The PGA Tour heads back to Florida for this week’s Valspar Championship, the final event in the Sunshine State this season. And we also see a return to regular stroke play after a few match play events took over the schedule. Paul Casey finally gets a chance to three-peat at this tournament since last year’s edition was called off due to COVID. Casey can become the first three-time winner of the Valspar Championship, though the field is strong with world No. 1 Dustin Johnson back in action. All the favorites are featured prominently in tournament matchups with odds for every one available at BookMaker.eu when you’re ready to place a wager.
Valspar Championship Matchup Odds at BookMaker.eu
Justin Thomas -115 vs. Dustin Johnson -115
Patrick Reed -108 vs. Viktor Hovland -122
Paul Casey +121 vs. Corey Conners -151
Scottie Scheffler -128 vs. Sungjae Im -102
Abraham Ancer -120 vs. Joaquin Niemann -110
Louis Oosthuizen -133 vs. Charley Hoffman +103
Russell Henley -152 vs. Jason Kokrak +121
Justin Rose -134 vs. Bubba Watson +104
Emiliano Grillo -132 vs. Ryan Palmer +102
Cameron Tringale -117 vs. Chris Kirk -113
Kevin Streelman -106 vs. Lucas Glover -124
Max Homa -113 vs. Talor Gooch -117
Keegan Bradley -138 vs. Cameron Davis +108
Sam Burns -110 vs. Lanto Griffin -120
Branden Grace +127 vs. Charles Howell III -160
Adam Hadwin -103 vs. Denny McCarthy -127
Erik Van Rooyen -107 vs. Ian Poulter -123
Danny Willett -102 vs. Alex Noren -128
Mackenzie Hughes -124 vs. J.T. Poston -106
Doug Ghim -197 vs. Peter Uihlein +155
Martin Laird -111 vs. Russell Knox -119
Charl Schwartzel -106 vs. Zach Johnson -124
Sam Horsfield -120 vs. Rasmus Hojgaard -110
Sam Ryder -126 vs. Doc Redman -104
Richy Werenski -114 vs. Patton Kizzire -116
Adam Schenk -103 vs. Wyndham Clark -127
Camilo Villegas +106 vs. Nick Taylor -136
Scott Stallings -147 vs. Scott Piercy +117
Kristoffer Ventura +115 vs. Bo Hoag -145
Scott Stallings -137 vs. Rafael Cabrera Bello +107
Kevin Tway +113 vs. Vaughn Taylor -143
Need to Know
The 7,340-yard, par-71 Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort plays host this week. It’s not your typical par 71 layout with four par-5s and five par-3s, and it’s often referred to as one of the most difficult on Tour. Now, there are just a few holes that cause the problems, those being the 13th and 16th. The closing stretch starting at No. 16 is known as the Snake Pit and will pose a challenge. Course management is imperative and par is your friend, so don’t look for a lot of drivers on the tee box. Keep the ball in the fairway and make this an iron and second-shot game. We’ve seen -8 or lower win this event three times in the last six years and Sean O’Hair claimed victory at -4 in 2008, so don’t expect a lot of low scores.
Valspar Championship Matchup Picks
Sungjae Im -102 vs. Scottie Scheffler
Getting back to stroke play format should be a boost for Im, who struggled in the match play and team formats. And that MC last week probably did him good with a few extra days of rest. It’s hard to go against Scheffler, but he’s making his debut on what is a challenging course. Im took fourth here in his debut in 2019 so anything can happen. But I really like the chances of Im getting back to his solid form and have no issue backing him in this matchup.
Paul Casey +121 vs. Corey Conners
If anybody is a fit for this course it’s Casey, who goes for the three-peat at the Valspar. With last year’s event getting scrapped there isn’t that feeling of a recent victory and the attention has been muted. Nonetheless, Casey plays a course that fits his game. His approach game is exquisite and his play around the greens has improved. In order to contend you have to be good in those areas and Casey certainly is. He’s been playing well recently with four top-10s in six stroke play events this year and I’ll happily back him at his current price.
Patrick Reed -108 vs. Viktor Hovland
Reed’s stats suggest he should do well here and he has in the past sharing runner-up honors in 2015 and 2018. He’s rested since a T8 at the Masters and his putting has been a thing of beauty in recent events. As long as Reed doesn’t stray on his approach he should be fine to play the weekend, and that’s half the battle in a tournament matchup.
Charley Hoffman +103 vs. Louis Oosthuizen
Course form and recent form collide giving plenty of value to Hoffman in this matchup. He’s played the weekend in each of his last eight starts racking up six top-20s in that span. The run started with a T7 at Pebble Beach back in February and included a solo second at the Texas Open. He posted a top-20 here in 2019, one of his five top-25s at Copperhead.
Charl Schwartzel -106 vs. Zach Johnson
Schwartzel has a history at Copperhead and that should help him overcome the pain of last week’s playoff loss at the Zurich Classic. He won here in 2016 and grabbed a top-10 in his title defense. He’s also within striking distance for a slot in the PGA Championship, which should be added motivation on a course that he’s navigated expertly in the past.
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