Andrea Lee is favored against Joanne Calderwood at UFC 242 on Saturday, September 7 in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. This event is one of four fights on the FX portion of the preliminary card. Calderwood is 13-4 in her career, while Lee is 11-2 in her career. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card at UFC 242, with the headliner a bout between Khabib Nurmagomedov and Dustin Poirier. There are also a total of eight fights on the preliminary card with four on FX and four on UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Calderwood and Lee and UFC predictions.
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Joanne Calderwood (13-4, 5-4 UFC)
Calderwood came into the UFC with a record of 8-0 and she has five wins and four losses in the UFC. She defeated Seohee Ham by unanimous decision, Cortney Casey by unanimous decision, Valérie Létourneau by TKO, Kalindra Faria by triangle choke submission, and Ariane Lipski by unanimous decision; while losing to Maryna Moroz by armbar submission, Jessica Andrade by guillotine choke submission, Cynthia Calvillo by unanimous decision, and Katlyn Chookagian by unanimous decision. Calderwood has been a pro since 2012 and she has five wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. She has four first round finishes.
Andrea Lee (11-2, 3-0 UFC)
Lee came into the UFC with a record of 8-2 and she has three wins and no losses in the UFC. She defeated Veronica Macedo by unanimous decision, Ashlee Evans-Smith by unanimous decision, and Montana De La Rosa by unanimous decision. Lee’s two losses in her career were against Roxanne Modafferi by split decision and Sarah D'Alelio by rear-naked choke submission. Lee has been a pro since 2014 and she has two wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. She has two first round finishes.
Lee said this to bjpenn.com about her upcoming fight against Calderwood, “I think it’s great and I was hoping to fight a striker for my next fight. I’ve fought mostly wrestlers the last couple of times so I’m looking forward to this matchup with Joanne. Her Muay Thai is extremely good, she’s really savvy, and I think we both match up really well. I think we’re going to be able to put on an exciting fight for the fans, for Dana White, and everyone.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Calderwood 6.10 / Lee 5.33
Striking Accuracy: Calderwood 48% / Lee 56%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Calderwood 4.34/ Lee 2.31
Defense: Calderwood 52% / Lee 74%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Calderwood 1.82/ Lee 1.33
Takedown Accuracy: Calderwood 57% / Lee 40%
Takedowns defended: Calderwood 60% / Lee 65%
Submission average: Calderwood 0.6 / Lee 0.7
UFC Predictions
Lee looks like the better fighter, but the odds on her seem inflated at more than 2-1. Both women are good strikers and are solid on the mat. Lee does have a big reach advantage, but Calderwood has powerful kicks and she will land a lot of shots in this fight. I think this fight is a total toss-up that could go either way, so that means there is serious value on Calderwood at plus money.
UFC 242 takes place at The Arena, Yas Island in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates on Saturday, September 7, with five fights on the main pay-per-view card headlined by Khabib Nurmagomedov vs. Dustin Poirier and eight preliminary bouts with four on FX and four on UFC Fight Pass.
Main Card (Pay-Per-View)
Lightweight - Khabib Nurmagomedov -425 vs. Dustin Poirier
Lightweight - Edson Barboza -180 vs. Paul Felder
Lightweight - Islam Makhachev -345 vs. Davi Ramos
Heavyweight - Curtis Blaydes -500 vs. Shamil Abdurakhimov
Lightweight - Mairbek Taisumov -268 vs. Carlos Diego Ferreira
Preliminary Card (FX)
Women's Flyweight - Andrea Lee -225 vs. Joanne Calderwood
Featherweight - Zubaira Tukhugov -440 vs. Lerone Murphy
Women's Bantamweight - Liana Jojua -150 vs. Sarah Moras
Lightweight - Ottman Azaitar -235 vs. Teemu Packalén
Early Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)
Welterweight - Belal Muhammad -440 vs. Takashi Sato
Welterweight - Nordine Taleb -130 vs. Muslim Salikhov
Middleweight - Omari Akhmedov -120 vs. Zak Cummings
Lightweight - Don Madge -160 vs. Fares Ziam
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