The Waste Management Phoenix Open always attracts a strong field and with this being the first full-field ‘designated event’ on the new schedule the number of big names increased with a larger pool of prize money. With four wins in his last seven worldwide starts, Jon Rahm has settled in as the betting favorite in the outright market slightly ahead of world No. 1 Rory McIlroy, who has a pair of wins in his last three worldwide starts. With the final round falling on Super Sunday and the game taking place nearby, you can expect the gallery at the legendary 16th hole at TPC Scottsdale to be more raucous than it typically is. Scottie Scheffler elevated to stardom with his first Tour win last year, starting a stretch of four wins in six starts. Visit BookMaker.eu for a complete list of matchup betting odds when you’re ready to place a wager.
Waste Management Phoenix Open Matchup Odds
Rory McIlroy +138 vs. Jon Rahm -174
Rory McIlroy -118 vs. Scottie Scheffler -112
Jon Rahm -190 vs. Scottie Scheffler +150
Xander Schauffele -137 vs. Patrick Cantlay +107
Xander Schauffele -157 vs. Justin Thomas +125
Patrick Cantlay -134 vs. Justin Thomas +104
Collin Morikawa -111 vs. Max Homa -119
Collin Morikawa -102 vs. Tony Finau -128
Max Homa -107 vs. Tony Finau -123
Tom Kim +129 vs. Sungjae Im -162
Tom Kim +102 vs. Cameron Young -132
Sungjae Im -140 vs. Cameron Young +110
Jordan Spieth +115 vs. Viktor Hovland -145
Matthew Fitzpatrick +117 vs. Hideki Matsuyama -147
Tyrrell Hatton -135 vs. Shane Lowry +105
Sam Burns -121 vs. Taylor Montgomery -109
Sahith Theegala -141 vs. Siwoo Kim +111
Jason Day -139 vs. Tommy Fleetwood +109
Alex Noren -132 vs. Seamus Power +102
Corey Conners -114 vs. Keegan Bradley -116
Billy Horschel -116 vs. Rickie Fowler -114
Keith Mitchell -157 vs. Tom Hoge +125
Aaron Wise +114 vs. Brian Harman -144
Russell Henley -117 vs. Maverick McNealy -113
Adam Hadwin -138 vs. Taylor Pendrith +108
J.T. Poston -147 vs. J.J. Spaun +117
Matt Kuchar -132 vs. Christiaan Bezuidenhout +102
Joel Dahmen -112 vs. Lucas Herbert -118
Kurt Kitayama +108 vs. Brendon Todd -138
Scott Stallings +102 vs. Denny McCarthy -132
Brendan Steele -120 vs. Chris Kirk -110
Gary Woodland -113 vs. Emiliano Grillo -117
Need to Know
Tournament host since 1987, the Stadium Course at TPC Scottsdale is one of the most popular stops on Tour. Outside of the stadium setting at No. 16, though, the layout is straightforward and bland. Stretched out to nearly 7,300 yards, the course plays to heavy hitters and we should see plenty of drivers this week, allowing most to attack the greens with precision iron shots. Along with altitude in the desert we’ve seen some generous scoring in the past with winners typically in the 14- to 18-under range. Weather is always something to consider in the desert. Morning frost makes for a slower track for those starting early. Surrounded by stands and with a party-like atmosphere in the gallery, the main attraction is the par-3 16th, which is a complete outlier when you think of golf. And it’s what makes the WMPO what it is.
Waste Management Phoenix Open Matchup Picks
Rory McIlroy +138 vs. Jon Rahm
It takes going against the hottest player on the planet for the second hottest player to be a heavy plus-odds underdog. I’d typically stay away from a matchup like this, but McIlroy at this price is too good to pass up, and it gives me added incentive to watch them. Rahm has been at the top of his game for several months and even he has weaknesses. McIlroy makes his first PGA start since winning the CJ CUP and most recently was victorious in the Dubai Desert Classic.
Taylor Montgomery -109 vs. Sam Burns
With such a collection of accomplished players it’s easy to overlook a guy like Montgomery. I’ve actually backed him in several matchups this season and he continues to pay off. Some are even calling him the front-runner for rookie of the year. That’s still in the distance, but I can say he’s been damn consistent making the cut in all 10 starts with four top-10s in eight top-15 finishes.
Jordan Spieth +115 vs. Viktor Hovland
I’m playing a hunch backing Spieth since his inactivity since an undefeated Presidents Cup has led to a slow start. He struggled last weekend tumbling down the leaderboard at Pebble Beach after his MC at the Sony Open. It was on this course in 2021 that Spieth turned a corner, though, carding a Saturday 61 to place among the top-5. The result did start a run of strong finishes putting Spieth among the favorites in most tournaments he’s entered since.
Justin Thomas +104 vs. Patrick Cantlay
By his standards Thomas is having a slow start to the season with a pair of T25s in his two 2023 starts. However, with the schedule increasing I also expect JT’s game to follow, and there’s no better place than TPC Scottsdale to get things started. He’s made the cut in all five starts since 2018 with a pair of podiums and no finish worse than T17. I’ll take that in this matchup.
Tom Kim +102 vs. Cameron Young
It seems like nothing fazes Kim and the party-like atmosphere will be to his liking. That doesn’t mean he’s going to play strong golf, but that’s all he’s done since an impressive showing at the Presidents Cup. He missed the cut for the first time this season at the Sony Open, but sandwiched that with a T5 at the TOC and T6 last time out at the AMX. Much like Montgomery, I’ll ride the Kim train until it gets derailed.
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