Colby Covington is heavily favored against Jorge Masvidal at UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal on Saturday, March 5 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This event is one of five fights on the main pay-per-view card. Covington is 16-3 in his career, while Masvidal is 35-15 in his career. There are a total of 14 fights with five on Pay-Per-View, four on ESPN/ESPN+ and five on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass at UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal. Let’s look at the bout between Covington and Masvidal and UFC predictions.
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal takes place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday, March 5 with 14 fights with five on Pay-Per-View, four on ESPN/ESPN+ and five on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass.
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal Betting
Colby Covington (16-3, 11-3 UFC)
Covington came into the UFC with a record of 5-0 and he has 11 wins and three losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has four wins and two losses. He defeated Demian Maia by unanimous decision, Rafael dos Anjos by unanimous decision, Robbie Lawler by unanimous decision, and Tyron Woodley by TKO; while losing to Kamaru Usman twice with once by TKO and once by unanimous decision. Covington has been a pro since 2012 and he has four wins by TKO/KO and four by submission. He has three first round finishes.
Covington said this to mmafighting.com about his upcoming fight against Masvidal, “I’m super excited to hold this kid accountable for all the reckless words he’s said to the media. He’s been lying this whole time and I can’t wait to expose him in front of the world. This is way more personal, this is a blood feud. This goes back to a brotherhood. We were eight years together, every single day, side by side, couldn’t leave each other best friends. And now we’re the biggest bitter enemies. It’s going to be bad. I’m going to make him pay; I’m going to make him suffer for backstabbing me and turning his back and trying to run this fake narrative to the media. I see a lot of pain. I’m going to inflict so much pain on Jorge Masvidal. He’s not going to be the same person ever again. He keeps talking about a baptism. It’s not going to be a baptism; it’s going to be a Jorge Masvidal’s career-ending funeral. It’s going to be violent. And it’s not going to be quick. I could easily finish it quick — I used to do it all the time behind closed doors — but this one I’m going to drag it out, I’m going to make him suffer, and it’s probably going to be the first time in UFC history you see a guy in a main event verbally tap out and say he can’t take no more of a beating.”
Jorge Masvidal (35-15, 12-8 UFC)
Masvidal came into the UFC with a record of 23-7 and he has 12 wins and eight losses in the UFC. In his last six fights, he has three wins and three losses. He defeated Darren Till by KO, Ben Askren by KO, and Nate Diaz by TKO; while losing to Stephen Thompson by unanimous decision and Kamaru Usman twice with once by unanimous decision and once by KO. Masvidal has been a pro since 2003 and he has 16 wins by TKO/KO and two by submission. He has eight first round finishes.
Masvidal said this to si.com about his upcoming fight against Covington, “He has a lot of math on me, but I have a lot on him, too. He doesn’t want to stand with me. He’s never wanted to stand with me. I know what he’s going to do. He’s going to pretend to strike and then immediately he’s going to get to my legs. He’ll roll the dice hoping to press me up against the cage. I’ll be ready. I don’t know when it ends, but I’ll make a promise. This will start violent, and this will end violent.”
Striking Stats
Strikes landed per minute: Covington 4.14 / Masvidal 4.22
Striking Accuracy: Covington 38% / Masvidal 48%
Strikes absorbed per minute: Covington 3.09 / Masvidal 3.01
Defense: Covington 55% / Masvidal 65%
Grappling Stats
Takedown average: Covington 4.10 / Masvidal 1.54
Takedown Accuracy: Covington 46% / Masvidal 59%
Takedowns defended: Covington 72% / Masvidal 75%
Submission average: Covington 0.1 / Masvidal 0.3
UFC Picks
These two know each other really well and have an extreme dislike for one another. The value is on Masvidal and if you want to take a shot on him at the big price I can’t blame you, but I think the rounds is the better bet. These two have talked a lot about inflicting damage and perhaps they will, but they also know each other really well. I think this one will have some highlights, but that it will also see a lot of time spent on the mat. Both of these fighters are hard to finish so I think a decision is likely. I will go over the rounds total.
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal Card & Odds
DATE | FIGHTERS | MONEY LINE |
03/5 | Jorge Masvidal | +238 |
Colby Covington | -315 |
03/5 | Edson Barboza | +124 |
Bryce Mitchell | -155 |
03/5 | Alex Oliveira | +238 |
Kevin Holland | -315 |
03/5 | Sergey Spivak | -215 |
Greg Hardy | +168 |
03/5 | Xiaonan Yan | +204 |
Marina Rodriguez | -265 |
03/5 | Maryna Moroz | +165 |
Mariya Agapova | -210 |
03/5 | Jalin Turner | -165 |
Jamie Mullarkey | +131 |
03/5 | Nicolae Negumereanu | +110 |
Kennedy Nzechukwu | -140 |
03/5 | Tim Elliott | +176 |
Tagir Ulanbekov | -225 |
03/5 | Michal Oleksiejczuk | +154 |
Dustin Jacoby | -195 |
03/5 | Brian Kelleher | +502 |
Umar Nurmagomedov | -800 |
03/5 | Ludovit Klein | +143 |
Devonte Smith | -180 |
03/5 | Renato Moicano | +143 |
Rafael Dos Anjos | -180 |
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