shootout. I found it odd that his odds were long in the outright and this matchup since he enters with three finishes among the top 11 in his last seven starts.
Adam Scott +108 vs. Alex Noren -129
With his price in this matchup I find Scott to be another intriguing pick with value. He won this tournament in 2008, though at a different location. And he’s continued his strong play in this event at Craig Ranch finishing at T8 last year when he opened and closed with a blistering 63. In addition he has five top 25s in seven starts this season.
Tom Hoge -120 vs. Keith Mitchell +100
Hoge has done a fine job taming the Craig Ranch layout scoring below 70 in nine of his 10 rounds on the course. Two years ago he finished T17 with every round at 68 or lower. And he enters having put together a fine season so far with only one MC in an individual event and a pair of top 10s among his seven top 25s.
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