Irene Aldana is slightly favored against Yana Kunitskaya at UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 on Saturday, July 10 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Aldana is 12-6 in her career, while Kunitskaya is 14-5 in her career. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card on UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3, with the headliner a bout between Dustin Poirier and Conor McGregor. There are also a total of eight fights on the preliminary card with four on ESPN/ESPN+ and four on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Aldana and Kunitskaya and UFC picks.
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 Betting
Irene Aldana (12-6, 5-4 UFC)
Aldana came into the UFC with a record of 7-2 and she has five wins and four losses in the UFC. She defeated Talita Bernardo by unanimous decision, Lucie Pudilová by split decision, Bethe Correia by armbar submission, Vanessa Melo by unanimous decision, and Ketlen Vieira by KO; while losing to Leslie Smith by unanimous decision, Katlyn Chookagian by split decision, Raquel Pennington by split decision, and Holly Holm by unanimous decision. Aldana has been a pro since 2012 and she has six wins by TKO/KO and three by submission. She has eight first round finishes.
Aldana said this to mmajunkie.usatoday.com about her upcoming fight against Kunitskaya, “I think if I have a good showing, a dominant presentation, and have a convincing win, I think I can get back on the route to a potential fight for the title. The division is very tight in competition at the top because a lot of the top-five girls already fought for the belt. I think I can win back that spot – but first this fight, and we’ll take it from there. If I win this fight, and I have a convincing win, and I have maybe another win after that against a good opponent, I think I can raise my hand again to ask for that opportunity for the title. It could be this year – why not?”
Yana Kunitskaya (14-5, 4-2 UFC)
Kunitskaya came into the UFC with a record of 10-3 and she has four wins and two losses in the UFC. She defeated Lina Länsberg by unanimous decision, Marion Reneau by unanimous decision, Julija Stoliarenko by unanimous decision, and Ketlen Vieira by unanimous decision; while losing to Cris Cyborg by TKO and Aspen Ladd by TKO. Kunitskaya has been a pro since 2009 and she has seven wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. She has seven first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Aldana 5.52/ Kunitskaya 4.22
Striking Accuracy: Aldana 38% / Kunitskaya 57%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Aldana 5.97/ Kunitskaya 2.62
Defense: Aldana 61% / Kunitskaya 51%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Aldana 0.23/ Kunitskaya 1.62
Takedown Accuracy: Aldana 50% / Kunitskaya 53%
Takedowns defended: Aldana 84% / Kunitskaya 50%
Submission average: Aldana 0.1/ Kunitskaya 0.2
UFC Picks
I lean to Aldana in this fight, as I think she has beaten better competition and I think she has more ways to win. The rounds on this fight are listed at 2.5 and while the fight very well may go the distance, you get +228 on the under. I will take Aldana and the fight to go under the rounds total.
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 Card & Odds
Lightweight - Dustin Poirier -142 vs. Conor McGregor +112
Welterweight - Gilbert Burns +131 vs. Stephen Thompson -165
Featherweight - Ryan Hall +190 vs. Ilia Topuria -245
Women’s Flyweight - Jessica Eye +146 vs. Jennifer Maia -185
Flyweight - Jerome Rivera +273 vs. Zhalgas Zhumagulov -370
Middleweight - Brad Tavares -170 vs. Omari Akhmedov +135
Heavyweight - Greg Hardy +105 vs. Tai Tuivasa -135
Middleweight - Dricus du Plessis -120 vs. Trevin Giles -110
Women’s Bantamweight - Yana Kunitskaya -110 vs. Irene Aldana -120
Middleweight - Yaozong Hu +110 vs. Alen Amedovski -140
Welterweight - Niko Price +131 vs. Michel Pereira -165
Welterweight - Max Griffin -190 vs. Carlos Condit +150
Bantamweight - Kris Moutinho +524 vs. Sean O'Malley -850
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