UFC 224 Odds and Picks - Cezar Ferreira vs. Karl Roberson

UFC 224 Cezar Ferreira vs Karl Roberson Spreads

Karl Roberson is favored over Cezar Ferreira at UFC 224 on Saturday in Brazil. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Ferreira is 12-6 in his career, while Roberson is 6-0. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card at UFC 224, with the headliner a bout between Amanda Nunes and Raquel Pennington. There are also a total of eight fights on the preliminary card with four on FX and four UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Ferreira and Roberson and UFC picks.

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Cezar Ferreira (12-6, 8-4 UFC)

Ferreira came into the UFC with a record of 4-2 and he has shown the ability to do well in the UFC, losing only four of his 12 fights. His four losses were against Elias Theodorou by unanimous decision, Jorge Masvidal by KO, Sam Alvey by KO, and C.B. Dollaway by KO. Ferreira has been a pro since 2007 and has three wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has won four of his last five fights and has three first round finishes.

Cezar Ferreira said this to mmafighting.com about his upcoming fight with Karl Roberson, “He’s a good prospect, has a great kickboxing background and is undefeated in MMA,” Ferreira said, “He’s a knockout artist. That motivated me a lot for this fight. I trained hard to fight smart and add another win to my record and continue to climb the middleweight rankings and get to the top and one day win the belt. He’s tough and had good striking skills, but I’m more experienced, a well-rounded MMA fighter, I can fight anywhere, so I have more options to build a better strategy to stop his game. I will put on an intelligent show. I’m more than entertainment, I’m a real athlete, and I will show it in there.”

Karl Roberson (6-0, 1-0 UFC)

Roberson came into the UFC with a record of 5-0 and defeated Darren Stewart by submission in his UFC debut. Roberson has been a pro since 2015 and has two wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. He has five first round finishes.

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Ferreira 1.87 / Roberson 5.59
Accuracy: Ferreira 41% / Roberson 73%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Ferreira 2.01/ Roberson 1.78
Defense: Ferreira 57% / Roberson 68%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Ferreira 2.59 / Roberson 3.81
Accuracy: Ferreira 63% / Roberson 100%
Takedowns defended: Ferreira 93% / Roberson 100%
Submission average: Ferreira 0.5 / Roberson 7.6

UFC Picks

Karl Roberson is a -118 favorite over Ferreira and that is surprising considering he has only fought one time in the UFC. Ferreira has more UFC experience and it is hard to know what we are getting with Roberson. I will go with the underdog price and take Ferreira to win this bout. Ferreira and Roberson have a combined total of 8 first round finishes, so I will also take the fight to go under the rounds total.
UFC 224 takes place on Saturday, May 12, 2018 at Jeunesse ArenainRio de Janeiro,Brazil, with a women’s bantamweight match between Amanda Nunes and Raquel Pennington as the event headliner. There are five fights on the main pay-per-view card and eight preliminary bouts, with four on FX and four on UFC Fight Pass.

Main Card (Pay-Per-View)

Women’s Bantamweight – Amanda Nunes -1003 vs. Raquel Pennington
Middleweight – Ronaldo Souza -145 vs. Kevin Gastelum
Women’s Strawweight – Mackenzie Dern -249 vs. Amanda Cooper
Bantamweight – John Ferreira -246 vs. Brian Roberson
Middleweight – Lyoto Machida -270 vs. Vitor Belfort

Preliminary Card (FX)

Middleweight – Karl Roberson -118 vs. Cezar Ferreira
Heavyweight – Junior Albini -138 vs. Aleksei Oliynyk
Lightweight – Davi Ramos -145 vs. Nick Hein
Welterweight – Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos -136 vs. Sean Strickland

Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)

Welterweight – Warlley Alves -230 vs. Sultan Aliev
Middleweight – Jack Hermansson -147 vs. Thales Leites
Welterweight – Ramazan Emeev -200 vs. Alberto Mina
Middleweight – Markus Perez -300 vs. James Bochnovic

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