Brandon Moreno is favored against Brandon Royval at UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez on Saturday, November 21 in Las Vegas Nevada. This event is one of four fights on the ESPN2/ESPN+ portion of the preliminary card. Moreno is 17-5-1 in his career, while Royval is 12-4 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card on UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez, with the headliner a bout between Deiveson Figueiredo and Alex Perez. There are also a total of seven fights on the preliminary card with four on ESPN 2/ESPN+ and three on ESPN2/ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Moreno and Royval and UFC picks.
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Brandon Moreno (17-5-1, 5-2-1 UFC)
Moreno came into the UFC with a record of 11-3 and he has five wins, two losses, and one draw in the UFC. He defeated Louis Smolka by guillotine choke submission, Ryan Benoit by split decision, Dustin Ortiz by technical submission, Kai Kara-France by unanimous decision, and Jussier Formiga by unanimous decision; while losing to Sergio Pettis by unanimous decision and Alexandre Pantoja by unanimous decision; and fighting to a draw against Askar Askarov. Moreno has been a pro since 2011 and he has two wins by TKO/KO and 10 by submission. He has seven first round finishes.
Moreno said this to mmajunkie.usatoday.com about his upcoming fight against Royval, “I think it’s a bit tougher. Royval is in a position where he’s in a win-win situation. If he loses with me, he’s going to be like, ‘OK, I lost against a top one or two.’ And if he wins, it’s like, ‘Wow. He took the challenge and he beat the toughest guy in the division.’ So he’s in a good position. I know that he’s excited. He’s got nothing to lose and everything to gain, and that’s very dangerous – very dangerous. But what he doesn’t know is that I don’t see rankings and I go there to beat the guy in front of me.”
Brandon Royval (12-4, 2-0 UFC)
Royval came into the UFC with a record of 10-4 and he has two wins and no losses in the UFC. He defeated Tim Elliott by arm-triangle choke submission and Kai Kara France by guillotine choke submission. Royval’s last loss in his career was against Casey Kenney by unanimous decision on November 9, 2018. Royval has been a pro since 2012 and he has three wins by TKO/KO and eight by submission. He has eight first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Moreno 3.00/ Royval 3.90
Striking Accuracy: Moreno 34% / Royval 52%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Moreno 2.94/ Royval 2.77
Defense: Moreno 63% / Royval 44%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Moreno 1.75/ Royval 1.06
Takedown Accuracy: Moreno 40% / Royval 100%
Takedowns defended: Moreno 69% / Royval 63%
Submission average: Moreno 0.5/ Royval 3.2
UFC Picks
We know where this fight is likely to be decided and that is on the mat. Moreno has 10 submission wins, while Royval has eight. There may be a little value on Royval at the plus price, but I still don’t think we know how good Royval really is. I think the better option in this fight is to play the fight to go under the rounds total.
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez Card & Odds
Flyweight Title - Alex Perez +235 vs. Deiveson Figueiredo -293
Women's Flyweight Title - Jennifer Maia +812 vs. Valentina Shevchenko -1500
Flyweight - Brandon Royval +154 vs. Brandon Moreno -186
Light Heavyweight - Mauricio Rua +147 vs. Paul Craig -176
Women Flyweight - Katlyn Chookagian +207 vs. Cynthia Calvillo -255
Welterweight - Tim Means +123 vs. Mike Perry -147
Middleweight - Jordan Wright +210 vs. Joaquin Buckley -259
Welterweight - Jared Gooden +118 vs. Alan Jouban -142
Middleweight - Dustin Stoltzfus +243 vs. Kyle Daukaus -303
Women's Flyweight - Ariane Lipski +130 vs. Antonina Shevchenko -157
Welterweight - Sasha Palatnikov +300 vs. Louis Cosce -386
Welterweight - Nicolas Dalby +243 vs. Daniel Rodriguez -303
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