Following a three-week stay in California, the PGA Tour heads to the Arizona desert for this week’s Waste Management Phoenix Open. The event will be at full capacity meaning the raucous gallery at the 16th-hole at TPC Scottsdale will be on full display. Unless he has a major letdown you can find Jon Rahm at or near the top of the odds board for every tournament he plays. And he is the prohibitive favorite this week as the only golfer with shorter than 10/1 odds on the opening lines. The world’s No. 1 ranked player will have stiff competition with two other players ranked in the top-4 teeing it up. No. 3 Viktor Hovland and No. 4 Patrick Cantlay are hovering near the top of the odds list with shorter than 20/1 odds. Brooks Koepka defends the title he won last year overcoming a five-shot deficit entering the final round. Visit BookMaker.eu for a complete list of betting odds when you’re ready to place a wager.
Odds to Win Waste Management Phoenix Open
Jon Rahm +700
Justin Thomas +1400
Hideki Matsuyama +1600
Patrick Cantlay +1600
Viktor Hovland +1800
Jordan Spieth +2000
Xander Schauffele +2000
Sam Burns +2800
Brooks Koepka +3000
Daniel Berger +3000
Scottie Scheffler +3000
Bubba Watson +4000
Louis Oosthuizen +4000
Tony Finau +4000
Adam Scott +4500
Matthew Fitzpatrick +4500
Webb Simpson +4500
Corey Conners +5000
Harold Varner III +5000
Russell Henley +5000
Seamus Power +5000
Talor Gooch +5500
Billy Horschel +6000
Abraham Ancer +6600
Harris English +6600
Luke List +7000
Max Homa +7000
Rickie Fowler +7000
Tom Hoge +7000
Odds Analysis
Daniel Berger +3000
Berger is eager to get back on the course after his WD last week due to a back issue. If he’s healthy to swing a stick, which I assume is the case or he wouldn’t be here, why not continue the strong start to his season? He placed among the top-5 at the Sentry TOC last month and earned a top-10 at the Hero World Challenge in December. Part of his success is due to his accuracy with 81 percent of fairways hit off the tee. That’s a stat that can play big on a course that requires proper placement. The back problem could be an issue, but I’ll back Berger at a decent price.
Rickie Fowler +7000
I haven’t given up on Fowler and hopefully he hasn’t given up on himself. With two straight MCs he’s dropped down the odds board and is in a good spot for anyone looking to make a chunk of change. How can that happen? Well, Fowler knows the TPC layout and has had success here in the past. Maybe a return to his comfort zone helps. Fowler won here in 2019 and also has two runner-up finishes, which should give him a boost of much needed confidence.
Brooks Koepka +3000
Koepka is another player looking to find his game who returns to a layout that has yielded him success over the years. Who can forget his remarkable finish last year to claim his second title at this event? Things have been bumpy this season with three MC’s, but Koepka’s game appears well-suited for the course. And now that we’re getting into the meat of the season I expect Koepka to ramp up his game.
Louis Oosthuizen +4000
The only thing that scares me about Oosthuizen is his inactivity. He hasn’t played since the CJ CUP last October and withdrew from the RSM Classic. He’s been silent on the European Tour as well, which makes me wonder. But his play last season, especially in majors, was phenomenal and getting back in the saddle is what will straighten things out. He debuted at this event with a podium finish in 2017 and placed 11th last year, so he’s got a feel for the course. And his price is appealing too.
Jordan Spieth +2000
Spieth is back at the joint where he ended a lengthy slump with a T4 finish last year. He carded a career-low 61 on Saturday to move into contention and the result started a run of big finishes. And that run hasn’t slowed down. He made a charge last week finishing solo second at Pebble Beach. He’s finished among the top-10 in three of his five starts in this tournament and playing at a high level makes him a worth pick in the outright market.
Course: TPC Scottsdale – 7,261 yards, Par 71
The Stadium Course at TPC Scottsdale has hosted the event since 1987 and it is one of the most popular stops on Tour. The course plays just under 7,300 yards and with altitude in the desert it typically scores well. We’ve seen winning numbers consistently between 14- and 18-under with a few outliers. Phil Mickelson carded a course record 28-under in 2013. The conditions are ripe for heavy hitters and we’ll see plenty of drivers this week, allowing players to attack the greens with little resistance. Early tee times are at a disadvantage given the moisture on the course. When the track dries out players can attack the fairways getting lengthy rolls. The par-3 16th is the signature hole on the layout with fans returning to cheer on, or heckle, golfers.
TV Coverage: CBS, Golf Channel
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