Clay Guida is heavily favored against B.J. Penn at UFC 237 on Saturday, May 11 in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. This event is one of four fights on the ESPN portion of the preliminary card. Penn is 16-13-2 in his career, while Guida is 34-18 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card at UFC 237, with the headliner a bout between Rose Namajunas and Jessica Andrade. There are also a total of eight fights on the preliminary card with four on ESPN and four on UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Penn and Guida and UFC picks.
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B.J. Penn (16-13-2, 12-12-2 UFC)
Penn came into MMA and started right in the UCC and he has 12 wins, 12 losses, and two draws in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has no wins and six losses. He lost to Nick Diaz by unanimous decision, Rory MacDonald by unanimous decision, Frankie Edgar by TKO, Yair Rodríguez by TKO, Dennis Siver by majority decision, and Ryan Hall by submission. Penn has not a win since November 20, 2010 when he defeated Matt Hughes by KO at UFC 123. Penn has been a pro since 2001 and he has seven wins by TKO/KO and six wins by submission. He has six first round finishes.
Clay Guida (34-18, 14-12 UFC)
Guida came into the UFC with a record of 21-6 and he has 14 wins and 12 losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has three wins and three losses. He defeated Robbie Peralta by unanimous decision, Erik Koch by unanimous decision, and Joe Lauzon by TKO; while losing to Thiago Tavares by submission, Brian Ortega by KO, and Charles Oliveira by submission. Guida has been a pro since 2003 and he has five wins by TKO/KO and 16 by submission. He has 13 first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Penn 2.70 / Guida 2.33
Accuracy: Penn 49% / Guida 32%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Penn 3.12/ Guida 2.39
Defense: Penn 56% / Guida 65%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Penn 1.24/ Guida 3.43
Accuracy: Penn 55% / Guida 37%
Takedowns defended: Penn 75% / Guida 69%
Submission average: Penn 0.5 / Guida 0.7
UFC Picks
Why is B.J. Penn still fighting in the UFC? He has one win in his last ten fights and none in his last six. Penn is 40 years old and is still fighting despite retiring three separate times. It is hard to pick him as a winner in any fight at this point in his career. Guida has struggled a little bit in the UFC of late but has a better chance of winning this fight then Penn does. I despise laying big money, so I will look for a prop that has Guida winning by submission.
UFC 237 takes place at Jeunesse Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazilon Saturday, May 11, with five fights on the main pay-per-view card, headlined by Max Rose Namajunas vs. Jessica Andrade and eight preliminary bouts, with four on ESPN and four on UFC Fight Pass.
Main Card (Pay-Per-View)
Women's Strawweight - Jessica Andrade -128 vs. Rose Namajunas
Middleweight - Jared Cannonier -150 vs. Anderson Silva
Featherweight - José Aldo -145 vs. Alexander Volkanovski
Welterweight - Thiago Alves -115 vs. Laureano Staropoli
Lightweight - Carlos Diego Ferreira -165 vs. Francisco Trinaldo
Preliminary card (ESPN)
Light Heavyweight - Ryan Spann -145 vs. Antônio Rogério Nogueira
Lightweight - Thiago Moises -140 vs. Kurt Holobaugh
Women's Bantamweight - Irene Aldana -306 vs. Bethe Correia
Lightweight - Clay Guida -550 vs. B.J. Penn
Early Preliminary card (UFC Fight Pass)
Women's Flyweight - Luana Carolina -160 vs. Priscila Cachoeira
Welterweight - Warlley Alves -145 vs. Sérgio Moraes
Women's Bantamweight - Talita Bernardo -600 vs. Melissa Gatto
Bantamweight - Raoni Barcelos -735 vs. Carlos Huachin
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