The PGA Tour drops the curtain on the Florida Swing with Sam Burns looking for a three-peat at the Valspar Championship. At No. 10 in the OWGR Justin Thomas is the highest ranked player in the field and tops the odds board for a second straight year. Thomas earned a share of third last time around a shot back of Burns and Davis Riley, who settled things in a playoff. Burns emerged as the third favorite and is one of four players currently with odds of shorter than 20/1. Burns won his first Tour title here two years ago and half of his PGA Tour wins have come at the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort. Visit BookMaker.eu for a complete list of betting odds when you’re ready to place a wager.
Odds to Win Valspar Championship
Justin Thomas +985
Jordan Spieth +1252
Sam Burns +1603
Matthew Fitzpatrick +1703
Justin Rose +2052
Keegan Bradley +2550
Adam Hadwin +2553
Tommy Fleetwood +2954
Brian Harman +3513
Davis Riley +3700
Denny McCarthy +3857
Wyndham Clark +4250
Gary Woodland +4350
Taylor Moore +4850
Stephan Jaeger +5050
Justin Suh +5050
Brandon Wu +5850
Ben Griffin +5950
J.T. Poston +6000
Maverick Mcnealy +6350
Kyoung Hoon Lee +6350
Beau Hossler +6550
Mark Hubbard +7050
Joel Dahmen +7050
Nick Taylor +7200
Tyler Duncan +7500
Alex Smalley +7550
Patrick Rodgers +8050
Robby Shelton +8050
Jhonattan Vegas +8050
Garrick Higgo +8050
Byeong Hun An +8350
Victor Perez +8350
Odds Analysis
Keegan Bradley +2550
If Bradley could finish as well as he starts on this course he’d be in line for a championship payday. He’s been T6 or better after 18 holes in five of his last six starts with a 67.5 scoring average. That makes for a good pick on the first round leader prop. Two years ago he settled for a runner-up finish and he also has four top-10s this season including a win at the ZOZO back in October. He did miss the cut last week in a much stronger field and I expect Bradley will be on his game looking to rebound with solid metrics that point to a low total on a difficult track.
Sam Burns +1603
I resisted the urge to back Thomas and Spieth, though it took a lot out of me to do that. Instead my pick from the top of the odds board is Burns, who has some special attraction to the Copperhead course. You don’t often see the same player win a tournament three times in a row, heck doing it twice is even a rare occurrence. And there’s nothing to suggest Burns will do it again with a mixed bag of results heading in. But that’s how it was last year and the year before so why not take a gamble?
Adam Hadwin +2553
Consistency goes a long way in the sport and we saw Hadwin put on a show last week with four rounds under par to grab a share of 13th at THE PLAYERS. Consistent play is sometimes called boring, but that plays well at this course and Hadwin has the results to prove it. He won there in 2017 and has two additional top-15s in his last five starts making him a worthwhile investment.
Davis Riley +3700
Riley is on the cusp of breaking through and he’s certainly a young player to keep an eye on. He has yet to win on Tour coming closest right here last year losing in a playoff after holding the lead through 54 holes. There have been flashes of brilliance from Riley like his T8 at the API a few weeks back closing with a 66 after what a disastrous third-round 77. Hopefully a return to the site of his best finish can rekindle his game.
Gary Woodland +4350
Woodland shocked everyone winning the 2019 U.S. Open and although he’s been a steady player since then he raised the bar with that victory and has failed to win since. He has a pair of top-10s this season playing the weekend in eight of 11 starts and his first Tour victory was on this track in 2011.
Course: Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort – 7,340 yards, Par 71
Copperhead has hosted the event since its debut in 2000 and plays a long par-71. However, unlike most, the layout features four par-5s and five par-3s. For the most part it’s a straightforward course with narrow fairways and small greens putting an emphasis on positioning off the tee. Two holes in particular have proven over the years to be the most difficult, the 13th and 16th. We’ll see on average about one in 20 golfers to play each hole sign a double bogey or worse. The course is relatively long, but it is an iron and second-shot layout. A lot of sticks in the bag will be used this weekend. The closing stretch starting at 16 is known as the Snake Pit and as one of the toughest on Tour.
TV Coverage: Golf Channel, NBC
BookMaker offers play-by-play betting odds for live sporting events every day! The user-friendly wagering interface on your smartphone provides an easy way to place bets on the go. Mobile betting lines are updated by the minute so click here to start gambling on thrilling live action at BookMaker.eu.
Check out the latest odds at BookMaker
