Beneil Dariush is a slight favorite against Tony Ferguson at UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler on Saturday night in Houston, Texas. This fight is one of five on the pay-per-view card. Dariush is 20-4-1 in his career and comes into this bout on a six-fight winning streak, while Ferguson is 25-5 and he comes in having lost two in a row. There are five fights on the main card of UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler, with the headliner a bout between Charles Oliveira and Michael Chandler. There are also seven preliminary bouts with four on ESPN/ESPN+ and three on UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Ferguson and Dariush and UFC predictions.
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler Betting
Tony Ferguson (25-5, 15-3 UFC)
Ferguson came into the UFC with a record of 10-2 and he has 15 wins and three losses in the UFC. In his last five fights, he has three wins and two losses. Ferguson is coming off a unanimous decision loss to Oliveira in December of last year. Ferguson also lost by TKO to Justin Gaethje in May of last year. Ferguson previously won by TKO against Donald Cerrone in June of 2019, won by TKO against Anthony Pettis in October of 2018 and submitted Kevin Lee in October of 2017. Ferguson has been a pro since 2008 and he has 12 wins by TKO/KO and eight by submission. He has nine first round finishes.
Beneil Dariush (20-4-1, 14-4-1 UFC)
Dariush came into the UFC with a record of 6-0 and he has 14 wins, four losses and a draw in the UFC. He is unbeaten in his last six fights. He won a split decision against Carlos Diego Ferreira in February, won by knockout against Scott Holtzman in August of last year, won by knockout against Drakkar Klose in March of last year, submitted Frank Camacho in October of 2019, submitted Drew Dober in March of 2019 and won a unanimous decision against Thiago Moses in November of 2018. Dariush has been a pro since 2009 and he has five wins by TKO/KO and eight by submission. He has eight first round finishes.
Dariush is planning a very dangerous strategy on Saturday, as he intends to trade shots with Ferguson. "Tony, he's either number one or number two as the best lightweights of all time. And for everything he brings for me, I have to bring back two or three.” Dariush said to the media, “Because he's so wild, if you hit him with one, he'll be like, that's ok I'll trade you one for one." Dariush said he is going to go all out and hold nothing back. "Tony can out crazy a lot of people. And so a lot of my gameplan might be just out crazying Tony. It's gonna be my dream or his dream. This is where it's decided."
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Ferguson 5.46/ Dariush 4.00
Striking Accuracy: Ferguson 45% / Dariush 49%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Ferguson 3.94/ Dariush 2.72
Defense: Ferguson 59% / Dariush 59%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Ferguson 0.45/ Dariush 2.03
Takedown Accuracy: Ferguson 42% / Dariush 32%
Takedowns defended: Ferguson 70% / Dariush 81%
Submission average: Ferguson 1.1/ Dariush 1.0
UFC Picks
If Dariush can be believed in what he said then this fight is going to be full of fireworks for as long as it lasts. I think Dariush is foolish to try and go in and trade shots with Ferguson, as that is a recipe for getting knocked out. I’ll make two plays in this fight and take Ferguson and play the rounds to go under.
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler Card & Odds
Lightweight - Michael Chandler +105 vs. Charles Oliveira -135
Lightweight - Tony Ferguson +150 vs. Beneil Dariush -190
Women's Flyweight - Viviane Araujo +110 vs. Katlyn Chookagian -140
Featherweight - Edson Barboza +105 vs. Shane Burgos -135
Women's Flyweight - Priscila Cachoeira +165 vs. Gina Mazany -210
Women's Flyweight - Andrea Lee +100 vs. Antonina Shevchenko -130
Middleweight - Jamie Pickett -115 vs. Jordan Wright -115
Middleweight - Andre Muniz -115 vs. Ronaldo Souza -115
Lightweight - Lando Vannata -105 vs. Mike Grundy -125
Featherweight - Tucker Lutz -125 vs. Kevin Aguilar -105
Bantamweight - Rogerio Bontorin +127 vs. Matt Schnell -160
Lightweight - Sean Soriano +183 vs. Christos Giagos -235
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