The PGA Tour stays in Texas for the final tune up before The Masters with the field gathering in San Antonio for the Valero Texas Open. Many notables are taking the week off ahead of the season’s first major, still the field has talent with Rory McIlroy positioned as the betting favorite and the only player with shorter than 12/1 odds. It’s been a mixed bag for McIlroy with his two previous starts at TPC San Antonio resulting in a runner-up and a MC. Still, he tops the odds board ahead of Ludvig Aberg. With two wins in the last four editions, including a 1-shot triumph last year, Corey Conners looks to become the third three-time winner in the century-old history of the tournament. Visit BookMaker.eu for a complete updated odds list when you’re ready to place a wager.
Valero Texas Open Betting Odds
Rory McIlroy +887
Ludvig Aberg +1253
Jordan Spieth +2004
Matthew Fitzpatrick +2305
Hideki Matsuyama +2355
Collin Morikawa +2756
Corey Conners +3056
Tommy Fleetwood +3257
Beau Hossler +3357
Max Homa +3357
Byeong Hun An +3758
Alex Noren +3860
Brian Harman +4109
Harris English +4159
Billy Horschel +4259
Maverick Mcnealy +5061
Eric Cole +5061
Russell Henley +5061
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +5158
Tom Kim +5361
Adam Scott +5562
Keith Mitchell +6063
Denny McCarthy +6063
Andrew Putnam +6764
Akshay Bhatia +6864
Taylor Montgomery +7365
Brendon Todd +7516
Adam Schenk +7566
Patrick Rodgers +7566
Rickie Fowler +7566
Nicolai Hojgaard +7566
Odds Analysis
Ludvig Aberg +1253
One concern about backing Aberg is that he’s debuting as a pro after a MC as an amateur two years ago. But that’s all water under the bridge as they say since he’s been electric this season. He’s a lot like Scottie Scheffler in that the game is just too easy for him. It’s been a few weeks since he last competed registering a solo eighth at THE PLAYERS, his third top 10 among five straight top 25s. The Swede has made every course look like his own playground so why not?
Corey Conners +3056
Few have had the success Conners has had at this tournament. Two wins in the last four playings is a good sign that he enjoys the surroundings. He’s also never missed the cut in five starts while boasting a scoring average of 69.5 in his 20 rounds. Toss in the fact that his game is on the upswing and I like the defending champ at his price. Conners had his two best finishes of the season in his last two starts with a T13 at THE PLAYERS last time out.
Harris English +4159
Another player I feel has plenty of value at his price is English. It’s been five years since he last played this event so past results are kind of meaningless. He has had a good start to the season, though, suggesting big things are in store. English has finished among the top 20 in five of his eight starts with another resulting in a T21. His current run of solid form started with a solo seventh at The Genesis and most recently saw him post a T19 at THE PLAYERS.
Billy Horschel +4259
The trip through Texas started on a positive note for Horschel, who finished T7 at the Houston Open, his second top 10 and third top 15 in four starts. And he’s had some success at TPC San Antonio over the years placing among the top four three times with an addition T11. On the down side he also has three MCs here, but I tend to be a glass half full individual.
Erik van Rooyen +9069
After a strong start to the season that saw van Rooyen collect six top 25s in eight starts he had a minor hiccup with a MC at THE PLAYERS. I’m counting on that being the exception and not the norm backing the overall body of work from the South African. He came close to victory last month finishing as co-runner-up at the Cognizant Classic and earned a share of eighth the start prior. His game is a fit for the Oaks layout as he proved a few years ago with a top 15. And at this price he’s a good investment.
Course: TPC San Antonio Oaks Course – 7,438 yards, Par 72
Host of this event since 2010, the Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio is a lengthy par 72 that’s exposed to the Texas elements with wind likely coming into play this week. With three par 5s playing at over 590 yards and the overall total over 7,400 yards, you’d expect big hitters to have an edge. They will on those holes, but with four par 4s over 450 yards ball striking and approach game will be a bigger area. The property has strategically placed bunkers all over the place with upwards of 60 for players to avoid. The fairways are forgiving, though things tighten up on approach. Distance, more so than accuracy, will allow players to hit greens in regulation, but avoiding hazards and carding birdies will get you to the weekend.
TV Coverage: Golf Channel, NBC
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