Drew Dober is slightly favored against Brad Riddell at UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 on Saturday, June 12 in Glendale, Arizona. This event is one of four fights on the ESPN/ESPN+ portion of the preliminary card. Dober is 23-10 in his career, while Riddell is 9-1 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card on UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2, with the headliner a bout between Israel Adesanya and Marvin Vettori. There are also a total of nine fights on the preliminary card with four on ESPN/ESPN+ and five on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Dober and Riddell and UFC predictions.
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori II Betting
Drew Dober (23-10, 9-6 UFC)
Dober came into the UFC with a record of 14-4 and he has nine wins and six losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has four wins and two losses. He defeated Jon Tuck by unanimous decision, Marco Polo Reyes by TKO, Nasrat Haqparast by KO, and Alexander Hernandez by TKO; while losing to Beneil Dariush by triangle armbar submission and Islam Makhachev by arm-triangle choke submission. Dober has been a pro since 2009 and he has 10 wins by TKO/KO and six by submission. He has eight first round finishes.
Brad Riddell (9-1, 3-0 UFC)
Riddell came into the UFC with a record of 6-1 and he has three wins and no losses in the UFC. He defeated Jamie Mullarkey by unanimous decision, Magomed Mustafaev by split decision, and Alex da Silva Coelho by unanimous decision. Riddell’s only loss in his career was against Abel Brites by armbar submission on July 21, 2018. Riddell has been a pro since 2013 and he has five wins by TKO/KO. He has three first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Dober 4.33/ Riddell 4.36
Striking Accuracy: Dober 40% / Riddell 50%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Dober 3.87/ Riddell 2.62
Defense: Dober 54% / Riddell 53%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Dober 0.80/ Riddell 1.00
Takedown Accuracy: Dober 17% / Riddell 37%
Takedowns defended: Dober 55% / Riddell 60%
Submission average: Dober 0.1/ Riddell 0.0
UFC Picks
Riddell has been pretty good in limited UFC action, but we don’t yet know if he can handle top competition. That is not really an issue here, as Dober has yet to prove he can beat a top fighter. There is no question that Dober has more experience, but I don’t know that his skills are any better than those of Riddell. This fight is a total toss-up for me, so I will simply take the plus money and go with Riddell to get the win.
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori II Card & Odds
Middleweight: Marvin Vettori +201 vs. Israel Adesanya -260
Flyweight: Brandon Moreno +179 vs. Deiveson Figueiredo -230
Light Heavyweight: Paul Craig +221 vs. Jamahal Hill -290
Welterweight: Demian Maia +179 vs. Belal Muhammad -230
Welterweight: Nate Diaz +405 vs. Leon Edwards -600
Heavyweight: Jake Collier +139 vs. Carlos Felipe -175
Lightweight: Fares Ziam -145 vs. Luigi Vendramini +115
Featherweight: Hakeem Dawodu +186 vs. Movsar Evloev -240
Women's Flyweight: Joanne Calderwood -150 vs. Lauren Murphy +120
Lightweight: Frank Camacho +168 vs. Matt Frevola -215
Lightweight: Drew Dober -140 vs. Brad Riddell +110
Featherweight: Steven Peterson -120 vs. Chase Hooper -110
Light Heavyweight: Eryk Anders -145 vs. Darren Stewart +115
Women's Bantamweight: Alexis Davis +165 vs. Pannie Kianzad -210
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