Vicente Luque is slightly favored against Michael Chiesa at UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane on Saturday, August 7 in Houston, Texas. This event is one of five fights on the pay-per-view main card. Chiesa is 18-4 in his career, while Luque is 20-7-1 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card of UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane and eight preliminary bouts, with four on ESPN2/ESPN+ and four on ESPN+/ UFC Fight Pass. Let’s look at the bout between Chiesa and Luque and UFC predictions.
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane takes place at Toyota Center in Houston, Texas on Saturday, August 7 with five fights on the main pay-per-view card and eight preliminary bouts, with four on ESPN2/ESPN+ and four on ESPN+/ UFC Fight Pass.
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane Betting
Michael Chiesa (18-4, 11-4 UFC)
Chiesa came into the UFC with a record of 7-0 and he has 11 wins and four losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has four wins and two losses. He defeated Carlos Condit by kimura submission, Diego Sanchez by unanimous decision, Rafael dos Anjos by unanimous decision, and Neil Magny by unanimous decision; while losing to Kevin Lee by technical submission and Anthony Pettis by triangle armbar submission. Chiesa has been a pro since 2008 and he has 11 wins by submission. He has five first round finishes.
Chiesa said this to mmanews.com about his upcoming fight against Luque, “There’s no guy I’ve fought that’s more dangerous than Vicente Luque. I mean, just look at his strength of schedule and how he’s just gone out and just finished guys time and time again. I mean, he’s racking up bonuses left and right. He’s very dangerous, and I’m very aware of the threats that he possesses. You want to respect all your opponents, but if you take him even (an inch) lightly, he will capitalize. He’s a killer, man. So I gotta be on my toes on fight night. You start getting lackadaisical around Vicente Luque, he’s going to slip something through the cracks and knock you out or choke you out.”
Chiesa also said this to bjpenn.com about his upcoming fight against Luque, “This is the fight I need to get to the next level. This is a test I need to pass before I get to that next level. If I can get a win, whether it is by finish or by decision, whatever the result is, I’m going to have to walk through the fire to get it. I want to fight for the title. If I go out there and have a dominant performance, I don’t see how I can’t stake my claim with a five-fight winning streak, and being the freshly minted No. 5 guy. Why not me? But I’m not looking too far ahead.
I’m deadlocked focused on Vicente Luque.”
Vicente Luque (20-7-1, 13-3 UFC)
Luque came into the UFC with a record of 7-4-1 and he has 13 wins and three losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has five wins and one loss. He defeated Derrick Krantz by TKO, Mike Perry by split decision, Niko Price by TKO, Randy Brown by KO, and Tyron Woodley by brabo choke submission; while losing to Stephen Thompson by unanimous decision. Luque has been a pro since 2009 and he has 11 wins by TKO/KO and seven by submission. He has 12 first round finishes.
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Chiesa 1.89 / Luque 5.74
Striking Accuracy: Chiesa 40% / Luque 54%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Chiesa 1.71 / Luque 5.78
Defense: Chiesa 54% / Luque 52%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Chiesa 3.60 / Luque 0.66
Takedown Accuracy: Chiesa 52% / Luque 50%
Takedowns defended: Chiesa 68% / Luque 65%
Submission average: Chiesa 0.9 / Luque 0.9
UFC Picks
This fight looks very even, as both fighters have similar records and similar skills. You have to think this fight is going to be decided on the mat, as both fighters are submission specialists. I don’t have a pick on the side but I think there is value on the total. We get plus money on the rounds going under, so I will take this fight to not go to a decision.
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane Card & Odds
Heavyweight - Derrick Lewis +264 vs. Ciryl Gane -355
Bantamweight - Pedro Munhoz -110 vs. Jose Aldo -120
Bantamweight - Casey Kenney -120 vs. Yadong Song -110
Welterweight - Michael Chiesa -110 vs. Vicente Luque -120
Bantamweight - Vince Morales -110 vs. Drako Rodriguez -120
Bantamweight - Jamey Simmons +120 vs. Johnny Munoz Jr. -270
Women's Flyweight - Victoria Leonardo -115 vs. Melissa Gatto -115
Women's Strawweight - Tecia Torres -137 vs. Angela Hill +107
Light Heavyweight - Ed Herman +194 vs. Alonzo Menifield -250
Women's Flyweight - Karolina Kowalkiewicz -128 vs. Jessica Penne -102
Flyweight - Ode Osbourne +158 vs. Manel Kape -200
Lightweight - Bobby Green +235 vs. Rafael Fiziev -310
Bantamweight - Anderson dos Santos +168 vs. Miles Johns -215
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