UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 Betting Odds

Kamaru Usman is favored against Colby Covington at UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 on Saturday, November 6 in New York City, New York. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Usman is 19-1 in his career, while Covington is 16-2 in his career. There are a total of five fights on the main pay-per-view card and nine on the preliminary card with five on ESPNEWS/ESPN+ and four on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass at UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2. Let’s look at the bout between Usman and Covington and UFC predictions.

UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 takes place at Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York on Saturday, November 6 with five fights on the main pay-per-view card and nine fights on the preliminary card with five on ESPNEWS/ESPN+ and four on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass.

UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington Betting

Kamaru Usman (19-1, 14-0 UFC)

Usman came into the UFC with a record of 5-1 and he has 14 wins and no losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has six wins and no losses. He defeated Rafael dos Anjos by unanimous decision, Tyron Woodley by unanimous decision, Colby Covington by KO, Jorge Masvidal by unanimous decision, Gilbert Burns by TKO, and Jorge Masvidal by KO. Usman’s only loss in his career was against Jose Caceres by rear-naked choke submission on May 24, 2013. Usman has been a pro since 2012 and he has nine wins by TKO/KO and one by submission. He has three first round finishes.

Usman said this to mmamania.com about his upcoming fight against Covington, “We’re going into the second fight with Colby now and I’m expecting the toughest Colby there’s been. Fighting a guy like Colby, you’d expect a lot of mutual respect because we’ve actually shared that Octagon for almost 25 minutes. He gets kind of a rep for the way that he behaves outside of the cage. I know he respects me, I know he does. He might not want to show it but I know he does. And I’ve a lot of respect for him as well. I think he’s a great competitor, I think he’s very, very tough, but the wisdom that I’ve acquired in this last year alone kind of trumps everything he has done.”

Colby Covington (16-2, 11-2 UFC)

Covington came into the UFC with a record of 5-0 and he has 11 wins and two losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has five wins and one loss. He defeated Dong Hyun Kim by unanimous decision, Demian Maia by unanimous decision, Rafael dos Anjos by unanimous decision, Robbie Lawler by unanimous decision, and Tyron Woodley by TKO; while losing to Kamaru Usman by TKO. Covington has been a pro since 2012 and he has four wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. He has three first round finishes.

Striking Stats

Strikes landed per minute: Usman 4.63 / Covington 4.12

Striking Accuracy: Usman 54% / Covington 38%

Strikes absorbed per minute: Usman 2.40 / Covington 2.86

Defense: Usman 57% / Covington 55%

Grappling Stats

Takedown average: Usman 3.27 / Covington 4.61

Takedown Accuracy: Usman 48% / Covington 50%

Takedowns defended: Usman 100% / Covington 75%

Submission average: Usman 0.1 / Covington 0.1

UFC Picks

When these two fought the first time it was a great fight that ended in the fifth round with Usman winning by TKO. I think Usman is the better fighter but I have a lot of respect for Covington and I am not laying the 3-1 price on Usman. There may be some value on Covington at the big price but I think the better bet is the rounds. These two slugged it out the first time and the fight eventually ended with a TKO. I don’t think this fight will be any different and the odds on the fight going the distance are basically a pick. I’ll say the fight doesn’t go to a decision as the best bet for this fight.

UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 Card & Odds