Petr Yan is heavily favored against Urijah Faber at UFC 245 Saturday, December 14 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Yan is 13-1 in his career, while Faber is 35-10 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card at UFC 245, with the headliner a bout between Kamaru Usman and Colby Covington. There are also a total of eight fights on the preliminary card, with four on ESPN2 and four on UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Yan and Faber and UFC predictions.
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Petr Yan (13-1, 5-0 UFC)
Yan came into the UFC with a record of 8-1 and he has five wins and no losses in the UFC. He defeated Teruto Ishihara by KO, Jin Soo Son by unanimous decision, Douglas Silva de Andrade by TKO, John Dodson by unanimous decision, and Jimmie Rivera by unanimous decision. Yan’s only loss in his career was against Magomed Magomedov by split decision on March 26, 2016. Yan has been a pro since 2013 and he has five wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. He has three first round finishes.
Urijah Faber (35-10, 11-6 UFC)
Faber came into the UFC with a record of 24-4 and he has 11 wins and six losses in the UFC. In his last five fights, he has three wins and two losses. He defeated Frankie Saenz by unanimous decision, Brad Pickett by unanimous decision, and Ricky Simon by TKO; while losing to Dominick Cruz by unanimous decision and Jimmie Rivera by unanimous decision. Faber has been a pro since 2003 and he has 10 wins by TKO/KO and 17 by submission. He has 14 first round finishes.
Faber said this to thebodylockmma.com about his upcoming fight against Yan, “When you look at Petr, he’s my kind of guy. He’s a boxer but he has a wrestler’s mentality. I’ve seen him fight multiple times; he doesn’t give up. He’s a guy that could be a champion in the future and I want to fight those guys, that’s who I fight. That’s the same with my last opponent, I want to fight the best guys that you put in front of me, and otherwise, I need to be out of the game. So, when they give me these lesser ranked guys, I’m just like ‘You really want me to fight this guy. Let’s do it.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Yan 5.76 / Faber 2.68
Striking Accuracy: Yan 45% / Faber 41%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Yan 3.42/ Faber 2.52
Defense: Yan 66% / Faber 64%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Yan 1.54/ Faber 1.59
Takedown Accuracy: Yan 46% / Faber 31%
Takedowns defended: Yan 85% / Faber 60%
Submission average: Yan 0.3 / Faber 0.9
UFC Predictions
Yan is heavily favored in this fight at -500 which I think is way too high. 5-1 odds are where you see a great fighter against a middle of the road fighter, but that is not the case here. Perhaps Yan will be a future title contender, but he hasn’t gotten to that level yet and Faber is not some run of the mill fighter. Faber is not without a chance to win this fight and at the price of +350 I have to take a shot.
Main Card (Pay-Per-View)
Welterweight - Kamaru Usman -200 vs. Colby Covington
Featherweight - Max Holloway -180 vs. Alexander Volkanovski
Women's Bantamweight - Amanda Nunes -285 vs. Germaine de Randamie
Bantamweight - Marlon Moraes -200 vs. José Aldo
Bantamweight - Petr Yan -500 vs. Urijah Faber
Preliminary Card (ESPN2)
Welterweight - Geoff Neal -250 vs. Mike Perry
Women's Bantamweight - Ketlen Vieira -170 vs. Irene Aldana
Middleweight - Ian Heinisch -145 vs. Omari Akhmedov
Welterweight - Matt Brown -360 vs. Ben Saunders
Early Preliminary card (UFC Fight Pass)
Featherweight - Chase Hooper -120 vs. Daniel Teymur
Flyweight - Kai Kara-France -165 vs. Brandon Moreno
Women's Flyweight - Viviane Araujo -180 vs. Jessica Eye
Middleweight - Oskar Piechota -125 vs. Punahele Soriano
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