Dustin Poirier is a slight favorite against Conor McGregor at UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 on Saturday, July 10 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This fight headlines a five-fight main pay-per-view card. This will be the third meeting between the two fighters, as McGregor won by first round TKO in 2014, while Poirier won by second round knockout earlier this year. There are also eight preliminary bouts, with four on ESPN/ESPN+ and four on ESPN+/ UFC Fight Pass.Let’s look at the bout between Poirier and McGregor and UFC predictions.
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 Betting
Dustin Poirier (27-6, 19-5 UFC)
Poirier came into the UFC with a record of 8-1 and he has 19 wins and five losses in the UFC. In his last five fights he has four wins and one loss. He is coming off a TKO win against McGregor in January. Poirier won a unanimous decision against Dan Hooker in June of last year, lost by submission to Khabib Nurmagomedov in September of 2019, won a unanimous decision against Max Holloway in April of 2019 and won by TKO against Eddie Alvarez in July of 2018. Poirier has been a pro since 2009 and he has 13 knockout wins. He has 12 first round finishes.
Conor McGregor (22-5, 10-3 UFC)
McGregor came into the UFC with a record of 12-2 and he has 10 wins and three losses in the UFC. He is coming off a TKO loss to Poirier in January. McGregor won by TKO against Donald Cerrone in January of 2020, lost by submission to Khabib Nurmagomedov in October of 2018, won by TKO against Eddie Alvarez in November of 2016 and won by majority decision against Nate Diaz in August of 2016. McGregor has been a pro since 2008 and he has 19 wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. He has 14 first round finishes.
McGregor is confident he will win this rematch. "I beat him in the original bout. I lost in the rematch.” McGregor said to the media, “And then we've got trilogy, I've got a few little adjustments to make. I feel very, very confident. I'm very focused and driven.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Poirier 5.59 / McGregor 5.32
Striking Accuracy: Poirier 50% / McGregor 49%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Poirier 4.17 / McGregor 4.54
Defense: Poirier 54% / McGregor 54%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Poirier 1.47 / McGregor 0.70
Takedown Accuracy: Poirier 36% / McGregor 55%
Takedowns defended: Poirier 61% / McGregor 67%
Submission average: Poirier 1.3 / McGregor 0.0
UFC Picks
I know people remember what they saw last and the last time these two met it was Poirier winning. I don’t know if McGregor was properly prepared for that fight, but I don’t think there is any doubt he is prepared this time. I think McGregor gets this win on Saturday night and as a bonus we get him at plus money.
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 Card & Odds
Lightweight - Dustin Poirier -142 vs. Conor McGregor +112
Welterweight - Gilbert Burns +131 vs. Stephen Thompson -165
Featherweight - Ryan Hall +190 vs. Ilia Topuria -245
Women’s Flyweight - Jessica Eye +146 vs. Jennifer Maia -185
Flyweight - Jerome Rivera +273 vs. Zhalgas Zhumagulov -370
Middleweight - Brad Tavares -170 vs. Omari Akhmedov +135
Heavyweight - Greg Hardy +105 vs. Tai Tuivasa -135
Middleweight - Dricus du Plessis -120 vs. Trevin Giles -110
Women’s Bantamweight - Yana Kunitskaya -110 vs. Irene Aldana -120
Middleweight - Yaozong Hu +110 vs. Alen Amedovski -140
Welterweight - Niko Price +131 vs. Michel Pereira -165
Welterweight - Max Griffin -190 vs. Carlos Condit +150
Bantamweight - Kris Moutinho +524 vs. Sean O'Malley -850
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