The PGA Tour stays in the Lone Star state moving to San Antonio for this week’s Valero Texas Open. The tournament returns to the schedule after being canceled last year and it’s the final tuneup before The Masters. Some players like to get work ahead of a major championship, but the field this week is lacking top-end talent. Some players say the TPC San Antonio Oaks Course isn’t a good prep for Augusta and several of them are taking the week off. Though he didn’t say that was the reason, World No. 1 Dustin Johnson withdrew to prepare for The Masters at home. That leaves Jordan Spieth as the betting favorite on the opening odds list with defending champion Corey Connors a little further down the board. Visit BookMaker.eu for a complete updated odds list when you’re ready to place a wager.
Odds to Win Valero Texas Open at BookMaker.eu
Jordan Spieth +1000
Tony Finau +1100
Scottie Scheffler +1200
Hideki Matsuyama +1600
Abraham Ancer +1800
Corey Conners +2000
Ryan Palmer +2500
Charley Hoffman +2800
Si Woo Kim +2800
Cameron Tringale +2800
Brendan Steele +3500
Sam Burns +3500
Chris Kirk +3750
Cameron Davis +4000
Lanto Griffin +4000
Zach Johnson +5000
Keegan Bradley +5000
Matt Kuchar +5000
Branden Grace +6000
Ryan Moore +6500
Sepp Straka +6500
Harold Varner III +6500
Charles Howell III +6500
John Huh +7000
Harry Higgs +7000
Andrew Putnam +7000
Aaron Wise +7000
Rickie Fowler +7000
Gary Woodland +7000
Adam Hadwin +7000
Doug Ghim +7500
Sebastian Munoz +7500
Joel Dahmen +7500
Sam Ryder +8000
Denny McCarthy +8000
Danny Willett +8000
Erik Van Rooyen +8000
Jhonattan Vegas +8000
Kiradech Aphibarnrat +9000
Adam Long +9000
Byeong Hun An +9000
Matt Wallace +9000
Matthew Nesmith +9000
Phil Mickelson +9000
Danny Lee +9000
Odds Analysis
Tony Finau +1100
This is the perfect time for Finau to breakthrough since he’s cooled off on the course and talk of him being the best to not win an event has subsided. He’s still up on the odds list positioned right behind Spieth, but it certainly doesn’t feel like it. I thought about backing Spieth in this spot, but I’m always looking for better value. Finau is still a threat no matter the layout and he has a history here with a T3 in 2017. Less pressure and a weaker field set up Finau for success this week.
Rickie Fowler +7000
Fowler is in a weird situation heading into this tournament. A win guarantees him an invite to The Masters, an event he hasn’t missed since 2010, and you know that’s something playing with his head. Does he have it in him to rise to the occasion? Recent form suggests that he doesn’t, but we’ve seen others get back on track after some rough times. It might be too much to expect Fowler to topple the field, but stranger things have happened. And at his current price dropping a few bucks on him would yield a hefty payout.
Branden Grace +6000
Another nice payday comes in the form of Grace, who’s been playing much better than Fowler recently. He’s not that long removed from his win at the Puerto Rico Open and he had a couple other respectable finishes over the last few months. This is a field more to his liking and Grace had a pair of top-10s in his last two visits. The layout can be tricky and Grace is perfect in four trips so he has some familiarity. And I like the price for a guy that’s a recent winner.
Si Woo Kim +2800
He was the leader at the end of three different rounds the last time this event was contested, unfortunately one of them wasn’t after the fourth. Results have been mixed lately, but when Kim is good he’s really good. He won The American Express a few months ago and snared a top-10 at THE PLAYERS a few weeks back. He’s also looking for some redemption after falling into a tie for fourth here in 2019. He’s a good bet to get it.
Matt Kuchar +5000
Kuchar got hot last week to take third at the WGC Match Play and now he heads to a venue where he’s a perfect 8 for 8 with four top-15 finishes. He was splendid off the tee and his approach game was solid in Austin. If he can carry that over to this layout he’s in a good spot to tangle with the leaders over the weekend. And I like his price.
Course: TPC San Antonio Oaks Course – 7,494 yards, Par 72
Host of this event since 2010, the Oaks Course is a lengthy par 72 that is exposed to the Texas wind, and the gusts will play a big role this week. The yardage requires distance off the tee and we’ll see plenty of drivers this week with three par 5s playing over 590 yards. We’re not going to see many eagles on this layout with the par 5s being three-shot holes, so staying clear of the hazards and carding birdies is what gets you to the weekend. The fairways are forgiving, though things tighten up on approach. Distance, more so than accuracy, will allow players to hit greens in regulation. Weather always seems to be a factor at this course and it will surely have a say in what happens this week.
TV Coverage: Golf Channel, NBC
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