Pedro Munhoz is a solid favorite over Brett Johns at UFC 227 on Saturday in Los Angeles, California. This event is one of four on the FX portion of the preliminary card. Munhoz is 15-3 in his career, while Johns is 15-1 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card at UFC 227, with the headliner a bout between T.J. Dillashaw and Cody Garbrandt. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card with four on FX and three on UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Munhoz and Johns and UFC picks.
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Pedro Munhoz (15-3, 5-3 UFC)
Munhoz came into the UFC with a record of 10-0 and he has five wins and three losses in the UFC. He defeated Matt Hobar by TKO, Russell Doane by submission, Justin Scoggins by submission, Damian Stasiak by unanimous decision, and Rob Font by submission; while losing to Raphael Assunção by unanimous decision, Jimmie Rivera by split decision, and John Dodson by split decision. Munhoz has been a pro since 2009 and he has three wins by TKO/KO and eight by submission. He has six first round finishes.
Brett Johns (15-1, 3-1 UFC)
Johns came into the UFC with a record of 12-0 and he has three wins and one loss in the UFC. He defeated Kwan Ho Kwak by unanimous decision, Albert Morales by unanimous decision, and Joe Soto by submission; while losing to Aljamain Sterling by unanimous decision. Johns has been a pro since 2012 and has two wins by TKO/KO and five by submission. He has five first round finishes.
Johns said this to metro.co.uk about his upcoming matchup against Munhoz, “I’m the underdog for this, but I love being the underdog, but yeah, there’s extra pressure, 200 per cent. ‘I’ve been given a second chance and there is a lot of pressure there. I’m the underdog, but I love that. ‘I love the pressure, I’ve been there most of my career and it’s going to be great to get back in the octagon again. It’s so, so important I get back to winning ways. I need this win mentally, more than most people in my opinion, I want to be the best and you can’t keep losing if you want to do that. I know it’s going to be a tough fight. He has one killer guillotine and I’m going to have to defend really well against it. It’s going to be a long shift for me and at any point he could strike. I think it will be a decision win for me.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Munhoz 4.19 / Johns 2.92
Accuracy: Munhoz 39% / Johns 47%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Munhoz 5.44/ Johns 3.74
Defense: Munhoz 58% / Johns 56%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Munhoz 1.37 / Johns 4.95
Accuracy: Munhoz 25% / Johns 60%
Takedowns defended: Munhoz 60% / Johns 70%
Submission average: Munhoz 1.4 / Johns 0.7
UFC Picks
Oddmakers have Munhoz as a -250 favorite and that number may be too high, as I think these two fighters are closely matched. Motivation can be a key factor in the UFC, and I think Johns is extremely motivated for this one. I will take a shot with Johns at the nice price. I also respect what Johns said about the fight going to a decision, so I will also take the rounds to go over.
UFC 227 takes place on Saturday, August 4, 2018, at Staples Center in Los Angeles, California, with a men’s bantamweight match between T.J. Dillashaw and Cody Garbrandt as the event headliner. There are five fights on the main pay-per-view card and seven preliminary bouts, with four on FX and three on UFC Fight Pass.
Main Card (Pay-Per-View)
Bantamweight – T. J. Dillashaw -118 vs. Cody Garbrandt
Flyweight – Demetrious Johnson -500 vs. Henry Cejudo
Middleweight – Thiago Santos -375 vs. Kevin Holland
Women’s Strawweight – Polyana Viana -200 vs. JJ Aldrich
Featherweight - Renato Moicano -398 vs. Cub Swanson
Preliminary Card (FX)
Bantamweight – Pedro Munhoz -250 vs. Brett Johns
Bantamweight – Ricky Simon -125 vs. Montel Jackson
Featherweight – Matt Sayles -110 vs. Sheymon Moraes
Bantamweight – Ricardo Ramos – 215 vs. Kyung Ho Kang
Early Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)
Flyweight – Alex Perez -135 vs. Jose Torres
Women’s Strawweight - Zhang Weili -265 vs. Danielle Taylor
Bantamweight – Marlon Vera -485 vs. Wuliji Buren
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