Carlos Diego Ferreira is favored against Anthony Pettis at UFC 246 on Saturday, January 18 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Pettis is 22-9 in his career, while Ferreira is 16-2 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card at UFC 246, with the headliner a bout between Conor McGregor and Donald Cerrone. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card, with four on ESPN and three on UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Pettis and Ferreira and UFC predictions.
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Anthony Pettis (22-9, 9-8 UFC)
Pettis came into the UFC with a record of 13-1 and he has nine wins and eight losses in the UFC. In his last five fights, he has two wins and three losses. He defeated Michael Chiesa by triangle armbar submission and Stephen Thompson by KO; while losing to Dustin Poirier by body triangle submission, Tony Ferguson by TKO, and Nate Diaz by unanimous decision. Pettis has been a pro since 2007 and he has 11 wins by TKO/KO and seven by submission. He has 12 first round finishes.
Carlos Diego Ferreira (16-2, 7-2 UFC)
Ferreira came into the UFC with a record of 9-0 and he has seven wins and two losses in the UFC. He defeated Colton Smith by rear-naked choke submission, Ramsey Nijem by TKO, Olivier Aubin-Mercier by unanimous decision, Jared Gordon by TKO, Kyle Nelson by TKO, Rustam Khabilov by unanimous decision, and Mairbek Taisumov by unanimous decision; while losing to Beneil Dariush by unanimous decision and Dustin Poirier by KO. Ferreira has been a pro since 2011 and he has three wins by TKO/KO and six by submission. He has four first round finishes.
Ferreira said this to bloodyelbow.com about his upcoming fight against Pettis, “I can’t let him run alongside the cage too much. If you put pressure on him, he stops a little bit, we trained for that, my coaches and partners are well aware of that. We will put the pressure on him in order to stop him on his tracks, he’s very acrobatic, and I’ll stop him. I need to really implement my jiu-jitsu, and I want to see what his jiu-jitsu is like, it’s pretty sharp. It would be cool. I’ve seen him score submissions a lot, I attended an event where submitted Melendez, he’s a dangerous guys. It would be nice to test his jiu-jitsu.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Pettis 2.97 / Ferreira 5.19
Striking Accuracy: Pettis 46% / Ferreira 36%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Pettis 3.48/ Ferreira 3.10
Defense: Pettis 53% / Ferreira 61%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Pettis 0.69/ Ferreira 0.57
Takedown Accuracy: Pettis 54% / Ferreira 20%
Takedowns defended: Pettis 58% / Ferreira 70%
Submission average: Pettis 1.2 / Ferreira 0.9
UFC Predictions
Ferreira is favored in this fight at -265 and there is no real reason to think Pettis is going to win, as he has just two wins in his last five fights. I am not thrilled about laying nearly 3-1, so I will play a prop on Ferreira to win by submission and also play the rounds to go under the total.
UFC 246 takes place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, January 18, with five fights on the main pay-per-view card, headlined by Conor McGregor vs. Donald Cerrone and seven preliminary bouts, with four on ESPN and three on UFC Fight Pass.
Main Card (Pay-Per-View)
Welterweight - Conor McGregor -350 vs. Donald Cerrone
Women's Bantamweight - Holly Holm -133 vs. Raquel Pennington
Heavyweight - Maurice Greene -133 vs. Aleksei Oleinik
Women's Strawweight - Cláudia Gadelha -115 vs. Alexa Grasso
Lightweight - Carlos Diego Ferreira -265 vs. Anthony Pettis
Preliminary card (ESPN)
Women's Flyweight - Maycee Barber -900 vs. Roxanne Modafferi
Featherweight - Sodiq Yusuff -134 vs. Andre Fili
Lightweight - Nasrat Haqparast -330 vs. Drew Dober
Flyweight - Askar Askarov -140 vs. Tim Elliott
Early Preliminary card (UFC Fight Pass)
Light Heavyweight - Aleksa Camur -125 vs. Justin Ledet
Bantamweight - Ode Osbourne -145 vs. Brian Kelleher
Women's Flyweight - Sabina Mazo -115 vs. JJ Aldrich
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